Damage In Tolland Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 Can't believe how badly Ray flipped out when he's still in line to get a foot of snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 Sorry. Didn't catch the irc bit(what's that?) I thought you were talking who's closest to the potential storm. Blair I was but I tried killing 2 birds. Curiosity of who you were on the old chat (ne.weather, #weather, #neweather, etc). Good luck with this event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 Mike if we prepare for partly cloudy and end up squeezing out a few inches than we'll have no chance for disappointment. That's my approach at this point, Chris. So much so that I'm even getting snow tires--tempting the snow gods be damned. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
shadow Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 That's my approach at this point, Chris. So much so that I'm even getting snow tires--tempting the snow gods be damned. snow tires i haven't bought snow tires in 26 yrs and i never have had any problems save your money Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 Yesterday's double crush runs on the Euro was amazing if just for great winter weather porn but how common with a coastal snow event of any magnitude is it for there to be runs like the euro that crush just about all of sne at some point leading up to the actual event? Based on the last five seasons here in the Springfield Mass area we are at a deficit of about 40 inches or a little more...going on a 50 inch average. The last storm which brought a foot plus of snow was the Feb 06 event that put down 16 inches where I live, however just west of here, literally a few miles some parts of Springfield only had 8-10 inches while just to the east of where I am (east forest park) upwards to 21 inches of snow fell, all within the city limits!! I have only been in the Springfield area for five winters (this being my sixth). Is there anyone here who has lived in Springfield and measured an honest two foot event? I know kcef never has had one documented. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 I had a long day yesterday and I passed out around 10 PM and missed all of this model joy. A rare smart move on my part apparently. It was never going to be much out here I guess and I wish the 12Z Euro hadn't gone bonkers like that. If it had been the GFS showing that kind of tease I definitely would have looked at it with a grain of salt, but the Euro inside 3.5 days doesn't usually mess up so bad. . snow tires i haven't bought snow tires in 26 yrs and i never have had any problems save your money Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 Wow...maybe the EURO isn't king. It's just a perpetual tease. Horrible...still hope at 12z and 00z tonight. But a couple inch snowfall won't cut it after all this potential. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 snow tires i haven't bought snow tires in 26 yrs and i never have had any problems save your money Lol. Good thing you don't live up here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
amarshall Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 I'm still really concerned about mixing issues in ENE with the water being so warm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 The good sized snowstorm is certainly still on the table over near Boston..... Gotta hope for some inverted trough or retro action in ENY/WNE now probably..... Wow...maybe the EURO isn't king. It's just a perpetual tease. Horrible...still hope at 12z and 00z tonight. But a couple inch snowfall won't cut it after all this potential. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
shadow Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 Lol. Good thing you don't live up here. LOL i go to sunapee NH house on the lake all the time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Collinsville Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 I have only been in the Springfield area for five winters (this being my sixth). Is there anyone here who has lived in Springfield and measured an honest two foot event? I know kcef never has had one documented. I do believe you may well have to go back to March 1888 for a 24"+ event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 LOL i go to sunapee NH house on the lake all the time Ok big guy. Try driving here on a daily basis with all season radials. I pull you guys out of ditches all winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 Ok big guy. Try driving here on a daily basis with all season radials. I pull you guys out of ditches all winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 What kind of QPF did the 00z EURO show...the posts were incoherent. I'm guessing less than 0.5" for me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 What kind of QPF did the 00z EURO show...the posts were incoherent. I'm guessing less than 0.5" for me. About an inch for Boston. Lots of retro action like all the other models. 0.75 line to 495. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 I do believe you may well have to go back to March 1888 for a 24"+ event. I was afraid of that..I was looking at the ku analogs in the two books and it really looked like a fifteen to eighteen inch snow storm was a giant for this area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 What kind of QPF did the 00z EURO show...the posts were incoherent. I'm guessing less than 0.5" for me. it gets about 0.75" to Woburn, but most of it comes from the TROWAL and wrap around moisture from the northeast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
