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hurricane sandy thread #3


forkyfork

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The reports of coastal flooding ALREADY occurring in the NYC metro are extremely concerning. I think areas in Zone B or even Zone C might be in trouble.

Water in Long Beach already came over some of the canals with the 8pm high tide, and came up to the boardwalk in spots. My hometown is in big trouble I think.

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COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY

357 AM EDT MON OCT 29 2012

...LIFE THREATENING COASTAL FLOODING EXPECTED TODAY THROUGH

TUESDAY MORNING...

CTZ009>012-NJZ006-106-108-NYZ071>075-078>081-176>179-291600-

/O.CON.KOKX.CF.W.0003.121029T1000Z-121030T1900Z/

SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD-SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN-SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX-

SOUTHERN NEW LONDON-HUDSON-EASTERN ESSEX-EASTERN UNION-

SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER-NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-BRONX-

RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)-KINGS (BROOKLYN)-NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-

NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-

NORTHERN QUEENS-NORTHERN NASSAU-SOUTHERN QUEENS-SOUTHERN NASSAU-

357 AM EDT MON OCT 29 2012

...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM THIS MORNING

TO 3 PM EDT TUESDAY...

* LOCATIONS...ALONG NEW YORK HARBOR...NEWARK BAY...THE ARTHUR

KILL...THE TIDALLY AFFECTED PORTIONS OF THE HACKENSACK AND

PASSAIC RIVERS...LONG ISLAND SOUND...THE SOUTHERN AND EASTERN

SHORES OF LONG ISLAND...AND TIDALLY AFFECTED PORTIONS OF THE

HUDSON AND CONNECTICUT RIVERS.

* TIDAL DEPARTURES...BETWEEN 3 TO 4.5 FT ABOVE ASTRONOMICAL TIDES

THIS MORNING...AND POTENTIAL FOR 6 TO 11 FT ABOVE TONIGHT INTO

TUESDAY MORNING. THE HIGHER END OF THE RANGE RELEGATED TO THE

HISTORICALLY MOST VULNERABLE AREAS ALONG NEW YORK

HARBOR...WESTERN LONG ISLAND SOUND...THE LONG ISLAND SOUTH SHORE

BACK BAYS...AND PECONIC BAY.

* HIGH SURF...BREAKING WAVES ARE EXPECTED TO BUILD TO 15 TO 20 FT

ALONG OCEAN FACING SHORELINES BY LATE TODAY INTO TONIGHT.

MEANWHILE...6 TO 12 FT WAVES ARE EXPECTED ALONG EXPOSED EASTERN

AND NORTHEASTERN FACING PORTIONS OF LONG ISLAND SOUND...PECONIC

AND GARDINERS BAYS...AND NEW YORK HARBOR. THE DESTRUCTIVE WAVES

ON TOP OF THE STORM SURGE WILL CAUSE OVERWASHES AND SIGNIFICANT

DAMAGE TO COASTAL STRUCTURES NEAREST TO SEA LEVEL. THIS IS

ESPECIALLY TRUE FOR LOW LYING AREAS ALONG OCEAN PARKWAY AND DUNE

ROAD...THE TWIN FORKS OF LONG ISLAND...FIRE ISLAND COMMUNITIES

SUCH AS FAIR HARBOR...OCEAN BEACH...CHERRY GROVE...FIRE ISLAND

PINES AND DAVIS PARK...AND HISTORICALLY VULNERABLE LOCATIONS ALONG

LONG ISLAND SOUND.

* TIMING...THROUGH TUESDAY...WITH THE HIGHEST STORM TIDE OCCURRING

WITH TONIGHTS HIGH TIDE CYCLE.

* IMPACTS...A LONG DURATION COASTAL FLOOD EVENT IS EXPECTED WITH

AND MODERATE TO MAJOR FLOODING THIS MORNING INTO EARLY

AFTERNOON...AND POTENTIAL HISTORIC FLOODING TONIGHT INTO EARLY

TUESDAY MORNING. THE EXACT TRACK AND TIMING OF THE COASTAL STORM

WILL DETERMINE THE MAGNITUDE OF COASTAL FLOODING TONIGHT THROUGH

THE TUESDAY MORNING HIGH TIDE CYCLE...BUT THE POTENTIAL IS HIGH

FOR SIGNIFICANT INUNDATION AND DAMAGE TO STRUCTURES IN

HISTORICALLY FLOOD PRONE SPOTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS EXPECTED OR

OCCURRING. COASTAL RESIDENTS IN THE WARNED AREA SHOULD BE ALERT

FOR RISING WATER...AND TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION TO PROTECT LIFE

AND PROPERTY.

&&

WATER LEVELS FOR THIS MORNING HIGH TIDE CYCLE

...NY HARBOR WATER LEVELS FOR THIS MORNING...

COASTAL............TIME OF......FORECAST TOTAL.....FLOOD.....

LOCATION...........HIGH TIDE.....WATER LEVEL.......CATEGORY..

...................................(MLLW)....................

THE BATTERY NYC.....831 AM.........9.0.............MODERATE..

BERGEN POINT NY.....830 AM.........9.9.............MODERATE..

...WESTERN L.I. SOUND WATER LEVELS FOR THIS MORNING...

COASTAL............TIME OF......FORECAST TOTAL.....FLOOD.....

LOCATION...........HIGH TIDE.....WATER LEVEL.......CATEGORY..

...................................(MLLW)....................

KINGS POINT NY......1159 AM........12.8............MODERATE..

LATTINGTOWN NY......1158 AM........12.9............MODERATE..

STAMFORD CT.........1131 AM........12.6............MODERATE..

BRIDGEPORT CT.......1128 AM........12.1............MODERATE..

NEW HAVEN CT........1128 AM........11.0............MODERATE..

