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Storm obs snow/ice/rain/wind 12/26/12


Allsnow

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Allamuchy Warren County

Snow/Sleet

Temp. 27.4

Dew Point 25.4

I busted on my forecast. Too bad. I thought we could pull off more snow with intensity of the precip. Now have to worry about ice. Hopefully things warm up quick.

I just checked the radar on TV. It showed the mix line just south of you.

I was hoping it was wrong.

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Heavy Sleet/Wind.

Definitely a little colder up here at 350' in Dobbs Ferry.

SN

29.9/28

1.5" accumulation

Winds: NNE

Mesoanalysis shows that 850s continue to cool...clearly there's a small warm layer around 800mb that is easily overcome by heavy precipitation....we are near -3C at 850mb now whereas we were at -1C when this began:

post-475-0-22618500-1356557559_thumb.gif

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The NE wind can't suppress the R/S line much longer. Gonna change over to rain in the next 30-45 minutes or less.

I don't think Westchester is at any danger of switching to rain right now. I've seen these scenarios play out many times, and we hold onto the cold a lot better than NYC or NJ. Besides, 850s are still cooling and surface temperatures are mostly in the upper 20s throughout the County.

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