IWXwx Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 looks as modeled IMO...going to be a screwholes and lollies event. Anything impressive total wise is dependent on convective returns hanging over one area but i'm pretty skeptical on that happening. My 2.8" is going to bust but 4-6" area wide still looks safe. You just form your lips in a circle and it flows naturally ooooverachiever. lol The theme of winter 2013-'14. Good luck up there. I'd like to see a shot of 2"+ an hour rates from your skyscraper. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blue60007 Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 Thinking we could get around 3-4" here. Probably some sleet tainting. Obviously would get more snow if we get less sleet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 You just form your lips in a circle and it flows naturally ooooverachiever. lol The theme of winter 2013-'14. Good luck up there. I'd like to see a shot of 2"+ an hour rates from your skyscraper. brought my camera and charger...i'll say this, even 1" an hour looks like a whiteout from a few hundred feet in the air Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 brought my camera and charger...i'll say this, even 1" an hour looks like a whiteout from a few hundred feet in the air Not bad. As a true suburbanite thinking of hitting the arboretum for some shots. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 Thinking we could get around 3-4" here. Probably some sleet tainting. Obviously would get more snow if we get less sleet. That's my thought over here too. Just like you, I'm riding the line. Could lose an inch or two to pl. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 Here is my forecast: GRR will wait until we have 6 inches to issue a winter storm warning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brewers Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 Picked up 0.7" from initial band of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blue60007 Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 Getting some flurries here in the first band. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 Can easily tell where the sleet/snow line is on CC with this first band. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 21-22kft tops southwest of Galesburg. A few more scattered along the line trailing southeast. Would not be surprised to see some lightning strikes show up anywhere along this band. Lightning with that precip near Columbia MO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 TWC has MBY down for 1-3". Not sure if they are talking hourly rates this evening or total for the whole event. lol. My SEMI call 5-7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortex Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 Moderate snow here for the last 30 minutes with the first band. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 All the model guidance agrees on roughly ~4" for Detroit. Obviously there's potential for more, but that (3-5") seems like a reasonable call right now. Between the duration and the convective nature of the snows, these systems can be quite fickle when it comes to total accumulations, which is probably why the models continue to struggle with QPF numbers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 just looking at radar, i'd guess ~1" with the first band and 3"-4" with the second band. Really not sure what is going to happen with the defo like feature. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 Picked up 0.1" earlier. Seeing the overcast really low, you know something's coming... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 That band up near Chicago came through here as virga, and then really took shape just northeast of here. MLI went from nothing to 1/2 mile SN in a short amount of time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 Picked up 0.1" earlier. Seeing the overcast really low, you know something's coming... low indeed, almost looks like fog. I have an entire floor of 333 W. Wacker to myself today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 Still going with 4.2" here. RAP has consistently showed amounts in the 0.4" range here. Ratios will be pretty close to 10:1 I think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 bank clock was 24 with almost no wind...flake size / ratios should be decent. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortex Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 low indeed, almost looks like fog. I have an entire floor of 333 W. Wacker to myself today I was suppose to drive up there for work today, on Van Buren, but not going to do it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 MLI up to +SN 1/4. Wasn't snowing there a half hour ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 BMI to VPZ looking good IMO EDIT: nm i see BMI is torching Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DaveNay Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 Whiteout in DeKalb. The wife made it to the end of the drive and then turned around and called in to the office. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 RAP (which is initializing on going action pretty well) continues to trend down with QPF over NE IL with .30" or so Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 Ripping in RFD Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 Ripping in RFD 30+ dbz portion of band heading towards chicago looks to be struggling some Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherbo Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 Was -14 this morning, up to a whopping -5 at the moment. Brand new car already needs a battery from this Winter alone. Likely due to my short jaunts into the village and back. Per seasonal trends, best systems snow will fall south of me today, but am pointed for 4-5", which I'll gladly take. Have had around 10" of nickel snows the past 2 weeks which has kept the snow looking fresh. Haven't been this excited for a 5" snow in a while... seasonal snow total here 155" thx to sw flow events.... ahead of Gaylord which rarely happens. would like to see 180" before season ends. Leelanau 215" already. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 Was -14 this morning, up to a whopping -5 at the moment. Brand new car already needs a battery from this Winter alone. Likely due to my short jaunts into the village and back. Per seasonal trends, best systems snow will fall south of me today, but am pointed for 4-5", which I'll gladly take. Have had around 10" of nickel snows the past 2 weeks which has kept the snow looking fresh. Haven't been this excited for a 5" snow in a while... seasonal snow total here 155" thx to sw flow events.... ahead of Gaylord which rarely happens. would like to see 180" before season ends. Leelanau 215" already. you have like 3 months of winter left Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 First band sort of crapping the bed as it tries to get in here. Still not a flake. Ripping in the QC though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherbo Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 you have like 3 months of winter left Gonna have to find ways to cope in a few weeks. Can only snowshoe and ride the sled so much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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