LovingGulfLows Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Mixing with sleet at the moment as the heavier returns are on me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lookout Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Check out this garbage. Here is the latest rap analysis for athens. The one below is the 3 hour forecast from the last run. SFC 998 214 0.0 -1.5 89 1.6 -0.6 68 8 273.3 273.9 272.6 282.6 3.42 2 950 608 -2.7 -2.8 99 0.1 -2.7 77 28 274.5 275.0 273.1 283.4 3.26 3 900 1036 -2.3 -2.7 97 0.4 -2.4 86 33 279.2 279.8 276.1 288.9 3.48 4 850 1492 -0.4 -0.5 100 0.0 -0.4 106 21 285.7 286.4 280.4 298.0 4.35 5 800 1978 0.1 0.0 99 0.1 0.1 182 12 291.3 292.1 283.4 305.1 4.78 6 750 2495 -0.6 -0.7 99 0.1 -0.6 231 19 295.9 296.8 285.4 310.2 4.85 7 700 3045 -3.0 -3.2 98 0.2 -3.1 239 24 299.2 300.0 286.1 312.1 4.31 8 650 3628 -6.0 -6.9 94 0.8 -6.4 245 28 302.1 302.8 286.4 312.9 3.51 9 600 4252 -8.9 -10.2 90 1.3 -9.4 252 36 305.8 306.3 287.1 315.0 2.93 10 550 4922 -12.3 -13.7 89 1.5 -12.8 250 51 309.5 310.0 287.8 317.2 2.40 11 500 5645 -16.4 -18.0 87 1.6 -16.9 244 66 313.1 313.4 288.5 319.2 1.86 12 450 6428 -21.6 -23.6 84 2.0 -22.1 244 74 316.1 316.3 288.8 320.3 1.26 Last runs 3 hour forecast..which it had been trying to show this for many runs in a row. Date: 3 hour valid 10Z WED 12 FEB 14 Station: KAHN Latitude: 33.95 Longitude: -83.32 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- LEV PRES HGHT TEMP DEWP RH DD WETB DIR SPD THETA THE-V THE-W THE-E W mb m C C % C C deg knt K K K K g/kg ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 0 1000 188 SFC 996 217 -0.2 -1.0 94 0.8 -0.6 58 11 273.2 273.8 272.8 282.8 3.56 2 950 598 -3.3 -3.5 98 0.2 -3.4 63 32 273.9 274.4 272.5 282.3 3.10 3 900 1025 -2.8 -3.1 98 0.3 -2.9 79 34 278.6 279.2 275.6 288.0 3.38 4 850 1481 -0.1 -0.2 99 0.1 -0.1 109 19 286.1 286.9 280.7 298.7 4.44 5 800 1967 -0.0 -0.2 99 0.1 -0.1 177 8 291.1 291.9 283.3 304.8 4.72 6 750 2483 -0.7 -0.8 99 0.1 -0.8 236 12 295.8 296.7 285.3 309.9 4.80 7 700 3033 -2.8 -3.0 98 0.2 -2.9 240 16 299.4 300.2 286.2 312.5 4.37 8 650 3618 -5.6 -6.1 96 0.5 -5.8 239 22 302.7 303.4 286.8 314.1 3.74 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Krowley Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 I'm in Fannin County Ga, right on the TN border. We expected this to start off with snow this far north, and that was the forecast, but right now we're getting a mix of both ice pellets and freezing rain, and it seems to be accumulating. It was a little warmer here than a lot of other northern counties when it started for some reason, so I'm not sure if people in the surrounding counties are experiencing the same thing or not. The temp here has dropped a couple of degrees since it started. Hopefully we can get some snow in here eventually. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherfide Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 I've got 33 and moderate rain. No icing and only about 5 or 6 sleet pellets on the deck. This is busting big time on southwest side of town! We won't have a thing to worry with later this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lookout Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 I've got 33 and moderate rain. No icing and only about 5 or 6 sleet pellets on the deck. This is busting big time on southwest side of town! We won't have a thing to worry with later this morning. I don't believe the southwest side of atlanta was expected to get to freezing this soon. I certainly didn't expect it too until later this morning. Temps dropped quickly in town itself so it's coming i'm afraid. It might be only temporary but there might be a southward push to the sleet/freezing rain/snow line from the gainesville area to just north of athens and over to hartwell. at least it appears that way on the radar. in fact IF it keeps moving it could get here within an hour. Again could be temporary or I'm misreading it one. Will find out if it gets here (knocks on wood) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thrasher Fan Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 31.5° and light zr getting close to .1" of ice now on elevated surfaces. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cheeznado Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 I've got 33 and moderate rain. No icing and only about 5 or 6 sleet pellets on the deck. This is busting big time on southwest side of town! We won't have a thing to worry with later this morning. It was not really supposed to get to you yet. The wedge is now just getting going. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowless in Carrollton Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Ice is forming on cars and trees here. 32 degrees. No sleet, just freezing rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Here in Dunwoody, down to 31.6 (lowest yet) and ZR now with thin ice buildup on above ground surfaces that I checked. Still no IP but I'm not giving up. I'm looking at those brighter returns to the WSW and hoping they will finally lead to a change to IP, but they seem to be diminishing as they approach the GA/AL line. In Dunwoody, it is 31.5 at 4:25 AM. Although I saw a little bit of sleet on the railing, it is mainly still ZR though a good bit lighter for now, which may be a short term saving grace. Nevertheless, the trees have a pretty good glaze now and they sound icey when the winds blow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winterhawk Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Check out this garbage. Here is the latest rap analysis for athens. The one below is the 3 hour forecast from the last run. :axe:Last runs 3 hour forecast..which it had been trying to show this for many runs in a row. Well modeled warm nose is WHERE??? omgness... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burrel2 Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 The wedge starting to flex it muscle all the way up to 850mb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEGa Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 glad to see a lot of yall getting below freezing the temp has dropped most in the last hour or so than i think it did all day. 26.3 with moderate snow went out the front for a peek and the road is snow covered - and any and all slush is ice now (i know its not a blizzard but it sure does look and feel like one oops forgot to ask - is that radar thing showing the rain/snow line on an iphone app by any chance? or is it one of the modes? i have several radar programs and guess i could have it and just dont realize it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burrel2 Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 It looks like the snow line might be trying to nudge back south... can anybody confirm? http://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/index.php?type=GSP-N0C-1-6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DaculaWeather Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Since 4am, temps have really started to take a tumble here. Dropped .6F in less than 30 minutes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
