Mr Torchey Posted January 3, 2013 Share Posted January 3, 2013 The pattern will be relaxing next week after a 7 day stretch of cold and dry winter weather. Too early to tell if any records will be broken or just how long the above normal weather will last. It looks as though Kevin will get a chance to wash the truck get all the sand off, ski resorts will be boasting huge depths and some fantastic warm (relative to climo) mid winter skiing. Hopefully the deep snowpack is not lost in the hills, and this is just a 7 -10 day cool up.......thoughts, analysis and general banter on our January thaw. May the torch be with you, now and forever. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted January 3, 2013 Author Share Posted January 3, 2013 It appears the CFS will go down in flames this month Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted January 3, 2013 Share Posted January 3, 2013 Meh to you and your Spring and torch talk. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted January 3, 2013 Author Share Posted January 3, 2013 Meh to you and your Spring and torch talk. I agree lets ignore reality. Stay the course.......bitter January wall to wall cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 3, 2013 Share Posted January 3, 2013 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted January 3, 2013 Share Posted January 3, 2013 as much as i hate it...i think we'll see a fairly extended period (1-2 weeks?) of above normal temps. perhaps "tickling" well above at times. doesn't mean no snow but not the best for prolonged winter-like conditions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 3, 2013 Share Posted January 3, 2013 Running nude on pebble beach? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted January 3, 2013 Author Share Posted January 3, 2013 Running nude on pebble beach? That would be awesome, true Gods country. My grandmother lived in Salinas, just inland from the MP we used to go there a lot when we flew out to visit. PB is a maritime climate and very boring, not much of a temp fluctuation until you jump over the coastal range into the valley........now that area is hot Tim, what a wild swing in a short area!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattb65 Posted January 4, 2013 Share Posted January 4, 2013 Let's see some calls. LL and other torchinistas what's your max + departure guess for this torch and how many days >+5 at BOS, ORH, BDR, BDL? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted January 4, 2013 Share Posted January 4, 2013 Let's see some calls. LL and other torchinistas what's your max + departure guess for this torch and how many days >+5 at BOS, ORH, BDR, BDL? all four sites pull at least 1 double digit and all four have at least 5 +5 days. and that, imo, is conservative. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 4, 2013 Share Posted January 4, 2013 Ouch. +5s are bearable (just so) +10 is devastating Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted January 4, 2013 Author Share Posted January 4, 2013 I am not ready to bite on anything crazy yet, although Will did point out yesterday that we would not need crazy high temps to break records next week as they are fairly low for whatever reason during this period. I think we will absolutely see a period where overnight mins really pump up departures especially in the interior where climo runs cold Some 29-33 type stuff with highs around 40 will produce very healthy positive departures. Time will tell. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted January 4, 2013 Share Posted January 4, 2013 once the snow is gone, we'll all be off to the races. These torches have appeared to over perform the last few years so I'm going to shoot for the stars: BDR +10 for 2 days and >+5 for 6 days BDL +12 for 2 days and >+5 for 7 days ORH +14 1 for day and +10 1 day, >+5 for 6 days BOS +8 for 2 days and >+5 for 3 days PVD +10 for 2 days and >+5 for 4 days Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted January 4, 2013 Author Share Posted January 4, 2013 Everything seems on track. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted January 4, 2013 Share Posted January 4, 2013 once the snow is gone, we'll all be off to the races. These torches have appeared to over perform the last few years so I'm going to shoot for the stars: BDR +10 for 2 days and >+5 for 6 days BDL +12 for 2 days and >+5 for 7 days ORH +14 1 for day and +10 1 day, >+5 for 6 days BOS +8 for 2 days and >+5 for 3 days PVD +10 for 2 days and >+5 for 4 days I could see this happening, actually. +14 at ORH next week is 31/45 I think, so very possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 4, 2013 Share Posted January 4, 2013 Weenies delayed but not deep fried? DT has a great video just out about the possibility of a sharp turn to cold after Jan 15. He is basing it on the QBO continuing to drop and thus weaken the Pacific jet, and the JO getting through 4,5 and 6 towards the more favorable phases. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted January 4, 2013 Author Share Posted January 4, 2013 Euro is an absolute blow torch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
free_man Posted January 4, 2013 Share Posted January 4, 2013 Weenies delayed but not deep fried? DT has a great video just out about the possibility of a sharp turn to cold after Jan 15. He is basing it on the QBO continuing to drop and thus weaken the Pacific jet, and the JO getting through 4,5 and 6 towards the more favorable phases. Yet if he were touting warmth, would it be great? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted January 4, 2013 Share Posted January 4, 2013 Euro is an absolute blow torch Big time. It's also bad before this timeframe also: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 4, 2013 Share Posted January 4, 2013 Big time. It's also bad before this timeframe also: Patriots home game shirtless? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 4, 2013 Share Posted January 4, 2013 Yet if he were touting warmth, would it be great? no. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugarloaf1989 Posted January 4, 2013 Share Posted January 4, 2013 Lol at spring in 55 days, maybe in the tropics of Southwestern Connecticut. Spring starts to look like it's namesake around here about April 15th, even with the warmest of weather. The chances for snow from here into March are nearly 100% IMO. At the very least I will get to bring in my Christmas decorations that are currently buried in snow when it melts away next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted January 4, 2013 Author Share Posted January 4, 2013 Lol at spring in 55 days, maybe in the tropics of Southwestern Connecticut. Spring starts to look like it's namesake around here about April 15th, even with the warmest of weather. The chances for snow from here into March are nearly 100% IMO. At the very least I will get to bring in my Christmas decorations that are currently buried in snow when it melts away next week. morch on Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted January 4, 2013 Author Share Posted January 4, 2013 The upcoming cool up turns my thoughts to lazy days back home, some Tennessee Whiskey and peel and eat shrimp.........85 short days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEaster27 Posted January 5, 2013 Share Posted January 5, 2013 Epic torch incoming Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 5, 2013 Share Posted January 5, 2013 No muting this puppy. Several days of double digit positives. Joe running around nude on the beach yelling Best January Ever Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted January 5, 2013 Author Share Posted January 5, 2013 Torch has already started, morning lows are 10-20 degrees above normal lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 5, 2013 Share Posted January 5, 2013 Torch has already started, morning lows are 10-20 degrees above normal lolMy low on Monday will be around 10FReal torch starts Tuesday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 5, 2013 Share Posted January 5, 2013 EC ens/op are really a weak sauce torch. Yeah it is warm and well above normal a few days, but CNE northward mutes it this run and then we all cool back down after d9-10. Hopefully we continue similar runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 5, 2013 Share Posted January 5, 2013 Torch has already started, morning lows are 10-20 degrees above normal lolThere will be PM lows today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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