IsentropicLift Posted June 28, 2013 Share Posted June 28, 2013 00z NAM has a big round of storms for Friday night Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted June 28, 2013 Share Posted June 28, 2013 00z NAM has a big round of storms for Friday night A whopping .07" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
user13 Posted June 28, 2013 Share Posted June 28, 2013 00z NAM has a big round of storms for Friday night Are we going to be in slight risk 5 days is a row? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted June 28, 2013 Share Posted June 28, 2013 Got called to a house struck by lightning. Hardest rain I've seen in years here. In Pequannock? They just showed a house on Channel 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted June 28, 2013 Share Posted June 28, 2013 0.13". We'll probably get more tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted June 28, 2013 Share Posted June 28, 2013 In Pequannock? They just showed a house on Channel 7 Yes, we saw the reporters. the white truck is ours and my company has black gear. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chaser25973 Posted June 28, 2013 Share Posted June 28, 2013 Did CPK break the record? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted June 28, 2013 Share Posted June 28, 2013 I've had a couple of brief downpours these past few days but it wasn't anything spectacular, it probably lasted no more than 5 to 10 minutes if that. I'm hoping we get something a bit more decent in the days ahead. And at least another month or so before true hurricane season begins, which is a lot more exciting than watching some elevated storms just miss you or getting brief heavy showers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted June 28, 2013 Share Posted June 28, 2013 Did CPK break the record? No. NYC has picked up 0.23" bringing the monthly figure to 10.04". That ranks 3rd behind 2003 (10.27") and 2009 (10.06"). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JonClaw Posted June 28, 2013 Share Posted June 28, 2013 Did CPK break the record? Recorded 0.23 inches. Another 0.24" to go! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted June 28, 2013 Share Posted June 28, 2013 The 00z GFS is about 0.50"+ through 00z Saturday 24hr totals Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted June 28, 2013 Share Posted June 28, 2013 0.15" in freehold, 0.41 over the last 2 days.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
user13 Posted June 28, 2013 Share Posted June 28, 2013 No. NYC has picked up 0.23" bringing the monthly figure to 10.04". That ranks 3rd behind 2003 (10.27") and 2009 (10.06"). Its crazy how records always seem to make you sweat. Who would have though in the middle of June with 1" left we would still not have broken it by June 28. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted June 28, 2013 Share Posted June 28, 2013 Its crazy how records always seem to make you sweat. Who would have though in the middle of June with 1" left we would still not have broken it by June 28. It would be kind of annoying to just fall short of the record, but with less than a .25" to go and plenty more rain chances for the next 3 days, I think we will break it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
user13 Posted June 28, 2013 Share Posted June 28, 2013 Slight risk again for later today... 5 days in a row I believe (that has to be a record) ...ERN PORTIONS OF OH VALLEY...MID ATLANTIC THROUGH NERN STATES... WSWLY WINDS ALOFT WILL STRENGTHEN AS A RESULT OF THE AMPLIFYING UPPER TROUGH. UPPER 60S TO NEAR 70 DEWPOINTS WILL EXIST EAST OF LEE TROUGH SUPPORTING MODERATE /1000-2000 J/KG/ MLCAPE AS THE SFC LAYER WARMS DURING THE AFTERNOON. STORMS WILL ONCE AGAIN DEVELOP BY LATE MORNING INTO THE AFTERNOON OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN AND IN LOW-LEVEL CONVERGENCE ZONE AND SPREAD INTO THE DESTABILIZING WARM SECTOR. OTHER STORMS WILL INITIATE WITHIN THE WEAKLY CAPPED ENVIRONMENT OVER THE OH VALLEY. VERTICAL SHEAR INCREASING TO 30-40 KT WILL SUPPORT POSSIBILITY OF ORGANIZED STORMS INCLUDING POTENTIAL FOR BOWING LINE SEGMENTS AND UPDRAFT ROTATION. ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND AND LARGE HAIL WILL BE THE MAIN THREATS INTO EARLY EVENING. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted June 28, 2013 Share Posted June 28, 2013 The first week of July is looking like +2 to +3 above normal temperatures with higher dewpoints. You'll notice the the cooler temperatures over our heat wave genesis regions in the center of the country. That cool shot there will probably temper any potential for major heat into early July for us. The highs this week will probably not get matched for a while to come. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted June 28, 2013 Share Posted June 28, 2013 Not here. As soon as my area got in the yellows we started getting downpours...when the red stuff was over us it was insane. Short lived though unlike to my south and west I'm waiting for a winterwarlock report. I'm sure he'll say it rained for 10 minutes but his area must have had at least 2 to 3" it rained pretty hard for about 70 minutes...had to leave the groceries in the car, still no lightning or wind and just a few rumbles of thunder. Nothing that I have not experienced before. I see people posting stuff about raining harder than they ever saw before....omg people have very short memories Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow_Miser Posted June 28, 2013 Share Posted June 28, 2013 it rained pretty hard for about 70 minutes...had to leave the groceries in the car, still no lightning or wind and just a few rumbles of thunder. Nothing that I have not experienced before. I see people posting stuff about raining harder than they ever saw before....omg people have very short memories There was plenty of lightning where I was. Also a lot of thunder. Winds also got fairly breezy for a point. Our area got over three inches of rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weathergun Posted June 28, 2013 Share Posted June 28, 2013 Assuming other factors come into place, drier mid-levels and stronger shear on the soundings, support t-storms with stronger downbursts and more hail today. Over LI and Coastal CT, the SW winds off the water, will probably limit instability for severe t-storms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted June 28, 2013 Share Posted June 28, 2013 Picked up another quick 0.36" with that "shower" that popped up this morning. Poured for about 20 minutes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RutgersWx92 Posted June 28, 2013 Share Posted June 28, 2013 it rained pretty hard for about 70 minutes...had to leave the groceries in the car, still no lightning or wind and just a few rumbles of thunder. Nothing that I have not experienced before. I see people posting stuff about raining harder than they ever saw before....omg people have very short memories It's not everyday you get 2.5 to 3 inches of rain in 90 minutes...and there were plenty of reports of lightning in the area. According to the CoCoRahs reports looks like about 2.71'' here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted June 28, 2013 Share Posted June 28, 2013 It's not everyday you get 2.5 to 3 inches of rain in 90 minutes...and there were plenty of reports of lightning in the area. According to the CoCoRahs reports looks like about 2.71'' here. The only thing that compared to the rain last night in recent memory was Irene. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted June 28, 2013 Share Posted June 28, 2013 Despite the 12z NAM only spitting out between 0.10-0.25" for tonight some areas could see a lot more if the 4k simulated radar has any clue Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted June 28, 2013 Share Posted June 28, 2013 If the 4km is correct, then today will be drier around here than the previous forecasts with the best storm potential south where the SPC has 30% wind and more scattered up this way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
supermeh Posted June 28, 2013 Share Posted June 28, 2013 If the 4km is correct, then today will be drier around here than the previous forecasts with the best storm potential south. ptot16.gif Models are focusing storms to the south for today. According to the models, looks like a dry day today and tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted June 28, 2013 Share Posted June 28, 2013 If the 4km is correct, then today will be drier around here than the previous forecasts with the best storm potential south where the SPC has 30% wind. ptot16.gif Lets hope that the 4k NAM is a litte to far south today. Decent severe parameters are in place today. Not to mention that QPF output doesn't match really well with this radar image Some areas last night saw 2-3"+ of rain, especially west of the city. No model has really been able to nail the exact locations of the heaviest rainfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted June 28, 2013 Share Posted June 28, 2013 Lets hope that the 4k NAM is a litte to far south today. Decent severe parameters are in place today. Not to mention that QPF output doesn't match really well with this radar image Some areas last night saw 2-3"+ of rain, especially west of the city. No model has really been able to nail the exact locations of the heaviest rainfall. False. RGEM nailed it, and the RAP was damn close. Stop being a weenie. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted June 28, 2013 Share Posted June 28, 2013 False. RGEM nailed it, and the RAP was damn close. Stop being a weenie. The RGEM had western and central NJ getting hammered last night? Most models had under an inch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TWCCraig Posted June 28, 2013 Share Posted June 28, 2013 3rd time this month the pressure is sub-1000mb. Pretty rare for June. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted June 28, 2013 Share Posted June 28, 2013 The good news is that the 12z NAM sends a pretty potent batch of rain over Long Island and New England late Saturday and early Sunday just clipping the city. Bad news is that it looks pretty potent and someone is going to get a lot more rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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