NeffsvilleWx Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 Those point and clicks are constantly changing, 20 minutes ago it was 2-4, then 3-5, now back to 2-4 the offices are obviously speaking to each other and trying to figure out the best way to approach areas that borderline other offices, re: york for example. I've also noticed that the zone forecasts, point and click and the warning text doesn't always jive. I've noticed the same thing. It's just funny to watch the constant updates. Edit: Back to 3-5 for LNS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 I've noticed the same thing. It's just funny to watch the constant updates. I usually just pay attention to the warning text and expect somewhere in the range the warning has me for. Sunday, it was 3-5 with 1/4 ice... overperformed that with 7.5 Tuesday was 3-6 and I got 3.6... low? yes, but still within the warning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 I've noticed the same thing. It's just funny to watch the constant updates. Edit: Back to 3-5 for LNS yup, I'm back to 3-5 myself Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 Those point and clicks are constantly changing, 20 minutes ago it was 2-4, then 3-5, now back to 2-4 the offices are obviously speaking to each other and trying to figure out the best way to approach areas that borderline other offices, re: york for example. I've also noticed that the zone forecasts, point and click and the warning text doesn't always jive. I wouldn't worry too much about point and clicks, I'm pretty sure they are computer generated. I always go by what the actual warning or advisory is calling for. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 I've noticed the same thing. It's just funny to watch the constant updates. Edit: Back to 3-5 for LNS That doesn't include Saturday night which will probably have a few more inches Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NeffsvilleWx Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 That doesn't include Saturday night which will probably have a few more inches LNS will jump up to 6-8 at somepoint: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
I-83 BLIZZARD Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 I for one think places like york and lancaster should only have an advisory for 2 to 4. Nothing I see implies 5 to 8.Qpf is there. If there is no mixing it could easily be the 8. As the disco states that is the wild card here on this zone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 LNS will jump up to 6-8 at somepoint: Holy moly. If someone gets screwed tomorrow, may God be with those around you ... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NeffsvilleWx Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 Holy moly. If someone gets screwed tomorrow, may God be with those around you ... York will only get 2-4. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 York will only get 2-4. And I'll get 3-5", sucks to be anyone in York Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 3-5 implies Saturday snow. You forgot the evening snow potential of another couple inches as banding is a possibility prior to any possible changeover. Nut Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 And I'll get 3-5", sucks to be anyone in York mapgirl, this is a wx board not a "how crappy is the area" board. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 mapgirl, this is a wx board not a "how crappy is the area" board. touche, won't happen again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 York will only get 2-4. And I'll get 3-5", sucks to be anyone in York Katie will get 3-5, york a trace and us 4-6.. York is total screw zone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Storm Clouds Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 Hey guys! I'm definitely very interested in this storm. Will be cool to see if indeed my area (York/Lancaster) can overpreform with snow. Wish I could go up to my grandparent's house in Williamsport for this one...they look to be jackpot zone! It's very tempting to drive up there... Oh and stop with the York, PA bashing! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 Katie will get 3-5, york a trace and us 4-6.. York is total screw zone October 2011 proved otherwise If anyone is a screwzone it's probably Cockeysville ...this seems like the kind of storm where Parkton does much better. Glad I'm staying at MU for this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 York will only get 2-4. Well, the dude might be right, but there is little to support his bravado. It's kind of the reverse of wishcasting. Such low expectations going into this winter, and such a promising start. Here's to a warning event for all of us... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Storm Clouds Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 October 2011 proved otherwise If anyone is a screwzone it's probably Cockeysville ...this seems like the kind of storm where Parkton does much better. Glad I'm staying at MU for this You go to Millersville college? I go there and have an apartment. I finished my last final and decided to come home for this storm...hopefully I made the right decision haha! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yorkpa25 Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 If you people are trying to upset me good luck. All I threw out was my opinion on my area. Are any of you from York,PA? I didn't think so. I lived here since 1984 and I have witnessed these types of storm systems often. Flirting with the mix line normally does not bode well here In York County. I have my opinion you have yours, sometimes this forum is like a bunch of kids. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarlislePaWx Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 Ummm.... Didn't York just receive a foot of snow less than a week ago?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Storm Clouds Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 If you people are trying to upset me good luck. All I threw out was my opinion on my area. Are any of you from York,PA? I didn't think so. I lived here since 1984 and I have witnessed these types of storm systems often. Flirting with the mix line normally does not bode well here In York County. I have my opinion you have yours, sometimes this forum is like a bunch of kids. I'm from York and think we'll be fine. I'd be more worried living in the counties right below the Mason Dixion line. Almost all models have at least 4 inches here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 If you people are trying to upset me good luck. All I threw out was my opinion on my area. Are any of you from York,PA? I didn't think so. I lived here since 1984 and I have witnessed these types of storm systems often. Flirting with the mix line normally does not bode well here In York County. I have my opinion you have yours, sometimes this forum is like a bunch of kids. There is no "mix line" until late Saturday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NeffsvilleWx Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 There is no "mix line" until late Saturday. Roughly 03z. A grand total of about 0.06" of precip after the mix line is projected to push into the LSV. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AllWeather Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 The biggest forecasting dilemma, in my opinion, is along the southern counties where the warm mid-level nose of air will be racing the dryslot. It could be a situation where the changeover *would have* occured if not for the dryslot out-pacing the warm push. Otherwise, a changeover seems pretty likely from route 30 south...especially east of I-81 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NeffsvilleWx Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 Saturday: Snow Developing Between 6 AM and Noon. Moderate To Heavy Snow During The Afternoon/Evening. Wintry Mix (Sleet/Freezing Rain) Possible In Southern Counties After Sunset. High: 32. 2-4" South of Rt. 30.4-6" Along Rt. 30 and North, Including Lebanon, Harrisburg and Chambersburg.6"+ In Northern & Northwestern Counties. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 RGEM was the serious business. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yorkpa25 Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 I'm done arguing about my opinion. I for one hope it's 5 to 8 but I rather caution on the low side. Big deal. And no CarlislePAWX my location in york received 3.5 last Sunday and 6 on Tuesday. Roughly 9.5 in both storms combined. I will admit that it has been a great start to December and winter as a whole for that matter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 Latest euro is straight boomtown for all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 Euro numbers probably closest to correct. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
I-83 BLIZZARD Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 Euro maps line up close to the nws map. Im sure as always if you can tap into some nice bands there will be isolated higher totals. Largest storm in a couple years for all of us! Great to see a regionwide event on tap. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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