Heisy Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Something I truly never understood about the wx community. Don't get me wrong, I absolutely respect the NWS... I can understand really looking at NWS products if you don't know much about weather, however before every event I see people bickering and arguing about whether or not watches/advisories/warnings are put, snow totals, etc. etc. etc. You can pretty much read these forums or look at snow accumulation products to get a general sense of how much snow you're getting. Do people just like the idea of having a winter storm warning for their areas? Do they think that if theyre under a warning theyll magically get more snow than originally thought? Like I said, if you're a total wx noob with no knowledge of looking at models I understand, but for a wx enthusiast I truly do not understand the obsession over snow total products the NWS puts out. Seriously before every storm we see threads with pages full of arguing over NWS forecasts it is so annoying. Read the NYC thread for example, my god. I hope people don't read this post and take it the wrong way, let me repeat. I absolutely respect NWS job and what they do for the general public and the amount of work/effort/time put into it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RickinBaltimore Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Something I truly never understood about the wx community. Don't get me wrong, I absolutely respect the NWS... I can understand really looking at NWS products if you don't know much about weather, however before every event I see people bickering and arguing about whether or not watches/advisories/warnings are put, snow totals, etc. etc. etc. You can pretty much read these forums or look at snow accumulation products to get a general sense of how much snow you're getting. Do people just like the idea of having a winter storm warning for their areas? Do they think that if theyre under a warning theyll magically get more snow than originally thought? Like I said, if you're a total wx noob with no knowledge of looking at models I understand, but for a wx enthusiast I truly do not understand the obsession over snow total products the NWS puts out. Seriously before every storm we see threads with pages full of arguing over NWS forecasts it is so annoying. Read the NYC thread for example, my god. I hope people don't read this post and take it the wrong way, let me repeat. I absolutely respect NWS job and what they do for the general public and the amount of work/effort/time put into it. I'm not a wx expert by any means, but I think part of it is, at least with me, that people take a "warning" more seriously than an "advisory". It's the terminology believe that sets people off. Just my $.02 (For the record, I just want snow, don't care if it's a WSW, WWA, WWE, WCW, etc.) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 I'm so happy we aren't in DST yet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mdhokie Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 18Z GFS running, most important run until the 0Z! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 i'd feel much more comfortable about snow if i was in frederick as opposed to bethesda. radar trends sure look like all the way into pa will do well with this one, but what do i know. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TL97 Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 4 km NAM is 16-18 for everyone on or west of I-95. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 I'm so happy we aren't in DST yet Snow at 8pm and still light out would be awesome!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 4 km NAM is 16-18 for everyone on or west of I-95. Awesome Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NOVAForecaster Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 4KM NAM has 20" at IAD 4 km NAM is 16-18 for everyone on or west of I-95. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blueapple Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Wow, NBC is doing a segment on EURO vs GFS models. Pretty cool that sites like this and blogs like CWG is making TV mets become more technical, which is good methinks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 i don't think dc wants this storm coming any further north at this point. already a close call. i'd be ready to take what the latest gfs/nam showed and take my chances in dc metro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 5, 2013 Author Share Posted March 5, 2013 I think the odds of a low imby bust for 6-8" have increased greatly. 8-10? Did models actually all trend in our favor on the final day? Is the voodoo hex over? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 4KM NAM has 20" at IAD Where can I get hi-res NAM clown maps? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 I think the odds of a low imby bust for 6-8" have increased greatly. 8-10? Did models actually all trend in our favor on the final day? Is the voodoo hex over? Looks that way. Amen! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 I think the odds of a low imby bust for 6-8" have increased greatly. 8-10? Did models actually all trend in our favor on the final day? Is the voodoo hex over? If we get 12+ anywhere between me and Rockville I will WALK from here to Bob C's neighborhood with no jacket. (note: this is not a guarantee) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Wow, NBC is doing a segment on EURO vs GFS models. Pretty cool that sites like this and blogs like CWG is making TV mets become more technical, which is good methinks. IF it is played correctly. for some mets it is horrible because they don't know what they are talking about. But if you get a good met or group like CWG it's great. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Where can I get hi-res NAM clown maps? http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~fxg1/NAMSFC4US_18z/snow60.gif (Change the z time for the diffrent runs) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gymengineer Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 If we get 12+ anywhere between me and Rockville I will WALK from here to Bob C's neighborhood with no jacket. (note: this is not a guarantee) I live in a condo building-- trying to figure out where to go to see the grass covered in the snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 5, 2013 Author Share Posted March 5, 2013 If we get 12+ anywhere between me and Rockville I will WALK from here to Bob C's neighborhood with no jacket. (note: this is not a guarantee) haha! wifey is a mean cook and I got a great tv room. lolz Honestly, it's been a rough couple tracking years. Extremely rough this year. But I've had a blast with this one. Yes, of course because we're going to win one for once but also because it's been a great type of system to watch evolve. I'm sleep deprived, my eyes hurt, my wife thinks I'm crazy, but damn this stuff is fun when it works. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Wow just checked the 18z NAM soundings. Barely gets above freezing at the surface! I'll have that please. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
terpsnation Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Downgraded to a WWA. Derpy McDerpderps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 haha! wifey is a mean cook and I got a great tv room. lolz Honestly, it's been a rough couple tracking years. Extremely rough this year. But I've had a blast with this one. Yes, of course because we're going to win one for once but also because it's been a great type of system to watch evolve. I'm sleep deprived, my eyes hurt, my wife thinks I'm crazy, but damn this stuff is fun when it works. I always get nervous because of my proximity to 95 and DC in general but I feel as though most times in marginal situations I tend to get what you get moreso than I get what DC gets. It's incredible what a short distance and elevation can do. I could probably scream and folks on 95 could hear me lol. I think I'll do well in this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~fxg1/NAMSFC4US_18z/snow60.gif (Change the z time for the diffrent runs) Thanks! Road trip to Shrewsbury? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Thanks! Road trip to Shrewsbury? My gf's parents live just N of there at 840', I'm trying to book a room right now I'm stuck at 300' here at MU. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Downgraded to a WWA. Derpy McDerpderps College Park is a horrible place for snow, comparable to DCA in my opinion. The campus is in a highly urban setting with a heated ground. I've seen snow on the sidewalks melt on contact when it was 20 degrees. When elevation matters, it's gonna hurt being there if you want snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 5, 2013 Author Share Posted March 5, 2013 I always get nervous because of my proximity to 95 and DC in general but I feel as though most times in marginal situations I tend to get what you get moreso than I get what DC gets. It's incredible what a short distance and elevation can do. I could probably scream and folks on 95 could hear me lol. I think I'll do well in this. It's just a perfect combo this time. We need the rates. Plain and simple. Without them we're done at our locations. Heavy rates are a lock now. la la locked Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 I always get nervous because of my proximity to 95 and DC in general but I feel as though most times in marginal situations I tend to get what you get moreso than I get what DC gets. It's incredible what a short distance and elevation can do. I could probably scream and folks on 95 could hear me lol. I think I'll do well in this. If you did well on 1/26/2011 then I think you'll be fine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Dude Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 I live in a condo building-- trying to figure out where to go to see the grass covered in the snow. I think there are still a few patches of grass where they haven't started construction in the North Bethesda Town Center development... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gymengineer Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 I think the odds of a low imby bust for 6-8" have increased greatly. 8-10? Did models actually all trend in our favor on the final day? Is the voodoo hex over? I'm still holding off on 10" entering the range for the moment because verbatim the Euro is in that 6-8" range around here I think. But, yeah, a blend of the NAM and GFS would easily push us to a major event (once every three seasons) type event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 It's just a perfect combo this time. We need the rates. Plain and simple. Without them we're done at our locations. Heavy rates are a lock now. la la locked And now let's watch as the 0z suite falls apart and radar fizzles and we get drizzle jk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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