earthlight Posted February 3, 2014 Author Share Posted February 3, 2014 Wow...the NAM has 1" liquid for all interests. Very heavy snow with impressive frontogenic forcing and supportive snow growth within an area of strong UVV's. Lift is impressive, which is why precipitation totals have increased. If correct we're likely looking at totals upward of 10" in the heavy bands with isolated totals over 12" and potential low level KU entry. But...back to my nachos and dip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 DESTROYED Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersGrasp Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Weatherbell snow maps from NAM....8-12" everyone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 when is the snow suppose to start for LI? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rib Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 I'm getting concerned about how warm it is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 I'm getting concerned about how warm it is. 4k NAM shows the temps crashing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzardo Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 I'm getting concerned about how warm it is. My thoughts also.. it needs to start dropping off fast ! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rib Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Actually I wouldn't be shocked if the jackpot runs in the areas that are closest to the r/s line. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
+SNfreak21 Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 I'm getting concerned about how warm it is. It snowed on October 2011 and sticked, it can certainly be the case now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersGrasp Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Actually I wouldn't be shocked if the jackpot runs in the areas that are closest to the r/s line. I agree....can just pour wet snow just north of the rain snow line. Probably will be phl to edison or so Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rib Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 It snowed on October 2011 and sticked, it can certainly be the case now Up there. Down here we had an inch of slop because it was 2 degrees too warm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
user13 Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Wow....the real game is going on in this forum...ppl are gona be so suprised tom Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Euro was the 1st to pick it up Few days back THE 0000 UTC OPERATIONAL ECMWF IS NOT AS AGGRESSIVE AS THE 0000 UTC GFS IN PUSHING THIS WEEKEND`S COLD FRONT WELL OFF THE COAST. THE ECMWF SUGGESTS THAT A SURFACE WAVE WILL DEVELOP AND RIDE NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE FRONT, POSSIBLY BRINGING SOME PRECIPITATION FOR MONDAY. THE GFS REMAINS DRY. WE WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE MODEL TRENDS REGARDING THE EARLY PART OF NEXT WEEK Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 In a great winter where every Storm has rallied in our favor , this may be the biggest storm of the year for many where as 2 days ago the forecast was partly cloudy. Don't fall asleep on wed or the weekend. It just wants to snow here. IMHO . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Actually I wouldn't be shocked if the jackpot runs in the areas that are closest to the r/s line. Remember February 3-4 1995? I got thundersnow in Willow Grove, R/S was right on my doorstep, but I cashed in. I might head to my dads in Warminster to be safe. PNE is too much for me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Like a firehouse!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 In a great winter where every Storm has rallied in our favor , this may be the biggest storm of the year for many where as 2 days ago the forecast was partly cloudy. Don't fall asleep on wed or the weekend. It just wants to snow here. IMHO . you've been pretty spot on this year and I will be going all in for the weekend storm. I want a NESIS cat. 4 this weekend! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JSantanaNYC Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 What is this. NAM showinf almost a foot. I can't believe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Wow...the NAM has 1" liquid for all interests. Very heavy snow with impressive frontogenic forcing and supportive snow growth within an area of strong UVV's. Lift is impressive, which is why precipitation totals have increased. If correct we're likely looking at totals upward of 10" in the heavy bands with isolated totals over 12" and potential low level KU entry. But...back to my nachos and dip. I do hope you caught some of the "Lord Earthlight" fun this morning. But, seriously, you really make this site a really cool, funny and educational place. Cheers. Back to my Stromboli.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 People are going to be caught off guard. It went from 2-4" deal to 3-5" to a possible 8-12" deal. Not to mention its going to be a heavy wet snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Actually I wouldn't be shocked if the jackpot runs in the areas that are closest to the r/s line. This is exactly what will happen Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sferic Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 JM1220, since you are spot on, what do you see at the very most for us and earliest start and latest end times under best case scenarios Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternLI Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Looks good to go Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted February 3, 2014 Author Share Posted February 3, 2014 I do hope you caught some of the "Lord Earthlight" fun this morning. But, seriously, you really make this site a really cool, funny and educational place. Cheers. Back to my Stromboli.... I really got a good laugh out of that. Thanks for the kind words, I really do appreciate it. I learned a lot of what I know in this forum years ago...all the way back to WWBB and Eastern days. And so being able to have meteorology as a career and give back to the board by helping other people learn and have fun doing it..is something that I enjoy doing. The quality of posts in this forum has improved so much over the last 3-4 years that it almost brings a tear to my eye. Anyway, enjoy the snow! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Latest RAP still crushes us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 I really got a good laugh out of that. Thanks for the kind words, I really do appreciate it. I learned a lot of what I know in this forum years ago...all the way back to WWBB and Eastern days. And so being able to have meteorology as a career and give back to the board by helping other people learn and have fun doing it..is something that I enjoy doing. The quality of posts in this forum has improved so much over the last 3-4 years that it almost brings a tear to my eye. Anyway, enjoy the snow! you and the other moderators have done an amazing job at actually letting some non-weather related banter in the discussion threads but not too much. ive always thought humor and making fun of someone humorously is harmless and brings life to a forum. the quality in the NYC subforum has been pretty good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 you've been pretty spot on this year and I will be going all in for the weekend storm. I want a NESIS cat. 4 this weekend! Lot to ask brother , get thru wed 1st Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 you and the other moderators have done an amazing job at actually letting some non-weather related banter in the discussion threads but not too much. ive always thought humor and making fun of someone humorously is harmless and brings life to a forum. the quality in the NYC subforum has been pretty good Abso fricking lutely. Cheers and here's to the snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sock Puppet Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 I feel the same. It seems whenever we're warmer than forecast temps don't crash as expected I'm getting concerned about how warm it is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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