...EASTERN L.I. SOUND WATER LEVELS FOR THIS MORNING...

COASTAL............TIME OF......FORECAST TOTAL.....FLOOD.....

LOCATION...........HIGH TIDE.....WATER LEVEL.......CATEGORY..

...................................(MLLW)....................

NEW LONDON CT.......928 AM.........6.3.............MODERATE..

...SOUTH SHORE BAYS WATER LEVELS FOR THIS MORNING...

COASTAL............TIME OF......FORECAST TOTAL.....FLOOD.....

LOCATION...........HIGH TIDE.....WATER LEVEL.......CATEGORY..

..................................(MLLW/NGVD)................

E ROCKAWAY INLET NY.814 AM.........8.0/6.5.........MAJOR.....

FREEPORT GAGE NY....858 AM.........7.8/7.0.........MAJOR.....

JAMAICA BAY NY......840 AM.........9.3/7.1.........MODERATE..

ROCKAWAY INLET NY...800 AM.........9.0/7.5.........MODERATE..

POINT LOOKOUT.......741 AM.........7.7/6.6.........MODERATE..

LINDENHURST........1021 AM.........5.1/5.3.........MAJOR.....

...OCEAN WATER LEVELS FOR THIS MORNING...

COASTAL............TIME OF......FORECAST TOTAL.....FLOOD.....

LOCATION...........HIGH TIDE.....WATER LEVEL.......CATEGORY..

...................................(MLLW)....................

MONTAUK POINT NY....903 AM.........5.9.............MODERATE..

WATER LEVELS FOR THIS EVENING AND TONIGHTS HIGH TIDE CYCLE

...NY HARBOR WATER LEVELS FOR THIS EVENING...

COASTAL............TIME OF......FORECAST TOTAL.....FLOOD.....

LOCATION...........HIGH TIDE.....WATER LEVEL.......CATEGORY..

...................................(MLLW)....................

THE BATTERY NYC.....813 PM.........10-12.............MAJOR....

BERGEN POINT NY.....814 PM.........12-13.............MAJOR....

...WESTERN L.I. SOUND WATER LEVELS FOR TONIGHT...

COASTAL............TIME OF......FORECAST TOTAL.....FLOOD.....

LOCATION...........HIGH TIDE.....WATER LEVEL.......CATEGORY..

...................................(MLLW)....................

KINGS POINT NY......1227 AM........15-16............MAJOR....

LATTINGTOWN NY......1205 AM........15-16............MAJOR....

STAMFORD CT.........1201 AM........14-15............MAJOR....

BRIDGEPORT CT.......1158 PM........14-15............MAJOR....

NEW HAVEN CT........1157 PM........13-14............MAJOR....

...EASTERN L.I. SOUND WATER LEVELS FOR THIS EVENING...

COASTAL............TIME OF......FORECAST TOTAL.....FLOOD.....

LOCATION...........HIGH TIDE.....WATER LEVEL.......CATEGORY..

...................................(MLLW)....................

NEW LONDON CT.......952 PM.........8.5-9.5..........MAJOR....

...SOUTH SHORE BAYS WATER LEVELS FOR THIS EVENING...

COASTAL............TIME OF......FORECAST TOTAL.....FLOOD.....

LOCATION...........HIGH TIDE.....WATER LEVEL.......CATEGORY..

..................................(MLLW/NGVD)................

E ROCKAWAY INLET NY..814 PM.........12/10.5.........MAJOR....

FREEPORT GAGE NY.....858 PM.........11/10.2.........MAJOR....

JAMAICA BAY NY.......900 PM.......12.2/10...........MAJOR....

ROCKAWAY INLET NY....820 PM.......11.5/9.5..........MAJOR....

POINT LOOKOUT........801 PM.........11/9.9..........MAJOR....

LINDENHURST.........1041 PM.......8.4/8.6...........MAJOR....

...OCEAN WATER LEVELS FOR TONIGHT...

COASTAL............TIME OF......FORECAST TOTAL.....FLOOD.....

LOCATION...........HIGH TIDE.....WATER LEVEL.......CATEGORY..

...................................(MLLW)....................

MONTAUK POINT NY.....923 PM.........7.5-8.5..........MAJOR...

$$

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From Mount Holly's disco this morning:

.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...

COASTAL FLOOD WARNINGS ARE UP FOR ALL OF OUR TIDAL WATERS. MAJOR AND

IN SOME CASES RECORD FLOODING IS FORECAST ALONG THE ATLANTIC COAST,

ADJACENT BACK BAYS, RARITAN BAY AND DELAWARE BAY. THE MONDAY NIGHT

HIGH TIDE IS THE ONE THAT WOULD CAUSE THE WORST FLOODING, AND THE

WORST FLOODING IS MOST LIKELY OVER THE NORTHERN NEW JERSEY

COASTLINE, RARITAN BAY AND ADJACENT TIDAL WATERS.

COASTAL FLOODING WILL STILL BE SUBSTANTIAL AND POTENTIALLY

DEVASTATING IN NORTHERN NEW JERSEY WHERE THE COMBINED SURGE/TIDE

WILL PROBABLY EXCEED THE FLOOD OF RECORD THERE BY 1.5 TO 3 FEET.

THE PERIOD OF RECORD AT SANDY HOOK DATES BACK TO 1910!

THE HIGH WAVES SLAMMING ASHORE WILL ADD TO THE HIGH PROBABILITY

FOR SEVERE DAMAGE. THE FORECAST WATER ABOVE GROUND LEVEL WILL

EXCEED THE LEVELS OF IRENE LAST YEAR AND HURRICANE DONNA OF SEPT

1960. ANYTHING WITHIN 15 FEET OF NORMAL SEA LEVEL IS IN HARMS WAY!

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