moneypitmike Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 I need to remember to go to the store and buy syrup for my GFS waffles. I prefer the EC Waffles--they've got just a little more bite to them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 lol .. well good news for me is that there is an inverted trough that keeps the snow going and going and going through 114 at least. Oh well. Time for a shower and wash this modeling stench off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ackwaves Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 Ehh ... 9 hours ago we were riding high in the sky. Maybe things turn around. I'll remain optimistic. Admittedly, the further west one is, the sadder the situation. What's your guess on QPF for KACK? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 What's your guess on QPF for KACK? It's over 1" ... might be close to 1.5" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ackwaves Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 It's over 1" ... might be close to 1.5" Yeah. Just looked at both the NAM and GFS. Seems about 5-8" on the GFS and a bit more on the NAM. Good for us. We don't see much snow out here. I like the OES band on the GFS after the first storm passes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 When all said and done Wednesday could end up being the bigger impact region wide with the inverted trough setup. I still think we have room for the Sunday/Monday system to work westward so long we can get the s/w trough to turn negative early enough which certainly seems plausible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nutmegfriar Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 Got up this morning hoping for the best and saw this buzzkill. Well, SE CT might get some snow out of this but I was hoping for something more dramatic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 Well certainly not what I expected to wake up to. Still not bad though. We get snow either way all the way back into ENY state. Maybe not like what we thought yesterday, but at least a white Christmas for everyone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nutmegfriar Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 Well certainly not what I expected to wake up to. Still not bad though. We get snow either way all the way back into ENY state. Maybe not like what we thought yesterday, but at least a white Christmas for everyone Fire in the fireplace watching Sunday Night Football in the snow is a good thing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ackwaves Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 Well certainly not what I expected to wake up to. Still not bad though. We get snow either way all the way back into ENY state. Maybe not like what we thought yesterday, but at least a white Christmas for everyone Phil will like what he sees. I certainly do. It's rare that we get the "jackpot" out here. Still a waiting game. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 This is something that could certainly come into play with this system...look at the SSTA's off the east coast...that is not only some thermal gradient but look at that beautiful area of nice above-normal SST's. I know the resolution isn't that great but look how close to the coast this gradient appears to be...this could act to help keep the sfc low a bit closer to the coast and these warmer waters could certainly help to really increase cyclogenesis especially if we can manufacture some good divergence aloft which models are suggesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ackwaves Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 I think you need an area D including the islands and outer cape. no? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 Yeah, but that was before the 0z/6z schitshow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 Paul, with all the cold weather we've been having-- where did these warmer waters come from? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 Goodmorning 16 clear Big west trend starting at 12z .......................big west trend come on :bike: :bike: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 I think you need an area D including the islands and outer cape. no? That's not Kevin's map That's DT's Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 I don't think it's time to panic or worry at all. Things certainly not as great as 12z yesterday..but there is plenty of time and reason for this to come back to the big dog it had yesterday. REgardless..it looks like it snows from Sunday -Wednesday at various intensities. I'm actually not bummed or upset at all. We'll all have a nice snowcover for the holidays..if a KU isn't meant to be so be it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 Paul, with all the cold weather we've been having-- where did these warmer waters come from? That's part of the Gulf Stream (the warmer waters) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ackwaves Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 I think the NAM shows a bit more for the Cape. I'll double check. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 This is something that could certainly come into play with this system...look at the SSTA's off the east coast...that is not only some thermal gradient but look at that beautiful area of nice above-normal SST's. I know the resolution isn't that great but look how close to the coast this gradient appears to be...this could act to help keep the sfc low a bit closer to the coast and these warmer waters could certainly help to really increase cyclogenesis especially if we can manufacture some good divergence aloft which models are suggesting. Look at that ripe baroclinic ribbon of love! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 Wow big bump NW on the sref's Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 I don't think it's time to panic or worry at all. Things certainly not as great as 12z yesterday..but there is plenty of time and reason for this to come back to the big dog it had yesterday. REgardless..it looks like it snows from Sunday -Wednesday at various intensities. I'm actually not bummed or upset at all. We'll all have a nice snowcover for the holidays..if a KU isn't meant to be so be it Keep an eye on Ray. Seriously. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
free_man Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 many times it seems we have the models w the inverted trof scenerio move towards a more organized or phased setup. That may be something to look for on future runs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 I don't think it's time to panic or worry at all. Things certainly not as great as 12z yesterday..but there is plenty of time and reason for this to come back to the big dog it had yesterday. REgardless..it looks like it snows from Sunday -Wednesday at various intensities. I'm actually not bummed or upset at all. We'll all have a nice snowcover for the holidays..if a KU isn't meant to be so be it Even if this doesn't work out for everyone by mid-week everyone has at least something on the ground with the inverted trough setup for Wednesday...basically from late Sunday-Thursday everyday will feature periods and rounds of snow showers with snow heavy at times. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 Wow big bump NW on the sref's Exactly. No reason to cliff dive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 Look at that ripe baroclinic ribbon of love! Yup! This is something I think could certainly play into our advantage...that's a great thermal boundary and we know these systems love to ride those...maybe I am wrong here but I would think this could certainly help to give this more of a westerly track rather than easterly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 That's part of the Gulf Stream (the warmer waters) Oh, they seem abnormally close to the coast lol. I thought the original graphic was about how far above or below normal temps the SST was lol. The La Nina is covering like half the earth! I wish we could just annihilate the Pacific in a vast particle/antiparticle explosion and end La Nina forever Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.