djr5001 Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 What was JST's qpf on the euro? Judging by the image maybe almost .75? just under that yes... close to .65" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
I-83 BLIZZARD Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 http://snowball.millersville.edu/~wic/storm_outlooks/latest.jpg 4-8 south of Harrisburg, 8-16 approaching the MD line or just crossing it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 thats what the text data has... not sure where someone got the .5" line going through harrisburg from if that is what you are referring to There is a discrepency between the storm vista precip maps and the accuweather text output. They are more then just a little off... for instance SV has me well into the .75-1.0" qpf but the txt has me at only .60. Not HUGE but still enough to make a difference on the edges. No idea why or which is correct. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Laurel Highlands Wx Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 just under that yes... close to .65" Thank you. I guess I am about .58 or so. I think 2-4 here North of 22 and 4-6 on 22 and about 6-8 south of 22. That's my call for Cambria County Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 There is a discrepency between the storm vista precip maps and the accuweather text output. They are more then just a little off... for instance SV has me well into the .75-1.0" qpf but the txt has me at only .60. Not HUGE but still enough to make a difference on the edges. No idea why or which is correct. Text output is correct. I'm guessing the SV maps are smoothed or lower-res. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
djr5001 Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 There is a discrepency between the storm vista precip maps and the accuweather text output. They are more then just a little off... for instance SV has me well into the .75-1.0" qpf but the txt has me at only .60. Not HUGE but still enough to make a difference on the edges. No idea why or which is correct. thanks... that is interesting I rarely ever use the storm vista maps so I have never noticed if a difference before Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Was it these boards or the Eastern forums where they had a thread dedicated to DT, Henry Margusity and Steven DiMartino which was basically a "bash the three idiots" thread? Looky here.... http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php/topic/38386-vendor-forecast-discussion/ Nut Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 New event. Winter Storm Watch from 3/5/2013 6:00 PM to 3/6/2013 6:00 PM EST for Lancaster County, Adams County. More information. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Ohhh so close to us here in Centre: URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA 239 PM EST MON MAR 4 2013 PAZ024>026-036-063>066-050545- /O.NEW.KCTP.WS.A.0005.130305T2300Z-130306T2300Z/ CAMBRIA-BLAIR-HUNTINGDON-FRANKLIN-CUMBERLAND-ADAMS-YORK-LANCASTER- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JOHNSTOWN...ALTOONA...HUNTINGDON... MOUNT UNION...CHAMBERSBURG...CARLISLE...GETTYSBURG...YORK... LANCASTER 239 PM EST MON MAR 4 2013 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. * LOCATIONS...SOUTH CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA. * HAZARD TYPES...HEAVY SNOW. * ACCUMULATIONS...6 INCHES OR MORE POSSIBLE. * TIMING...SNOW WILL BEGIN AROUND SUNSET TUESDAY EVENING AND CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. * IMPACTS...HAZARDOUS TRAVEL IS POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE PENNSYLVANIA TURNPIKE. STRONG EAST WINDS COULD ALSO CREATE BLOWING SNOW AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES. * WINDS...EAST AT 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT SNOW...SLEET...OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT...WEATHER.GOV/STATECOLLEGE. && $$ DANGELO/RXR Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowalot Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 http://snowball.millersville.edu/~wic/storm_outlooks/latest.jpg 4-8 south of Harrisburg, 8-16 approaching the MD line or just crossing it. WOW If Horst is saying this, book it Right now 4-8 for Lancaster sounds ok to me. If the 8-16 would like to move to my neck of the woods - well I won't complain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 New SREFs, bitches: Not too shabby. Brings .5 just about to here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted March 4, 2013 Author Share Posted March 4, 2013 thanks... that is interesting I rarely ever use the storm vista maps so I have never noticed if a difference before I use Accupro for my Euro stuff, their total precip map runs the .5" line on a SE line from Slippery Rock to over my head (just north of Altoona) to Gettysburg before straightening and running just barely north of the Mason Dixon and then into Philly. .75" line runs from just south of Pit to JST and then jumps southeast across the border to Hagerstown. 0.25" line runs from NW PA to UNV to MDT to around LNS and then curves back ENE to Allentown. So Euro still has that pronounced hole in eastern PA but it did manage to throw snow back into New England.. so I'm not sure about it "staying south" in that regard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Ohhh so close to us here in Centre: URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA 239 PM EST MON MAR 4 2013 PAZ024>026-036-063>066-050545- /O.NEW.KCTP.WS.A.0005.130305T2300Z-130306T2300Z/ CAMBRIA-BLAIR-HUNTINGDON-FRANKLIN-CUMBERLAND-ADAMS-YORK-LANCASTER- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JOHNSTOWN...ALTOONA...HUNTINGDON... MOUNT UNION...CHAMBERSBURG...CARLISLE...GETTYSBURG...YORK... LANCASTER 239 PM EST MON MAR 4 2013 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. * LOCATIONS...SOUTH CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA. * HAZARD TYPES...HEAVY SNOW. * ACCUMULATIONS...6 INCHES OR MORE POSSIBLE. * TIMING...SNOW WILL BEGIN AROUND SUNSET TUESDAY EVENING AND CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. * IMPACTS...HAZARDOUS TRAVEL IS POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE PENNSYLVANIA TURNPIKE. STRONG EAST WINDS COULD ALSO CREATE BLOWING SNOW AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES. * WINDS...EAST AT 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT SNOW...SLEET...OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT...WEATHER.GOV/STATECOLLEGE. && $$ DANGELO/RXR It'll suck for us here in the extreme Cumberland/Dauphin/York triangle who could drive 20 miles south, east or west and see 6" more inches than what we'll end up with, huh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted March 4, 2013 Author Share Posted March 4, 2013 New SREFs, bitches: Not too shabby. Brings .5 just about to here. Best snow probs have zeroed in on the southern third to half of PA with the probable WSW worthy stuff being about where CTP has them right now. They're also starting to show that turn towards Philly/northern NJ/NYC and New England as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Best snow probs have zeroed in on the southern third to half of PA with the probable WSW worthy stuff being about where CTP has them right now. They're also starting to show that turn towards Philly/northern NJ/NYC and New England as well. Awesome. Nothing like getting fringed while the 95 corridor gets another big one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 as the hours tick by, i'm getting amped up now....... Just dropped a watch for Cumberland County too, probably for the Western end of the county. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
djr5001 Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 as the hours tick by, i'm getting amped up now....... Just dropped a watch for Cumberland County too, probably for the Western end of the county. this is the first winter storm watch since october 2011 correct? isnt that what we discussed a few weeks ago about how long it has been? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 this is the first winter storm watch since october 2011 correct? isnt that what we discussed a few weeks ago about how long it has been? yes sir Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted March 4, 2013 Author Share Posted March 4, 2013 Awesome. Nothing like getting fringed while the 95 corridor gets another big one. I wouldn't say it'd be a big one for that corridor, just that the the probs are pretty high for some accumulating snow (good probs of 1"+) some modest probs of 4+". Oh and since it's spring break i'm assuming your back home for this haha. Hour 48: Hour 69: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 It'll suck for us here in the extreme Cumberland/Dauphin/York triangle who could drive 20 miles south, east or west and see 6" more inches than what we'll end up with, huh. Which game are you taking Sauss to? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Festus Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 If the Euro is wrong, I'll eat my hat and buy every person here a beer. Ruh-roh. So what's the official criteria for "wrong"? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 lol at least I have psu to commiserate with.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
djr5001 Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 I like where this is going.... :-) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Which game are you taking Sauss to? Ruh-roh. So what's the official criteria for "wrong"? I'm a man of my word. I'll treat anyone to beers at a Senators game this summer. Edit: If this happens. I'm not counting any inches until I walk through them though. Reverse psychology to the max. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 I'm a man of my word. I'll treat anyone to beers at a Senators game this summer. Edit: If this happens. I'm not counting any inches until I walk through them though. Reverse psychology to the max. Good call, man. Until it happens it's just pretty colors on the computer screen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
whiteout Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Hot damn if that 18z NAM is right game on for a lot of us!!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dcfox1 Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 There are going to be alot of people happy and 20-30 miles away crying with this one. Edit: mabey closer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Luckily this isnt as close as the 2010 debacle for me or hazleton....Id say unv to seg is that battleground. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jns2183 Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Haha, check out the NAM clown maps for Cumberland county. A range of 4-12 in within the county. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted March 4, 2013 Author Share Posted March 4, 2013 Could argue for a bit more northern extent of precip out of the NAM given that it pops the coastal low in SE VA and runs the deepening low over the Delmarva. Even with the flat trajectory that should be a pretty good look for at least I-80 south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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