Brian5671 Posted May 29, 2013 Share Posted May 29, 2013 Most places nE of Wby saw nothing Fair enough. Scott made a good call there. - That cell just died a quick death over I-87 in NY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
free_man Posted May 29, 2013 Share Posted May 29, 2013 powerful cell firing near ALB Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted May 29, 2013 Share Posted May 29, 2013 Another batch of clearing moving through here in Great Barrington. Can't wait for the 21z mesoanalysis update Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guvna Posted May 29, 2013 Share Posted May 29, 2013 @MattNoyesNECN: Latest high resolution 4cast for 5PM (pretty accurate): http://t.co/oL88bgE3vd 9PM: http://t.co/DO78WpmZBC 10PM: http://t.co/0CtXDIvdfQ If it looks like that between 9 & 10 pm around here, I'll buy you a 30 pack. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted May 29, 2013 Share Posted May 29, 2013 FWIW...those storms firing with the warnings are getting a great deal of help from the s/w trough moving through...instability is fine but not as great as eastern NY/western MA area. If we can hold these instability values through 7-8 PM it could be fun here. If that batch of showers from the Catskills comes through though we may be cooked Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan Posted May 29, 2013 Share Posted May 29, 2013 Quincy, that TOR warned cell looks like it is heading for Utica Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted May 29, 2013 Share Posted May 29, 2013 TOR warned cell has overshooting top Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guvna Posted May 29, 2013 Share Posted May 29, 2013 Just jumped to 80 here in the last 20 minutes. Currently cloudy..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted May 29, 2013 Share Posted May 29, 2013 Three SVR warnings in my general direction, believe TOR was dropped. Not far from Cooperstown now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted May 29, 2013 Share Posted May 29, 2013 Well it doesn't have a TOR anymore but awesome sat loop Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted May 29, 2013 Share Posted May 29, 2013 Is anyone posting in the NY forums? I might need to switch this soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted May 29, 2013 Share Posted May 29, 2013 This stuff in NY appears rooted in mechanics associated with S/W in the flow... Because of that they are likely less dependent on SBCAPE and llv lapse rates. The original concern regarded these later params, but have appeared to be muted some. However, any mechanics forcing will likely overcome that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted May 29, 2013 Share Posted May 29, 2013 Is anyone posting in the NY forums? I might need to switch this soon. No Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted May 29, 2013 Share Posted May 29, 2013 Just jumped to 80 here in the last 20 minutes. Currently cloudy..... then why does your avatar say 71 ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted May 29, 2013 Share Posted May 29, 2013 Lol at Kev, is his radar upside down? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted May 29, 2013 Share Posted May 29, 2013 Tracking severe in SNE is like tracking Lake effect snow showers in New Jersey. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted May 29, 2013 Share Posted May 29, 2013 Tracking severe in SNE is like tracking Lake effect snow showers in New Jersey. except we actually get severe Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted May 29, 2013 Share Posted May 29, 2013 except we actually get severe New Jersey gets lake effect snow showers too..just not that frequently. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guvna Posted May 29, 2013 Share Posted May 29, 2013 then why does your avatar say 71 ? Because that's ORH and their hourly report. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted May 29, 2013 Share Posted May 29, 2013 except we actually get severeLol. Tip says noBut Will says yes. I wonder how many severe storms I have ever seen. 5? 6? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted May 29, 2013 Share Posted May 29, 2013 Interesting... warm front seems to be trying to collapse S here in the E. BED is N, FIT went back to ENE, and ORH went NNE. Very light wind field though -- could all just be coincidence. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted May 29, 2013 Share Posted May 29, 2013 Because that's ORH and their hourly report. Ah... You can purchase a home system and have it available to the web - just fyi Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted May 29, 2013 Share Posted May 29, 2013 Lol. Tip says no But Will says yes. I wonder how many severe storms I have ever seen. 5? 6? I say no to what ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guvna Posted May 29, 2013 Share Posted May 29, 2013 Ah... You can purchase a home system and have it available to the web - just fyi Been trying to run the Davis by my wife, but no luck yet. Soon to be sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted May 29, 2013 Share Posted May 29, 2013 Ah... You can purchase a home system and have it available to the web - just fyi how do you set that up with a Davis? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted May 29, 2013 Share Posted May 29, 2013 New Jersey gets lake effect snow showers too..just not that frequently. I think it is more akin to Mid-Atlantic snow events...they get them, but usually a lot of things have to go right for it to be a higher end event. Otherwise the events are paltry/marginal/changeovers. Most of our severe events are marginal and scattered/isolated, but we occasionally get things to line up enough for a big time event. NY State (and even into the adjacent counties like Berkshire) does a lot better than us in the severe department so its different if you are talking about a region bounded by PSF/AVP/BGM/ROC/SYR. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 29, 2013 Share Posted May 29, 2013 Nice hook SW of Utica. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted May 29, 2013 Share Posted May 29, 2013 ehe, I wonder if this is the old curve ball about to happen. It's when you have a nice broken line of severe in up-state NY moving E to ESE but as they near ALB, they magically are going more SE, and then only CT gets any fun, while the rest of us are stablized under b-bangin' anvil puke. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted May 29, 2013 Share Posted May 29, 2013 56/56...maybe I can get a few rumbles and a +SHRA later with some elevated CAPE. Euro pretty much nailed the afternoon up here days ago. 12Z MET tried to bring mid 70s to CON by 18Z. Oops. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthernNJ Posted May 29, 2013 Share Posted May 29, 2013 Very large hail and a strong mesocyclone near Otselic and Sherburne NY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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