Chicago WX Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 Dual pol shows the mix line moving quickly north as precip tries to move into LAF. Returns getting eaten alive though. Might not see any snow by the time it finally gets here, at this rate... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 12z NMM/ARW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brewers Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 KMKE 171704Z 15023G33KT 1/4SM R01L/2400VP6000FT +SN BLSN BKN010 OVC017 M05/M07 A2994 RMK AO2 PK WND 16033/1700 TWR VIS 3/4 P0000 T10501072 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 terrible flake size but can barely see the tree tops across the road. to bad its exiting the stage north already . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 Been pretty lame here other than the first band. Have maybe an inch and half so far. The last band will be nice but won't last long. 4.2" call looking too bullish. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 Dual pol shows the mix line moving quickly north as precip tries to move into LAF. Returns getting eaten alive though. Might not see any snow by the time it finally gets here, at this rate... Glass half full mode...I take that as a good sign...the dry air layer is there and it's doing work. Hopefully it will be able to cool the column below 0C. We may mix but we're going to have some fun in terms of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 Been pretty lame here other than the first band. Have maybe an inch and half so far. The last band will be nice but won't last long. 4.2" call looking too bullish. RAP has been hinting at a screw zone over NW IL all morning (marginally better over NE IL where 4-5 still looks good) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 Glass half full mode...I take that as a good sign...the dry air layer is there and it's doing work. Hopefully it will be able to cool the column below 0C. We may mix but we're going to have some fun in terms of snow. Hopefully. I just want to see a little action. I'm getting impatient. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 terrible flake size but can barely see the tree tops across the road. to bad its exiting the stage north already . Heaviest returns with these storms are nearly always close to I94 between Milwaukee and Madison or within the Madison metro area, it seems rarely do those hefty 30-35dbz returns traverse Milwaukee County (December 22nd for you notwithstanding). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 The heavy band moving across east-central Iowa is dropping snow at 2-4 inches per hour. I got 1" in 30 minutes, a guy just south of CR got 2" in 30 minutes. Unfortunately, like with every single storm this winter, the heavy snow is just too darn brief. So is life Its just ripping mad here right now. Probably pile ups all over the city. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortex Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 Heavy snow here. Visibility 1/4 or less. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 Heavy snow here. Visibility 1/4 or less. you look locked and loaded for at least an hour here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 Heavy snow here. Visibility 1/4 or less. All systems go for you. Have fun! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LizardMafia Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 Hopefully. I just want to see a little action. I'm getting impatient. You? Impatient? Nah... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 Nice. EDIT: Posted to show lightning in QC, but can barely see it with this small pic. Really sucks they squashed the readable forum size. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 Heaviest returns with these storms are nearly always close to I94 between Milwaukee and Madison or within the Madison metro area, it seems rarely do those hefty 30-35dbz returns traverse Milwaukee County (December 22nd for you notwithstanding). Yeah that's a magnet area along with the kettle moraine.. went to pound town here with some specks of 30 mixed in.. just wish it had some more stamina and good flake size like this am surprise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 So is life Its just ripping mad here right now. Probably pile ups all over the city. congrats dude... warming your shveling muscles up for the later in the week dumping. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 IKK reporting lightning to the south. METAR KIKK 171715Z AUTO 11021G27KT 1/4SM SN OVC006 M05/M07 A2991 RMK AO2 LTG DSNT S T10551068 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 would feel a lot more confident in going over 4" if returns back towards galesburg and peoria became less showery...based on obs, defo band has 2-3" hr rates but only lasts for 30 minutes or so. 8-10 looking increasingly unlikely Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brewers Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 Visibility down to 1/8th of a mile at MKE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 28kft top passing just southeast of here. Getting texts from QC peeps of thundersnow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 got some nickle size mixing in now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 Visibility down to 1/8th of a mile at MKE. ru at home for this one? how you doing down there if so? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 And just like that, it is back to flurries/--SN in Racine. Looks like about 3/4" fell. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 mke still going all in with their latest update at 11:30 AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI 1129 AM CST MON FEB 17 2014 UPDATE ONE HEAVY SNOW BAND IS MOVING THROUGH THE ERN AND NRN CWA WITH A LARGER AREA OF SNOW APPROACHING FROM IL. EXPECT THIS AREA TO BECOME MORE WIDESPREAD AND HEAVY DUE TO THE STRONG SHORTWAVE TROUGH OVER MO THAT WILL TRACK NEWD AND POSSIBLY BECOME A CLOSED 500 MB LOW AS EARLIER AS THE CHICAGO AREA OR OVER SRN LOWER MI. CYCLOGENESIS WILL OCCUR FROM SRN IL TO LAKE ERIE FROM THIS AFTERNOON INTO THE EARLY EVENING. THUS STRENGTHENING WARM ADVECTION...PVA...AND FRONTOGENESIS WILL BRING HEAVY SNOW THIS AFTERNOON. SE WI IS IN THE MOST FAVORABLE POSITION FOR THE HEAVIEST SNOW WHILE SOUTH CENTRAL WI WILL SEE A LITTLE LESS GIVEN THE FAST SPEED OF THE SYSTEM. OVERALL SNOW ACCUMS WILL RANGE FROM 4-7 INCHES WITH THE HIGHER TOTALS OVER SE WI. THE WINDS HAVE BEEN WEAKENING FROM WEST TO EAST ACROSS THE AREA THIS MORNING AND THEY WILL CONTINUE TO DO SO INTO THE AFTERNOON WHEN THE HEAVIEST SNOW ARRIVES. THUS BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW WILL NOT BE AS PROBLEMATIC AS IT HAS BEEN AT TIMES THIS MORNING. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eureka22 Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0110 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1130 AM CST MON FEB 17 2014 AREAS AFFECTED...SOUTHERN WI/NORTHERN IL TO WEST-CENTRAL/NORTHERN INDIANA AND SOUTHERN LOWER MI CONCERNING...HEAVY SNOW VALID 171730Z - 172230Z SUMMARY...MODERATE TO LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP EASTWARD THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS THE SOUTHERN HALF OF WI...MUCH OF NORTHERN/PARTS OF CENTRAL IL INCLUDING THE CHICAGO METRO AREA...INTO NORTHERN/WEST-CENTRAL INDIANA AND SOUTHWEST LOWER MI. WITH THE HEAVIEST SNOW...RATES WILL EXCEED 1+ IN/HR FOR A COUPLE HOUR DURATION. ADDITIONALLY...SOME THUNDERSTORMS AND MIXED WINTER PRECIPITATION INCLUDING SOME SLEET/FREEZING RAIN AND SNOW WILL BE POSSIBLE PARTICULARLY ACROSS NORTH-CENTRAL/EAST-CENTRAL IL INTO NORTHWEST INDIANA. DISCUSSION...A PROGRESSIVE/MODESTLY AMPLIFYING SHORTWAVE TROUGH CENTERED OVER THE LOWER MO RIVER VALLEY LATE THIS MORNING WILL CONTINUE STEADILY EASTWARD THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. PROGRESSION OF THIS SHORTWAVE TROUGH AND ASSOCIATED DPVA/WARM ADVECTION AND UPPER JET EXIT REGION INDUCED DIVERGENCE WILL LEAD TO A GENERAL EASTWARD SPREAD OF RELATIVELY STRONG UVV ACROSS THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON...PARTICULARLY ACROSS SOUTHERN WI/LOWER MI AND THE NORTHERN HALVES OF IL/INDIANA. SIMILAR TO 12Z OBSERVED SOUNDINGS...REGIONAL FORECAST SOUNDINGS GENERALLY REFLECT AMPLE UVV COINCIDENT WITH A SATURATED MID-LEVEL DENDRITIC LAYER SUPPORTIVE OF MODERATE/LOCALLY HEAVIER SNOW FOR A MULTI-HOUR DURATION...PARTICULARLY GIVEN INFLUENCES OF WEAK ELEVATED INSTABILITY ESPECIALLY ACROSS PARTS OF IL/INDIANA. THE 12Z OBSERVED SOUNDING FROM LINCOLN IL SAMPLED AROUND 60 J/KG OF MUCAPE BASED ABOVE 700 MB...WITH NEARLY 700 J/KG OF MUCAPE PER 12Z SPRINGFIELD MO. ESPECIALLY GIVEN THE PROXIMITY OF THE UPPER DRY SLOT AS PER WATER VAPOR IMAGERY...AVAILABLE INSTABILITY WILL CONTINUE TO SUPPORT THUNDERSNOW AND/OR MIXED PRECIPITATION IN ASSOCIATION WITH THUNDERSTORMS SUCH HAS BEEN REPORTED RECENTLY AT CHAMPAIGN IL /KCMI/ AND IS OTHERWISE EVIDENT IN RADAR/LIGHTNING NETWORK DATA ACROSS CENTRAL/PARTS OF NORTHEAST IL THIS MORNING. ..GUYER.. 02/17/2014 ATTN...WFO...IWX...GRR...IND...GRB...LOT...ILX...MKX...DVN... ARX... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brewers Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 Nope, up on campus all day. ru at home for this one? how you doing down there if so? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 DVN getting crushed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 that line should hit radioman decent in fondulac Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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