WintersGrasp Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Yeah. These upward adjustments may not stop on the HRRR and RAP for the next few hours. It looks like the heaviest snowband on the models has moved north past philly, however it tightened up, at least on the RAP and pulled the higher amounts south of NNJ and NYC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Absolute Humidity Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 hope that map is right... at least for this area. in the meantime, rain is encroaching fast Check your mailbox Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
viking70 Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 That is some serious moisture! http://www.intellicast.com/National/Radar/Current.aspx?animate=true Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
user13 Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 SREFs wetter and nw Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
user13 Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Nam ticked NW with the low so more rain issues in south Jersey but precip is about the same to 0z, maybe a little less on the front and little more on the tail end - it actually has a small 1.25+ touching south Brooklyn Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 18Z NAM: QPF: .5" at NW NJ. .75" at SE Sussex County. 1" at North-Central NJ into NYC (1"+). 1.2" SW of Southern Brooklyn into Central NJ. 1.3" over Trenton, NJ and Levittown, NJ. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
user13 Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 18Z NAM: QPF: .5" at NW NJ. .75" at SE Sussex County. 1" at North-Central NJ into NYC (1"+). 1.2" SW of Southern Brooklyn into Central NJ. 1.3" over Trenton, NJ and Levittown, NJ. 4k is even slightly wetter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 4k is even slightly wetter Nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCG RS Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Nice. map? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Nice. what you looking for in our area? I'd say 6-8" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RU848789 Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Just for grins, I posted the following at 2 am Sunday. Didn't do too badly with the breakdown of what the NWS would end up doing, although it took a lot longer than I expected. Had the right combo of counties getting the heaviest snow predictions, although I wasn't sure if they'd get warnings or advisories. "Having followed the NWS for a long time, given that the Euro largely held serve, with just about the same storm track and snowfall amounts as the 0Z run today, I'd expect the NWS to compromise between the more bullish and northward Euro/Canadian and the weaker/more southward GFS/NAM and at least issue winter weather advisories for 3-6" (not quite warning criteria, which is 6" or more in 12 hours for counties north of 195) for Mercer, Middlesex, Monmouth, Somerset, Hunterdon, Essex, Hudson, Union, NYC/LI, but probably leaving Warren, Sussex, Morris, Bergen, Passaic (and the Hudson Valley/CT) out of the advisories with only 1-3" predictions. I'd also expect the current watch counties along the Delaware Valley in SJ (Burlington, Ocean, Camden, Gloucester, and Salem) and in SE PA converted to warnings for 4-6", where warning criteria are 4" in 12 hours. I'd also guess that they might put up warnings for Atlantic and Cumberland, as enough of those counties could get 4" or more of snow after a changeover from rain, to start. Cape May might just get a WWAdvisory. Let's see how I do, lol." http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php/topic/42642-feb-3rd-event/page-24#entry2714831 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 what you looking for in our area? I'd say 6-8" Yes, but it could be more because I already have 1" of snow.Sent from my HTC PH39100 using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 32 mod snow close to a inch. love the winter wonderland look of wet snows Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gkrangers Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Please let me know if this is coming through or are you guys seeing an error message . Nope. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sock Puppet Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Doesn't show Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow1 Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Please let me know if this is coming through or are you guys seeing an error message . Error.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Error.. Ok Thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 WB maps still blocked , Sorry bout that , was a nice 4k NAM . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LHSnow Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 I can see it on my ipad. Error.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeS Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 HRRR has about 8"+ for the entire area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
patrick05 Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 flakes have gotten considerably larger... about 3/4" of an inch so far... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BoulderWX Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 does not look like the heavy banding in SEPA/SNJ is going to make it up to the NYC metro.. still should see a decent storm, but for those 6+ totals we were gonna need to be in the heavy banding to overcome marginal accumulation issues... looks like a 3-5" in NYC and SEPA/SNJ/CNJ closer to 6-12" IMO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BrooklynSnow97 Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 does not look like the heavy banding in SEPA/SNJ is going to make it up to the NYC metro.. still should see a decent storm, but for those 6+ totals we were gonna need to be in the heavy banding to overcome marginal accumulation issues... Your Wrong Kiddo looks like a 3-5" in NYC and SEPA/SNJ/CNJ closer to 6-12" IMO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 does not look like the heavy banding in SEPA/SNJ is going to make it up to the NYC metro.. still should see a decent storm, but for those 6+ totals we were gonna need to be in the heavy banding to overcome marginal accumulation issues... looks like a 3-5" in NYC and SEPA/SNJ/CNJ closer to 6-12" IMO It looks heavier there because that is rain. Looking at the Central PA radar, snow looks to be inching north there. Everything's on track for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BoulderWX Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 does not look like the heavy banding in SEPA/SNJ is going to make it up to the NYC metro.. still should see a decent storm, but for those 6+ totals we were gonna need to be in the heavy banding to overcome marginal accumulation issues... Your Wrong Kiddo looks like a 3-5" in NYC and SEPA/SNJ/CNJ closer to 6-12" IMO that was exactly my call?!? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BoulderWX Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 It looks heavier there because that is rain. Looking at the Central PA radar, snow looks to be inching north there. Everything's on track for us. ill be patient and not look at radar for an hour... ill see if we can make some progress, just looks like guidance was a little too far north with heaviest axis.. not complaining, just saying I think more of a 3-5 event in NYC and 6-12 in SEPA and CNJ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 ill be patient and not look at radar for an hour... ill see if we can make some progress, just looks like guidance was a little too far north with heaviest axis.. not complaining, just saying I think more of a 3-5 event in NYC and 6-12 in SEPA and CNJ But a lot of places are already close to 3 in and around the city... Even without heavy banding 6"+ is likely Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 you're being tricked by bright banding Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 I think the snow over Southern PA, pushing north while moving East will provide the best snowfall rates. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weathergun Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 you're being tricked by bright banding We go through this every time. Some bright banding could very wet snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.