scoob40 Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 Ok big guy. Try driving here on a daily basis with all season radials. I pull you guys out of ditches all winter. Shadow, you have to understand that MRG lives in Northwest Ontario not NW Mass. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Collinsville Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 I swear to god...I got 22" I got screwed RIDICULOUSLY bad on every storm. This is hilarious. You need to learn how to measure. I had 42" , Bakersville co-op had 52", and you're a few hundred feet higher than both of us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 17, 2010 Author Share Posted December 17, 2010 Yeah it could go east, but look at the unstable nature of the models. I honestly have no clue what will happen. I was pretty excited yesterday too, but the old wives tale of never being in the model bullseye 4 days out is true. I kept my excitement at a minimum and glad I did. IMO I don't really see much of an eastward shift at all. I'd say the odds are 60/40 maybe even 70/30 of this ticking west just a little. It's speculation at this point, because the model swings leave me almost dumbfounded, but look at all the moving parts here. It's no surprise. That said, I wouldn't be amazed if it went east a little more, but like I said...I think the odds are a little better of a westward shift...at least a slight one. Couldn't have said it any better myself. I was pretty optimistic going into 00z last night but about 6"+ and I still feel that is likely but the weenie 2-3' solutions were in the back of my brain screaming to come out and play. We were all and are still pulling for a historic solution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 it gets about 0.75" to Woburn, but most of it comes from the TROWAL and wrap around moisture from the northeast. Gun to your head....or maybe what you'll need to do today for a paycheck...what's your sense Scott? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 snow tires i haven't bought snow tires in 26 yrs and i never have had any problems save your money That's because you live in Cromwell, CT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 Guys.. please remember what dt and Wes said last night.. that s/w wont be on shore until 12z! So lets wait through the 12z runs before we jump ship... srefs NW is huge IMO.. Nam will.certainly come west... We are only 150 miles of heavy snow! Because this stalls perfectly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 Yesterday's double crush runs on the Euro was amazing if just for great winter weather porn but how common with a coastal snow event of any magnitude is it for there to be runs like the euro that crush just about all of sne at some point leading up to the actual event? Based on the last five seasons here in the Springfield Mass area we are at a deficit of about 40 inches or a little more...going on a 50 inch average. The last storm which brought a foot plus of snow was the Feb 06 event that put down 16 inches where I live, however just west of here, literally a few miles some parts of Springfield only had 8-10 inches while just to the east of where I am (east forest park) upwards to 21 inches of snow fell, all within the city limits!! I have only been in the Springfield area for five winters (this being my sixth). Is there anyone here who has lived in Springfield and measured an honest two foot event? I know kcef never has had one documented. 24" in Westfield, most of which fell in 8 hours. 2001 (?). Awesome, awesome, awesome rates. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 Gun to your head....or maybe what you'll need to do today for a paycheck...what's your sense Scott? Burbank jumped off the bus..."yesterday's models were an aberration." Oh well...we'll take whatever we'll get. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 Burbank jumped off the bus..."yesterday's models were an aberration." Oh well...we'll take whatever we'll get. And we have no idea what that is. Burbank is probably right. But the flips are so severe what if it happens again? Truthfully Barry is a nice guy but tends in the absolutes. As in Hurricane Eduouard for the Boston metro area, "Here it is, it can't possibly miss us"....... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattb65 Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 The decent for eastern areas/bad for interior 0z/6z suite all seemed to have an elongated 1002ish mb low form off the carolinas. I didn't go back to look at any of the really great models but from what I recall the earlier solutions were a bit more solidified with the SLP and really bombed fast coming straight for all of us. Is this difference due to the lack of sharpness that's forming in these runs or is it something more related to the interactions of the southern and northern storms coming together or something that I'm completely missing? Just an obs/question Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 17, 2010 Author Share Posted December 17, 2010 HPC QPF Totals from yesterday to today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 New gutters yesterday, new downspouts today. Hopefully the last weekday with no snow cover. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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