Cashtown_Coop Posted January 23, 2014 Share Posted January 23, 2014 got down to -6 thanks to skies clearing out. KTHV touched -10 http://w1.weather.gov/data/obhistory/KTHV.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted January 23, 2014 Share Posted January 23, 2014 NWS CTP discussion for today is sort of interesting. Snow squalls due to instability. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 23, 2014 Share Posted January 23, 2014 NWS CTP discussion for today is sort of interesting. Snow squalls due to instability. Eric Horst put on Twitter last night that anyone west of the Susquehanna is in line for intense squalls this afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PennMan Posted January 23, 2014 Share Posted January 23, 2014 NWS CTP discussion for today is sort of interesting. Snow squalls due to instability. Looks like a good opportunity to pick up a quick inch or two. I am driving most of the length of I-99 from 3:30-5PM today so that should be about the worst of it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PennMan Posted January 23, 2014 Share Posted January 23, 2014 06z GFS has State College at -15 or -16°F Wednesday morning. Then a high of around 0° in the afternoon and a low near -12° Thursday morning. I have to think that is a bit overdone, but if we have 4" of snow on the ground, who knows. Just stupid cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted January 23, 2014 Share Posted January 23, 2014 Very light snow falling, dusting on cars. Nothing at home, but a mile the way the bird flies, i had a new dusting on the parking lot here at work when i got in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 23, 2014 Share Posted January 23, 2014 06z GFS has State College at -15 or -16°F Wednesday morning. Then a high of around 0° in the afternoon and a low near -12° Thursday morning. I have to think that is a bit overdone, but if we have 4" of snow on the ground, who knows. Just stupid cold. It's gonna happen...that's JB's "infrastructure damaging cold." Thinking at some point over the next 10 days or so we get something to pop and deliver an area-wide snowfall. Maybe as the cold air retreats? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted January 23, 2014 Share Posted January 23, 2014 Looks like a good opportunity to pick up a quick inch or two. I am driving most of the length of I-99 from 3:30-5PM today so that should be about the worst of it. Careful, man. What was probably Centre County's worst traffic accident occurred during a squall on I-80 06z GFS has State College at -15 or -16°F Wednesday morning. Then a high of around 0° in the afternoon and a low near -12° Thursday morning. I have to think that is a bit overdone, but if we have 4" of snow on the ground, who knows. Just stupid cold. It's gonna happen...that's JB's "infrastructure damaging cold." Thinking at some point over the next 10 days or so we get something to pop and deliver an area-wide snowfall. Maybe as the cold air retreats? Adam Moyer just posted this: https://twitter.com/AdamPHLWx/status/426347153397907456 As he just replied to me, IF this were to occur, that would mean a snowy Feb/Mar for all of us but it's not a slam dunk. HM has noted there is something going on for sure and Adam mentioned about the EPO will lead to a Wave 2. Whatever that means. So, if you're Voyager, probably root against the SSW. I know that the SSW gets tossed around at AmWx in a totally weenie way, but these are not hypster forecasters. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted January 23, 2014 Share Posted January 23, 2014 -15 for the walk to class next Wednesday? No thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted January 23, 2014 Share Posted January 23, 2014 -15 for the walk to class next Wednesday? No thanks. I wonder if those in the overheated offices of Old Main will see it in their hearts to at least have a delay. Ha. Now that was funny. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted January 23, 2014 Share Posted January 23, 2014 Arctic cold GFY!!!!!! That is all Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PennMan Posted January 23, 2014 Share Posted January 23, 2014 It's gonna happen...that's JB's "infrastructure damaging cold." Thinking at some point over the next 10 days or so we get something to pop and deliver an area-wide snowfall. Maybe as the cold air retreats? We'll see how much of a relaxation we get and for how long, but yeah, I'd think there would be opportunities if the pattern breaks down a bit. "Dirty warmup". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted January 23, 2014 Share Posted January 23, 2014 06z GFS has State College at -15 or -16°F Wednesday morning. Then a high of around 0° in the afternoon and a low near -12° Thursday morning. I have to think that is a bit overdone, but if we have 4" of snow on the ground, who knows. Just stupid cold. Makes me want to Had to thaw pipes this morning before work...lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 23, 2014 Share Posted January 23, 2014 My river photos late next week will be spectacular! (had a quick dusting downtown but now it's sunny) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
