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About RutgersWx92

  • Birthday 05/16/1992

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  • Four Letter Airport Code For Weather Obs (Such as KDCA)
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  • Location:
    Bridgewater, NJ

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  1. The Euro wasn't without its own issues too though, as has been pointed out already. Even just 24 hours out, it was way too far west with Irma's track once it got to Florida. Overall it performed the best, but that was a crucial mistake that made a big difference for highly-populated areas.
  2. The ECMWF struggled also. It was right about more Cuba interaction, but the 00z run yesterday had the center of Irma tracking just west of Tampa Bay, which was obviously way too far west and a pretty bad forecast for just 24 hours out.
  3. It's downright irresponsible and reckless to be making statements like this. It encourages complacency when in reality this is still a very serious (if not dire) situation for Florida. The models have Irma intensifying in the very warm waters once it pulls away from Cuba, and there is nothing that makes me believe that won't happen. Even IF (and that's a big if) it weakens down to a Category 3 by this afternoon, it could easily strengthen back to a solid Category 4 or stronger before making landfall. Also, this will likely be tracking up a good portion of the west coast of Florida, and it's a very large storm, so many places will be severely impacted. This is compounded by the fact that SW FL and Tampa are very prone to storm surge. So please, stop already.
  4. Actually the first since 1924. I was surprised when I read that too.
  5. Looking at the HWRF model, it has Irma beginning the northerly turn between 00z and 03z. The next couple hours will be crucial to whether it just scrapes the coast and hits the barrier islands like most of the models say (which shouldn't weaken the storm much) or whether it goes into mainland Cuba (which would definitely weaken it some). It's a wait-and-see game right now, and anyone trying to downplay this yet is being ridiculous.
  6. I meant it's something that's always brought up, after every single event. And you weren't the only one who said it. We get it, there is just about always a scenario where a catastrophic weather event "could have been worse". Pointing it out every time is unnecessary and tiresome.
  7. Again, there is almost always a scenario one can think of for a catastrophic weather event being "even worse". It doesn't need to be repeated over and over again after every single event.
  8. Cedar Bayou definitely received a little more rain after that measurement was taken, but last night on CNN they said the gauge broke, so if that's true I guess we'll never know exactly how much they ended up getting.
  9. But you can still say that for just about any event. You could argue if Katrina had make landfall maybe 50 miles further west and put New Orleans in the eastern eyewall, and/or if it hadn't weakened right before landfall, the devastation there could have been even worse. You could argue if Sandy had been just 20 mph stronger when it hit NJ/NY (and history shows it's certainly possible for a hurricane that strong to hit this region), it could have been much worse. The point is, there is just about always a scenario you can think of for a catastrophic weather event being "even worse". Hearing about it after every one gets tiresome and to me it feels like it's trying to diminish the immense devastation and human suffering that are going on right now, even if that isn't your intention.
  10. Keep in mind those amounts are not adjusted for inflation.
  11. Parts of Staten Island got devastated by flooding from Sandy. Is Staten Island not part of NYC? There was also flooding in parts of Brooklyn and lower Manhattan, including the NYC subway system. To say NYC didn't get flooding from Sandy is absurd.
  12. There's going to be a delayed response for bodies of water as large as those.
  13. I drove with friends all the way down to Kentucky to see it, and it was one of the most spectacular things I've ever seen. Even though it was only two minutes, it was well worth the 14-hour trip. Words and pictures cannot do it justice. It was like someone turned a switch between day and night, and the temperature dropped very noticeably. Seeing the Sun's corona shimmering around the moon, and then the "diamond ring" effect as the Sun peeked back out, was beautiful. The 20-minute period before totality was cool too with everything gradually getting dimmer and the crescent shadows. For a very short time, the nation forgot all its problems and differences and just focused on the beauty of our universe, and remembered how small we are compared to it.
  14. 1.03" yesterday in Bridgewater, NJ.
  15. Had quite a snow squall come through Bridgewater about half an hour ago. Picked up a quick inch in 20 minutes. Visibilities couldn't have been more than a tenth of a mile. I suppose I should add that to my storm total to bring me up to 8.5-9". Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk