Eskimo Joe Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 12z EURO moves north and slows down. BWI is 1" liquid and the 0.75" line is about 10 miles north of Mason-Dixon. Storm also throw a banded feature, at least to my eye, across MD Mason-Dixon counties. Temps are about the same as previous runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Trend...trend...trend...is your friend. Nilch to 0.5" qpf...not a bad trend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Took a closer look at the EURO 850 temps and they are colder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 12z EURO moves north and slows down. BWI is 1" liquid and the 0.75" line is about 10 miles north of Mason-Dixon. Storm also throw a banded feature, at least to my eye, across MD Mason-Dixon counties. Temps are about the same as previous runs. That's encourgaging that it is trending a bit north not like the GFS yet but if .5 gets up to MDT, it might yet come further north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 12z EURO moves north and slows down. BWI is 1" liquid and the 0.75" line is about 10 miles north of Mason-Dixon. Storm also throw a banded feature, at least to my eye, across MD Mason-Dixon counties. Temps are about the same as previous runs. Looks like, based on text, it now even gives us .2. Trend...trend...trend...is your friend. Nilch to 0.5" qpf...not a bad trend. Yeah, that's great stuff, man. Hope it keeps coming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 at this rate, i'll be sippin some crown royal black from the bottle i win as soon as i hit the 4" mark! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
djr5001 Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 there's still time... I thought maybe it would be more than that. Certainly no help for forecasters in our area. WOW. ill take 25 mile trends north over 25 mile trends south from now until wednesday morning :-) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cast4 Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 That's encourgaging that it is trending a bit north not like the GFS yet but if .5 gets up to MDT, it might yet come further north. it appears at h5 it moved considerably towards the gfs favoring much more northern stream interaction. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 at this rate, i'll be sippin some crown royal black from the bottle i win as soon as i hit the 4" mark! Wheres the "like" button... Agreed, it is nice to see all models trending north with this. That ULL in New York State sounds like its helping to tug this bad boy north. I dread the 18z's, but will be most anxious to see tonights runs. I know some think the 18z's are fine, but I beg to differ as they do not get a full set of new data, but that is to an amateur eye. No doubt they can be useful for continuation of trends, or not. May need coffee tomorrow. Nut Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 somewhere over the years a poster use to say, "it always come north" don't remember who, but like he said, it has done so numerous times. this too may be the case! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
I-83 BLIZZARD Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Euro GFS blend first stab would be 6-10 from York south assuming ratios. If there is better banding someone could see 12 south of York in elevation. Trend are very encouraging. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
djr5001 Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Took a closer look at the EURO 850 temps and they are colder. it looks to pull in colder air as it moves by and keeps the cold air aloft around into the weekend unlike with the 0z run... but then this thing parks itself over the atlantic... would be nice if it did this closer to the coast lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Euro GFS blend first stab would be 6-10 from York south assuming ratios. If there is better banding someone could see 12 south of York in elevation. Trend are very encouraging. 5 - 7 would be a better range Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Looks like, based on text, it now even gives us .2. Yeah, that's great stuff, man. Hope it keeps coming. Yep, that's what I'm seeing. Big improvement over like 0.03" from the 00z, and 0" from yesterday's 12z. A couple more shifts like that and we'd be looking pretty darn good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
djr5001 Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 fwiw BWI - .90" LNS - .27" THV - .42" MDT - .28" IPT - 1-2 snowflakes those are over an 12-24 hour period so would be a very slow accumulation if even any above the Mason Dixon line... not into the most favorable scenario yet but def better than 0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paweatherguy1 Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Hey, so hate to ask, but how does it look in western pa guys? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
djr5001 Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Hey, so hate to ask, but how does it look in western pa guys? western pa has actually looked pretty good on GFS and Euro... about .5" QPF on Euro and closer to .6" on GFS... 2-4" might not be out of the question as long as a northward and not southward trend continues... a certain someone is claiming the Euro stayed south... i really really really am now hoping richmond ends up all rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cast4 Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 fwiw BWI - .90" LNS - .27" THV - .42" MDT - .28" IPT - 1-2 snowflakes those are over an 12-24 hour period so would be a very slow accumulation if even any above the Mason Dixon line... not into the most favorable scenario yet but def better than 0 Those totals are very different from what I have been hearing. Are those the final numbers? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