heavy_wx Posted January 23, 2014 Share Posted January 23, 2014 The 00z Euro ensemble mean does have a bit of a relaxation in the cold around day 10. The PV retreats a bit farther north into Quebec as a trough builds over the west coast. Here is the composite mean 850 mb temperatures and anomalies based on the top analogs from the Euro ensemble mean. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PennMan Posted January 23, 2014 Share Posted January 23, 2014 Pretty much blue sky here right now, but a light snow falling...pixie dust. Cool. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted January 23, 2014 Share Posted January 23, 2014 The 00z Euro ensemble mean does have a bit of a relaxation in the cold around day 10. The PV retreats a bit farther north into Quebec as a trough builds over the west coast. Here is the composite mean 850 mb temperatures and anomalies based on the top analogs from the Euro ensemble mean. ecmAnalog850_240.png Please let this happen!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted January 23, 2014 Share Posted January 23, 2014 Please let this happen!!! We would need a cutter to get as warm as our earlier warmups though. Appears like the pattern reloads after that but not sure how cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 23, 2014 Share Posted January 23, 2014 Wait, what's this snow thing on Saturday? We have to run to BWI, then DC, then back to HBG starting mid-morning and probably returning around 9 p.m. Don't want to mess with 83 and the beltways in snow ... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted January 23, 2014 Share Posted January 23, 2014 12z NAM does seem to be showing something decent for Monday...but that's the 84-hour NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted January 23, 2014 Share Posted January 23, 2014 Wait, what's this snow thing on Saturday? We have to run to BWI, then DC, then back to HBG starting mid-morning and probably returning around 9 p.m. Don't want to mess with 83 and the beltways in snow ... to me, looked like 1-1 1/2 for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted January 23, 2014 Share Posted January 23, 2014 We would need a cutter to get as warm as our earlier warmups though. Appears like the pattern reloads after that but not sure how cold. Hate to admit it but after this cold I will welcome a cutter with open arms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 23, 2014 Share Posted January 23, 2014 to me, looked like 1-1 1/2 for us.Ah, shouldn't be a major issue then. Thanks! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarlislePaWx Posted January 23, 2014 Share Posted January 23, 2014 What a surprise to wake up earlier to 0 degrees! It was 10 when I went to bed last night and the clouds had moved in. It obviously cleared before dawn and my temp plummeted. I was going to point out late last night after the 0Z GFS was done that the amount of continuous cold really looked incredible. During the full run the warmest the 850 level reached was Zero! It had KCXY with negative lows next Tues, Wed, Thur, and Fri mornings. The coldest morning was Thursday morning at -8F ! And, during the entire run the temperature remained below 32F except for one 12-hour period near the end of the run when a storm giving rain, sleet, and then snow occurred as arctic air was coming back in again to deliver a morning low of -4F again. If we remain continuously below 32F for the next 12+ days that would have to be one of the longest continuous runs of below freezing temps in a really long time. Maybe djr can check his records to find out when the longest stretch of AOB 32 temps at Harrisburg ever has been there? Personally, as long as there is a decent amount of snow on the ground then I won't mind the continuous cold. It doesn't look like there is going to be any meaningful melting of the snow currently on the ground upcoming with additional chances to add to the base at least a little coming up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NeffsvilleWx Posted January 23, 2014 Share Posted January 23, 2014 Check out the 12z GFS for MDT: 140129/1200Z 144 30005KT -8.2F 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.000 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.00 0| 0| 0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daxx Posted January 23, 2014 Share Posted January 23, 2014 I have been getting flurries and at times light snow falling for the last 10 minutes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarlislePaWx Posted January 23, 2014 Share Posted January 23, 2014 Check out the 12z GFS for MDT: KCXY next week morning lows / afternoon highs: Tues: -5 / +4 Wed: -9 / +6 Thur: -6 / +13 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
djr5001 Posted January 23, 2014 Share Posted January 23, 2014 What a surprise to wake up earlier to 0 degrees! It was 10 when I went to bed last night and the clouds had moved in. It obviously cleared before dawn and my temp plummeted. I was going to point out late last night after the 0Z GFS was done that the amount of continuous cold really looked incredible. During the full run the warmest the 850 level reached was Zero! It had KCXY with negative lows next Tues, Wed, Thur, and Fri mornings. The coldest morning was Thursday morning at -8F ! And, during the entire run the temperature remained below 32F except for one 12-hour period near the end of the run when a storm giving rain, sleet, and then snow occurred as arctic air was coming back in again to deliver a morning low of -4F again. If we remain continuously below 32F for the next 12+ days that would have to be one of the longest continuous runs of below freezing temps in a really long time. Maybe djr can check his records to find out when the longest stretch of AOB 32 temps at Harrisburg ever has been there? Personally, as long as there is a decent amount of snow on the ground then I won't mind the continuous cold. It doesn't look like there is going to be any meaningful melting of the snow currently on the ground upcoming with additional chances to add to the base at least a little coming up. Top 3 recent longest 32 or below stretches that I have so far for Harrisburg: 13 - December 18-30, 2000 (average high 27 - average low 14) 12 - January 14-25, 2003 (average high 26 - average low 14) 12 - January 8-19, 1982 (average high 21 - average low 8) (note had 20 of 21 straight days at or below 32... one day had high of 36) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Atomixwx Posted January 23, 2014 Share Posted January 23, 2014 Hate to admit it but after this cold I will welcome a cutter with open arms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted January 23, 2014 Share Posted January 23, 2014 Lmao. But in all seriousness this prolonged cold is a pain in the arse. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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