ROOSTA Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 http://fim.noaa.gov/FIMscp/Welcome.cgi?dsKey=fim&domain=236&run_time=17+Dec+2010+-+00Z In the intrem just for giggles. Hard left turn with stayin power Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 Yes...though I think would do okay on it too...even the GGEM gives you 4-8" on the retrograde. Better than a whiff. Yeah, I mean even if it does whiff, I am still optimistic about the pattern. The cold looks to be going nowhere so I feel like something has to give eventually. Just one solid 6-10" event while I am home on winter break...that's all I ask. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CCPSUSuperstorm2010 Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 21z SREF 87 hours out is not all that bad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 Yea you are under a sick sick deform band for five consecutive hours that stretches, he'll I will capture a screen shot for ya, literally rain in Maine but GGEM. Five hours apart sick deform up Wills fanny Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 Further east and less amplified through 36...a good bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 Five hours apart sick deform up Wills fanny I'm rain.....Christ. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 Euro definitely looks east of 12z at 00z out to 36z...it could be well east too...we'll have to wait an see how much but I'm confident its coming solidly east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 Yeah this run is coming in way flatter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 Def. coming east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 I'm rain.....Christ. How are you rain on that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 I'm rain.....Christ. Dude GGEM gives rain all the time, you are the southwest side sitting under 512 heights no worry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 Majorly less amplified at 48 hrs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 Euro definitely looks east of 12z at 00z out to 36z...it could be well east too...we'll have to wait an see how much but I'm confident its coming solidly east. If I end up having to rely on a retrograde that will drag marine puke in I give up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 Majorly less amplified at 48 hrs If I were you then my interest in wx would be majorly less implified than it was at 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CCPSUSuperstorm2010 Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 I would not give up on a major snowstorm until 00z or 12z runs Saturday. Chances are the models are still going back and forth on the placement and intensity of the SLP center given that we have roughly three disturbances present that will determine the outcome of this storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 This is going to come in flatter than 00z last night I think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 Best case scenario here will be the 00z run yesterday....I can tell. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 This is going to come in flatter than 00z last night I think. The only good thing is the american model finally beat the eurotrash Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 Best case scenario here will be the 00z run yesterday....I can tell. Its definitely going to be worse than last night even. This could be a putrid run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 The only good thing is the american model finally beat the eurotrash Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 I changed my mind...I'll take a prolonged TROWAL at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 Its definitely going to be worse than last night even. This could be a putrid run. If it had rained on us, it would have been locked......I hate this fuc*** model and this fuc*** year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 Its definitely going to be worse than last night even. This could be a putrid run. its a disastah Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 Our hope on this run is going to be a retrograde. We will definitely whiff the initial low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 Mother of God make it stop; this is some kind of cruel fuc**** joke....I give the fu** up. This hobby sucks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeVries Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 If it had rained on us, it would have been locked......I hate this fuc*** model and this fuc*** year. Yeah, we definitely need to change the calendar year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 At least there are 135 days until May 1st. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dsnowx53 Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 I can't help but laugh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 Its definitely going to be worse than last night even. This could be a putrid run. Yup, this is why I thought this was the type of storm to be very conservative in; the southern shortwave was always modeled as fairly weak, and the timing had to be so delicate in order to squeeze out a MECS threat from the synoptic pattern. Beautiful block on the Atlantic side but a progressive Pacific with a lack of STJ wins out most of the time in KU situations (NOT talking about ordinary SW flow and clippers where SNE and NNE does well in this -PNA/-NAO pattern.) I don't think this one had as much potential to trend north as 12/19 last year as that was much juicier, but I still got worried about my conservative forecast when the 12z ECM came out and began to think a MECS was a serious possibility. Always had a bad feeling though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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