toxictwister00 Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 I don't know who I was foolin' I can't sleep, I'm too wired. I'm noticing a light glaze of icicles forming on the powerlines outside my house...Uh oh. I can't tell if the same is occuring on the trees since it's too dark out. Also the winds continue to howl, gusts near 30 mph. Weather station at the fire station a block away from my house says the temp is 29.3°F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phil882 Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Light snow here with a dusting on the ground. Phil has sort of ruined the storm for me at the moment, as I can’t help but sit here watching that C.C. Radar and agonize over the snow/sleet line creeping up. I was counting on a worst case scenario staying snow until 11am, now it looks like I could switch to sleet by maybe 9:00 or 10:00am. On the bright side, the snow/sleet line has held stationary for the last 40 minutes. On the bad side, I can’t get decent enough rates to capitalize on it. Oh well, I told myself from the beginning that I would be happy with whatever fell knowing that at the very least it’s all frozen in some form or another. I need to get back in that mind set. The NAM is still spitting out over 1.5 inches of frozen liquid here. Haha not trying to ruin the event for anyone... just trying to provide the tools that might help make better forecasts! There is going to be a fine line between those that have mixing issues (I-85 and southward) and those that stay all snow. The Blue Ridge stands the best chance to stay all snow, but the northernmost SC counties (Oconee, Pickens, Greenville, Spartanburg) on their northern edges should also stay mostly snow, even as the 850 hPa line creeps up. The CC radar product is just a really cool tool to be able to see where the line is in real time without having to rely on surface observations which only updating sparingly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thrasher Fan Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 31.5° and light zr getting close to .1" of ice now on elevated surfaces. EDIT: As others have stated getting the IP mixing in now. Happening very quickly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowless in Carrollton Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 There sure does look like a heavy band of precip SW of Atlanta lifting northward. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowless in Carrollton Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 I don't know who I was foolin' I can't sleep, I'm too wired. I'm noticing a light glaze of icicles forming on the powerlines outside my house...Uh oh. I can't tell if the same is occuring on the trees since it's too dark out. Also the winds continue to howl, gusts near 30 mph. Same here. I'm more awake now at 430am than I was at 130. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phil882 Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 It looks like the snow line might be trying to nudge back south... can anybody confirm? http://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/index.php?type=GSP-N0C-1-6 Yea it looks like that nice 35-40 dbz band had high enough rates that it was able to overcome the weaker WAA taking place currently. Temporary southward push of the snow/sleet line... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thrasher Fan Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 I don't know who I was foolin' I can't sleep, I'm too wired. I'm noticing a light glaze of icicles forming on the powerlines outside my house...Uh oh. I can't tell if the same is occuring on the trees since it's too dark out. Also the winds continue to howl, gusts near 30 mph. Weather station at the fire station a block away from my house says the temp is 29.3°F What part of Atl are you in? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burrel2 Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Haha not trying to ruin the event for anyone... just trying to provide the tools that might help make better forecasts! There is going to be a fine line between those that have mixing issues (I-85 and southward) and those that stay all snow. The Blue Ridge stands the best chance to stay all snow, but the northernmost SC counties (Oconee, Pickens, Greenville, Spartanburg) on their northern edges should also stay mostly snow, even as the 850 hPa line creeps up. The CC radar product is just a really cool tool to be able to see where the line is in real time without having to rely on surface observations which only updating sparingly. lol, I am just messing with you. I appreciate all the information you’ve been giving us, and you are right, the CC radar is a pretty nice feature to watch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxcwman Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 I hear branches popping Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jrips27 Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 I'm starting to get some sleet mix in here. Glad to see some of the rest of you get sleet as well. Good news cause I was getting really worried there for a bit! 31.8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winterhawk Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Wind really picking up; you can hear the ice in the trees. We have light icing; can't imagine what the folks with serious ZR will go through. Still light ZR coming down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DaculaWeather Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 This is a very good precip rate for efficient freezing rain accretion. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowless in Carrollton Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Lets pray we all get a changeover to sleet because nobody wants to deal with 1/2" of ZR. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jrips27 Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 I don't know who I was foolin' I can't sleep, I'm too wired. I'm noticing a light glaze of icicles forming on the powerlines outside my house...Uh oh. I can't tell if the same is occuring on the trees since it's too dark out. Also the winds continue to howl, gusts near 30 mph. Weather station at the fire station a block away from my house says the temp is 29.3°F Where exactly do you live in Atlanta? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LovingGulfLows Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Based on the Georgia power map, Canton seems to be the first city in the metro to suffer from a widespread power outage. So far so good else where other than isolated power outages. Sleet is really picking up here...wouldn't be surprised if it's more sleet than freezing rain now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
toxictwister00 Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 What part of Atl are you in? NW Atlanta, about a couple of miles west of the GA Dome. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.