dendrite Posted January 19, 2013 Share Posted January 19, 2013 Interesting tidbit courtesy of Joe D'Aleo: A Norlun Instability Trough (named after discoverers NOgueiRa and LUNdstedt, who noticed the effect during a major winter storm in 1993. We've posted this many times over the years between here and Eastern, but for those who haven't read it yet... http://www.weatheranswer.com/public/NORLUN2.pdf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 19, 2013 Share Posted January 19, 2013 Lol at MPM. There's not one SNE area that won't get at least a few inches on Tuesday Responding to gfs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 19, 2013 Share Posted January 19, 2013 We've posted this many times over the years between here and Eastern, but for those who haven't read it yet... http://www.weatheranswer.com/public/NORLUN2.pdf It looks like the marked up copy after a reviewer inserted changes...lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sankaty Posted January 19, 2013 Share Posted January 19, 2013 If this event pans out and is followed by a larger event around the 25th, it would remind me a bit of the period in January 2011 when we had the inverted trough snows on the 7th followed by the big one on the 12th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 19, 2013 Share Posted January 19, 2013 Of course I'm kidding. I wouldn't rely on any of its precip outputs right now - but this should be a setup where it does a bit better overall The Meso models should handle these type of systems better Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 19, 2013 Share Posted January 19, 2013 I approve of the synoptics and inv trough position this run. agree Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted January 19, 2013 Share Posted January 19, 2013 gfs ens mean looks pretty good...better than op in some ways. curious to see the individual members there to see what's leading to that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 19, 2013 Share Posted January 19, 2013 GEFS and NAM suggest 4 day weekend for the kids. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 19, 2013 Share Posted January 19, 2013 gfs ens mean looks pretty good...better than op in some ways. curious to see the individual members there to see what's leading to that. Yeah thought the same too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 19, 2013 Share Posted January 19, 2013 Fwiw MEX still has a 4 as the BOS snow number for Tuesday. Seems to jackpot eastern ma coast. Number for ORH is 2, BDL 1, BED 1, PYM 2, HYA 2+1 the next day for both PYM and HYA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 19, 2013 Share Posted January 19, 2013 Cmc not the least bit on board. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 19, 2013 Share Posted January 19, 2013 Cmc not the least bit on board. Looks like the GFS op to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 19, 2013 Share Posted January 19, 2013 Cmc not the least bit on board. Its east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 19, 2013 Share Posted January 19, 2013 Fwiw MEX still has a 4 as the BOS snow number for Tuesday. Seems to jackpot eastern ma coast. Number for ORH is 2, BDL 1, BED 1, PYM 2, HYA 2+1 the next day for both PYM and HYA. Glad BED is only 1....I can deal with that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted January 19, 2013 Share Posted January 19, 2013 Can someone post the GEFS? Thanks! -skisheep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted January 19, 2013 Share Posted January 19, 2013 Can someone post the GEFS? Thanks! -skisheep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 19, 2013 Share Posted January 19, 2013 Cmc not the least bit on board.[/quote They were really conservative with the last one never biting on a significant event inside of 72 and were pretty good. If this week pans out you get one of the owed dinners back on principle for being right about the pattern. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 19, 2013 Share Posted January 19, 2013 Its east Way. Maybe 1-3 east of the canal if that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 19, 2013 Share Posted January 19, 2013 Glad BED is only 1....I can deal with that. Miskeyed. Bed is 2. Perfect bad commute number. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted January 19, 2013 Share Posted January 19, 2013 Can someone post the GEFS? Thanks! -skisheep Thanks! Wouldn't mind 1-3" of high ratio fluff at all -skisheep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 19, 2013 Share Posted January 19, 2013 Cmc not the least bit on board.[/quote They were really conservative with the last one never biting on a significant event inside of 72 and were pretty good. If this week pans out you get one of the owed dinners back on principle for being right about the pattern. Nah a deals a deal and I didn't bite on any bets. We'll dine on my dime with snow falling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 19, 2013 Share Posted January 19, 2013 ame="Rollo Tomasi" post="2018823" timestamp="1358616310"] Nah a deals a deal and I didn't bite on any bets. We'll dine on my dime with snow falling. Can we bet on something. i like free dinners Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 19, 2013 Share Posted January 19, 2013 Nice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 19, 2013 Share Posted January 19, 2013 Nice weenie members Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted January 19, 2013 Share Posted January 19, 2013 So basically GFS has no clue where it wants to go-looks like anything from nothing to warning snows for me. Should be fun to track! -skisheep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 19, 2013 Share Posted January 19, 2013 Nice There is a number of panels on there that my sled would like to ride all over Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 19, 2013 Share Posted January 19, 2013 Euro continues to be rather dry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 19, 2013 Share Posted January 19, 2013 Euro continues to be rather dry.Yeah...paltry inland, but 2nd straight run with a weenie band just offshore of PWM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 19, 2013 Share Posted January 19, 2013 Cape special Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherX Posted January 19, 2013 Share Posted January 19, 2013 Toss the KURO? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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