centralmass Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 gem 72 http://www.weatheroffice.gc.ca/data/model_forecast/492_50.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 Yea.. almost a guarantee the euro comes east now.. although I will not be surprised if the euro comes west lol I'd be shocked if the EURO went west from 12z...I think it comes east some. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 Some people on henry M's facebook blog are posting the ggem and euro an hour or two before they usual come out. Maybe they pay for them to come in advance or maybe they arent real. The canadian is OTS and the euro looks good. At hour 84 its well west of the gfs at 84 Alot of people here pay for it...starts just before 1AM/1PM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kbosch Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 Yea.. almost a guarantee the euro comes east now.. although I will not be surprised if the euro comes west lol So you're already right huh? Let's all keep enjoying the improvement for Americans and remember we're coming off two epic Euros. A third will follow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 Jesus, kid, you need to take a step back and take a TO.....you have grown simply nauseating......Will along with other mets have said that the GFS is probably a plastering for the cape. Is it close, of course, its CC and it's December. No doubt thos 2m temps are warm. The Cape would be close...but I agree with what Ryan said...int he CCB, I think ti would be snow...the WBZ height is like 980mb on the GFS sounding and the sfc temp isn't that far above freezing. It has the the extreme outer Cape near 40F but it falls to 35F pretty quick...and of course we know the GFS 2m temps have a warm bias in most coastals. The middle and upper Cape would almost certainly be mostly snow. Hard to say for sure, but normally they are if the wind stays decently north which it does on the GFS....if we get a closer tucked in solution, then the Cape would change to rian, but then the rest of us would end up with over a foot of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 I'd be shocked if the EURO went west from 12z...I think it comes east some. Same but did you ever think that it would shift 500 miles west last night? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 Some people on henry M's facebook blog are posting the ggem and euro an hour or two before they usual come out. Maybe they pay for them to come in advance or maybe they arent real. The canadian is OTS and the euro looks good. At hour 84 its well west of the gfs at 84 im confused....that's weird and WTF is up with this emoticon!? :hitler: yikes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
benjammin Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 Some people on henry M's facebook blog are posting the ggem and euro an hour or two before they usual come out. Maybe they pay for them to come in advance or maybe they arent real. The canadian is OTS and the euro looks good. At hour 84 its well west of the gfs at 84 The guy who posted just realized it was the 12Z. If you want to see the 0Z you just have to wait. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alpha5 Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 So the GGEM came way East? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 Same but did you ever think that it would shift 500 miles west last night? You mean west....yea, I called that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 So the GGEM came way East? Yes, its much worse than 12z. I wouldn't be all that worried though...look what happened last night. I think the Euro comes east but is still a decent hit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 wow GGEM is way east. way way way east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 Yes, its much worse than 12z. I wouldn't be all that worried though...look what happened last night. I think the Euro comes east but is still a decent hit. If it's a lame 4-8" hit, I'll be devestated and me ftl. I'll get over it and take it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 aight im out. good luck with the euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alpha5 Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 Yes, its much worse than 12z. I wouldn't be all that worried though...look what happened last night. I think the Euro comes east but is still a decent hit. As do I....but the model inconsistency is alarming. Its not like each model has a unique solution it sticks with, rather every run seems to be a switch. GGEM looks to be going back and forth every single run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 wow GGEM is way east. way way way east. Epic bad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 If it's a lame 4-8" hit, I'll be devestated and me ftl. I'll get over it and take it. I think that is much more likely than a huge hit...but we'll see...the fact the GFS was really close to a HECS...closing 5H off just a shade late does make me think the Euro might still kill us. The typical rule of thumb would be good if that happened...you'd have the Euro as a big hit with the GFS just barely missing a big hit at 84 hours...that's about on par with huge snowstorms here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 If it's a lame 4-8" hit, I'll be devestated and me ftl. I'll get over it and take it. At least for my location, since about 2:30pm the entire thing has had the general feel of one of those slowly deflating balloons that omits a high pitched squeal that slowly gets lower and lower with time until the entire thing just falls to a ground like a heaping mess of garbage. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 wow GGEM is way east. way way way east. Flurries for Eastern Mass, verbatim. It's like 200 miles east of the benchmark! These models are off the charts inconsistent. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 I think that is much more likely than a huge hit...but we'll see...the fact the GFS was really close to a HECS...closing 5H off just a shade late does make me think the Euro might still kill us. The typical rule of thumb would be good if that happened...you'd have the Euro as a big hit with the GFS just barely missing a big hit at 84 hours...that's about on par with huge snowstorms here. Yep, which is why I won't stand down unless the EURO goes mod, but I am nervous right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 Flurries for Eastern Mass, verbatim. It's like 200 miles east of the benchmark! These models are off the charts inconsistent. Retrograding trowal light snow. mehLooks ok for ME. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 Yep, which is why I won't stand down unless the EURO goes mod, but I am nervous right now. I think I'll have to wait till morning. No upside. If it's great, I get amped and stay up to 2:30. If it blows, bad sleep. I'll wake up, if it sucks, I'll get some work done. Until the 12Z suite rolls in.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeVries Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 Scott Van Pelt on Sportscenter just mentioned the "NAM and the Euro"...hilarious Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 All HECS have a moment of truth.....one final hurdle that you must jump and this is it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 Retrograding trowal light snow. meh Looks ok for ME. Right....who cares, other then Ginx and Kev. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
neweathereye Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 Flurries for Eastern Mass, verbatim. It's like 200 miles east of the benchmark! These models are off the charts inconsistent. Geez We are hooking onto all of these models like our life depended upon it....The storm hasn't even reached the EC yet and we are already jumping ship with another run....what gives..??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 Not as bad as I thought....in fact.....intriguing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kbosch Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 All HECS have a moment of truth.....one final hurdle that you must jump and this is it. That's the faith I'm looking for here. Surprised more people aren't staying up for this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 Right....who cares, other then Ginx and Kev. Take a look at what I posted. It's very close to a major shellacking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 Scott Van Pelt on Sportscenter just mentioned the "NAM and the Euro"...hilarious Hahaha he's the man! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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