djr5001 Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Those totals are very different from what I have been hearing. Are those the final numbers? thats what the text data has... not sure where someone got the .5" line going through harrisburg from if that is what you are referring to Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cast4 Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 thats what the text data has... not sure where someone got the .5" line going through harrisburg from if that is what you are referring to thanks. Yeah some were saying the .75 isohyet got north of the mason Dixon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluestring Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 thats what the text data has... not sure where someone got the .5" line going through harrisburg from if that is what you are referring to This was taken from the MA forum which was taken from CWG twitter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
djr5001 Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 thanks. Yeah some were saying the .75 isohyet got north of the mason Dixon. it is just north yes but drops off very quickly right before York and north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 someone had posted the .75 line was about 10 miles inside the MD/PA border...and a .50 line from Hbg, Lanc. and philly??? Did anyone see DT's FB page? one of his lasts posts below DT Response: **** 12z MONDAY EUROPEAN ..STAYS SOUTH...***keep dreaming NYC and CT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdskidoo Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Wheres the "like" button... Agreed, it is nice to see all models trending north with this. That ULL in New York State sounds like its helping to tug this bad boy north. I dread the 18z's, but will be most anxious to see tonights runs. I know some think the 18z's are fine, but I beg to differ as they do not get a full set of new data, but that is to an amateur eye. No doubt they can be useful for continuation of trends, or not. May need coffee tomorrow. Nut the 12z gfs individual members show alot of good hits right up the 81 corridor until you get to the pa/ny border. they have been consistant over the past 3 runs. still would like to see another 50-75 mile shif nw, which I think can happen. but at some point the nw trend will end. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
djr5001 Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 someone had posted the .75 line was about 10 miles inside the MD/PA border...and a .50 line from Hbg, Lanc. and philly??? Did anyone see DT's FB page? one of his lasts posts below DT Response: **** 12z MONDAY EUROPEAN ..STAYS SOUTH...*** keep dreaming NYC and CT yea and its almost as sad that people are defending him and bashing the local tv mets that have different forecasts than him when others are disproving his false claims about what the models are doing... I lost respect for him a few years ago when he was posting on a different forum and we got into it because he wouldnt accept that the data was different from what he was saying the models were showing... kinda like on here he threw a hissy fit and quit the board because everyone kept telling him he was wrong... he knows his stuff but when a storm comes close to home he acts completely different in an "im better than everyone" type manner Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
djr5001 Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 This was taken from the MA forum which was taken from CWG twitter. I saw that and I am trying to figure out where that map came from because it doesnt match the 12z euro completely... it is missing the heavy banding in MD Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 yea and its almost as sad that people are defending him and bashing the local tv mets that have different forecasts than him when others are disproving his false claims about what the models are doing... I lost respect for him a few years ago when he was posting on a different forum and we got into it because he wouldnt accept that the data was different from what he was saying the models were showing... kinda like on here he threw a hissy fit and quit the board because everyone kept telling him he was wrong... he knows his stuff but when a storm comes close to home he acts completely different in an "im better than everyone" type manner i agree 100%. many people use to speak about him like he was like the weather god. Honestly i though he was wrong more then right. I just read him now for the lol factor. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Laurel Highlands Wx Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 What was JST's qpf on the euro? Judging by the image maybe almost .75? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Atomixwx Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Oh man... I'd love to see flooding in Richmond. hahahahhahaahhahahaa Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Atomixwx Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Was it these boards or the Eastern forums where they had a thread dedicated to DT, Henry Margusity and Steven DiMartino which was basically a "bash the three idiots" thread? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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