Superstorm Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 Flakes starting to fly here in Lancaster. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 Light snow in Ephrata. Looks like that band that was shown yesterday on the sim radar is actually happening as it is backfilling to the west. Nut Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 We have a dusting so far, had light snow but now the sun's out. Although the clouds to my west are really dark. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 all but stopped here. Hopefully things pull together for the forecast to verify. I'm always skeptical of clippers to our north and WAA snow forecasts (based on living SE of the mountains). All you "mountain folk" steal our QPF. Nut Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 Blue skies are prominent atm. Never a good sign for a snow event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 Nice day out...lol. Boy do I love these NW pattern clippers lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daxx Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 Light snow falling here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 Blue skies are prominent atm. Never a good sign for a snow event. I'm curious to see what that band in Clearfield County does. It's growing some and looking at traffic cams, some heavy snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 I'm curious to see what that band in Clearfield County does. It's growing some and looking at traffic cams, some heavy snow. Walker Building only shows 48% humidity... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 Walker Building only shows 48% humidity... Wondering if this is one of those clippers that gets snow all the way to Stormstown but not UNV. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
heavy_wx Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 Walker Building only shows 48% humidity... Yea pretty dry at KUNV as well with 25F/1F. The sun's out here for now though we'll probably see some light snow over the next several hours. There may be a few heavier squalls later this evening as low-level lapse rates become less stable as colder air moves in at 850 mb ahead of the surface cold front. You can already see those type of features forming over southern MI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NeffsvilleWx Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 Ice, Ice Baby 35mm, f/11 55mm f/11 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 Yea pretty dry at KUNV as well with 25F/1F. The sun's out here for now though we'll probably see some light snow over the next several hours. There may be a few heavier squalls later this evening as low-level lapse rates become less stable as colder air moves in at 850 mb ahead of the surface cold front. You can already see those type of features forming over southern MI. Those can throw down some nice surprises every now and then. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 Ice, Ice Baby Man, I really wish I was home to get a view of the Susky up our way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PennMan Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 Wondering if this is one of those clippers that gets snow all the way to Stormstown but not UNV. Doesn't look like much of anything is getting over the Allegheny Weather Knife for awhile. Bright, sunny day in Bellefonte. Maybe we get lucky and get a quick half inch in a squall later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 Pretty much all the major 0z guidance tonight looked kinda ugly for later next weekend (day 8-10 range). Closer look of the GFS wasn't as bad as I thought, an overrunning snow event at 174 that transitions to ice and some rain before cold comes back (followed by another wave of ice/rain/snow in truncation land around D11-12). The European has the same weekend system but more of an ice to rain look to it initially and by 240 we're stuck on the wrong side of the gradient with a major southeast ridge. Euro operational was def the worst looking of the bunch IMO in that 8-10 day timeframe (and probably beyond that) . What's becoming clear is we're going to have a pattern change around this time next week as the big western ridge gets broken down and we transition into a more active pattern with a flatter storm track along the gradient. As I mentioned earlier, any attempt to rout our established cold regime and snowpack is likely to be met with resistance in the form of ice and snow. I would imagine models are probably not even close to resolving what this upcoming pattern change is going to mean in terms of our sensible weather yet given the range, and we easily could be seeing multiple of waves of snow on the models in a few days with a weaker se ridge and lower storm track. It's a high risk/high reward type look to things, that's for sure. This is getting a distinct 1994 vibe to it. But then again, as you point out, long-range models are having fits this season. So who knows. Keep in mind, last weekend at this time the long-range models were talking torch for this upcoming week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 So the GFS in the long range shows 50 degrees on my birthday (February 8th). Too bad it's 348 hours out. Smart man, this is the best way to approach the sight of weather you want (or don't want) on the long range. Last weekend several over on the Philly forum jumped all over the torch the GFS was showing for our Polar Death Vortex week coming up. So, yeah. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 Doesn't look like much of anything is getting over the Allegheny Weather Knife for awhile. Bright, sunny day in Bellefonte. Maybe we get lucky and get a quick half inch in a squall later. Hope this sun doesn't make road temps around freezing, could be talking some ugly roads later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahantango#1 Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 Nws has mentioned possible snow squalls this afternoon and evening. Any thoughts? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 I-80 through the Wasatch Mountains in Utah US 22 through the Alleghenies near Cresson Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 That snow is trying, boy, to get past the Great Wall of I-99. No more sun and starting to snow again, at least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PennMan Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 That snow is trying, boy, to get past the Great Wall of I-99. No more sun and starting to snow again, at least. Yeah, looks like it might make it in the next hour or two. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 Yeah, looks like it might make it in the next hour or two. Friend on Facebook said its' really snowing hard in Philipsburg. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Laurel Highlands Wx Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 Good Morning everyone. So far we have a little over 2 inches. Really hard to get a good measurement due to a gusty wind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 Getting nervous of a bust here. Nws says 2-4 but only flurries earlier and now the sun is out. Been missing every snow somehow all year so I should expect it. Was thinking I could at least nickel and dime my way to a decent snowcover this week but the snow bands just missed me the other night now this is falling apart and Monday looks north. Trying to stay optimistic but feel snakebit this year. Still only at 15" hope I don't manage to end up well below normal while most if the northeast is above. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PennMan Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 A few sad flakes finally reaching the ground in Bellefonte. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
skiier04 Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 Few flurries here now as well but the sun's still out!! Been frustratingly watching the radar all morning, Clearfield county looks like they've been getting it pretty good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
djr5001 Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 Nws has mentioned possible snow squalls this afternoon and evening. Any thoughts? lapse rates later today are expected to be favorable for some good squalls to develop over western pa that seems to be what they are banking on Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 Flakes finally. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 Not this **** again... Cold is ok, but not these dang wind chills. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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