Radioman Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 the overnight AFD made a great case for higher amounts, i'm just not seeing it based on radar trends. The system is supposed to go neg tilt around noon and that's when the radar is supposed to fill and explode. You are golden for at least 4.5. You'll bust by at least 2 inches and lol @ the GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 on a more positive note...defo feature is organizing nicely Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 on a more positive note...defo feature is organizing nicely Yeah don't worry about the preliminary crumbs when the main feast is still cooking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 +SN here. Went from nothing to heavy snow in a little over 10 minutes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 the overnight AFD made a great case for higher amounts, i'm just not seeing it based on radar trends. Any convection will only increase rates big time. Think we're in for a big afternoon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherbo Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 Yeah don't worry about the preliminary crumbs when the main feast is still cooking. Stebo talkn' all sexy guys, it's on! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 Any convection will only increase rates big time. Think we're in for a big afternoon i'm 100% on board with big time rates...we should crank for a couple hours and obviously 2.8" is low but i'm just not seeing 8-10" amounts (even isolated lollies) in the cards for Chicagoland. Looks like a widespread 4-5" event, with most of that falling in a 3 hr window. First wave was essentially a saturation aide Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brewers Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 A bunch of blowing snow this morning. Gusts are pushing 30kts off the lake. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 WAA returns continue to look rather janky but defo band around DSM is top shelf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 Snow almost just now pushing up the lake shore areas in Wisconsin. These winds must be breaking up the lake ice pretty good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 Really nice sucker hole on the 12z NAM, for my hood on the east side of LAF. Final call...0.0". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 Typical intense band breaking up as it crosses the WI/IL border. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 Typical intense band breaking up as it crosses the WI/IL border. it broke up long before it made it to the border. defo feature pushing ENE across IA looks good for you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gino Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 I hope Gino come on here and posts his thoughts to straighten you low ballets out Not hard to get 6" totals when 2" falls in 30 mins... 0810 AM SNOW 4 W POLK CITY 41.78N 93.80W 02/17/2014 E2.0 INCH POLK IA TRAINED SPOTTER HEAVY SNOW AND A LITTLE THUNDER AROUND 740AM. SNOW LETTING UP NOW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 Typical intense band breaking up as it crosses the WI/IL border. as all models showed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 Sun is coming out here. And winds have ticked up...blowing snow off the roofs. Think we'll be lucky to see an inch of snow, as low levels are scorching...and period of precip is going to be pretty short-lived. Good luck to those up north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 despite pretty solid radar returns....nothing is falling from the sky at the moment Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whitelakeroy Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 Gonna have to find ways to cope in a few weeks. Can only snowshoe and ride the sled so much. Boyne baby Boyne ... my next trip coming very soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 despite pretty solid radar returns....nothing is falling from the sky at the moment don't use composite EDIT: COD running slow for anyone else? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 Down to light snow with small flakes. First band was nice. Picked up probably around 1/3-1/2". The rates outside of the heavier snow aren't that great, so the 4.2" call here still looking okay. The band in central Iowa is very nice, but moving east pretty quickly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 Snow/[expletive] mix at BMI. METAR KBMI 171456Z 13021G24KT 3/4SM R29/2400V4000FT SNPL BR BKN007 OVC012 M06/M08 A2996 RMK AO2 58022 60000 T10611083 SNB23PLB56 P0000 PRESFR SLP171 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 don't use composite EDIT: COD running slow for anyone else? problem solved....lol...not used to these lower ratio events this year....thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherbo Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 Boyne baby Boyne ... my next trip coming very soon. Boyne will have snow til May Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted February 17, 2014 Author Share Posted February 17, 2014 Since I never made a call... 4.0" at ORD. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 problem solved....lol...not used to these lower ratio events this year....thanks currently -dust here under 10 dbz Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 Since I never made a call... 4.0" at ORD. good call and classic timing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LizardMafia Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 Snow/[expletive] mix at BMI. METAR KBMI 171456Z 13021G24KT 3/4SM R29/2400V4000FT SNPL BR BKN007 OVC012 M06/M08 A2996 RMK AO2 58022 60000 T10611083 SNB23PLB56 P0000 PRESFR SLP171 Going to be a sh*t drive this afternoon! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 best rates of the day, approaching high end -SN under 15dbz, flake size jumped Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 Snow/[expletive] mix at BMI. METAR KBMI 171456Z 13021G24KT 3/4SM R29/2400V4000FT SNPL BR BKN007 OVC012 M06/M08 A2996 RMK AO2 58022 60000 T10611083 SNB23PLB56 P0000 PRESFR SLP171 Surely is some mixed precip out there, but I wouldn't be shocked that in heavy convective bands that you end up with heavily rimed flakes that appear more pellet like. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hm8 Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 (Still coming down in MI at this point) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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