Allenson Posted July 23, 2012 Share Posted July 23, 2012 Looks like the KCXX radar will still be down today for the dual pol upgrade. It will be interesting to see how BTV handles the potentially severe convection later today. Is there a good site to view Canadian radar data? http://www.weatherof...x_e.html?id=QUE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted July 23, 2012 Share Posted July 23, 2012 No storms? I doubt severe Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
klw Posted July 23, 2012 Share Posted July 23, 2012 That blob moving through the Ottawa river valley has been holding together nicely. Curious to see if it makes it down this far or if it stays north of the border. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted July 23, 2012 Share Posted July 23, 2012 Meh Not a whole lot to force convection today outside of diurnal heating. Again shear is not favorable for much more than pulse or loosely organized multicells. I'm still intrigued by the forcing and forecast thermodynamics along the cold front later tonight for northern areas. I'm interested to see if there might be an MCV embedded in that MCS decaying over Ontario too. Might be a focus for stronger storms later this evening for the North Country. Outside of an isolated severe report, SNE might have to wait until tomorrow as things stand right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 23, 2012 Share Posted July 23, 2012 Friday looks like a day where SNE is actually in a better spot along or just north of the northward moving warmfront than areas farther south..Seems like that setup favors us and not NYC south so much Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 23, 2012 Share Posted July 23, 2012 I doubt severe So good chance many of us see nothing? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted July 23, 2012 Share Posted July 23, 2012 Not a whole lot to force convection today outside of diurnal heating. Again shear is not favorable for much more than pulse or loosely organized multicells. I'm still intrigued by the forcing and forecast thermodynamics along the cold front later tonight for northern areas. I'm interested to see if there might be an MCV embedded in that MCS decaying over Ontario too. Might be a focus for stronger storms later this evening for the North Country. Outside of an isolated severe report, SNE might have to wait until tomorrow as things stand right now. Agree with all of this. Not expecting much here in CT for severe. Other areas may see some good stuff north and east of here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEaster27 Posted July 23, 2012 Share Posted July 23, 2012 Friday looks like a day where SNE is actually in a better spot along or just north of the northward moving warmfront than areas farther south..Seems like that setup favors us and not NYC south so much Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted July 23, 2012 Share Posted July 23, 2012 MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1550 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1132 AM CDT MON JUL 23 2012 AREAS AFFECTED...NERN PA INTO MUCH OF NY...VT...WRN MA/CT CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE VALID 231632Z - 231800Z PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...60 PERCENT SUMMARY...STORMS SHOULD INCREASE IN COVERAGE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON...WITH LOCALIZED SEVERE WIND AND HAIL. DISCUSSION...VISIBLE IMAGERY SHOWS CU INCREASING ACROSS THE ENTIRE REGION...WHERE STRONG HEATING WAS OCCURRING. MUCH OF THE CU WAS FOCUSED WITHIN A BROAD SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDING FROM CNTRL NY INTO CNTRL/ERN PA. MODIFIED MORNING SOUNDINGS INDICATE CIN HAS BEEN DIMINISHED AND MUCAPE ON THE ORDER OF 2500 J/KG EXISTS WITH DECENT PARCEL ACCELERATION THROUGH THE PROFILE. SHEAR PROFILES ARE CURRENTLY WEAK...BUT THE DEGREE OF MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY...AS WELL AS MARGINAL SHEAR...SUGGEST THAT A FEW STORMS MAY BECOME SEVERE...WITH LOCALLY SEVERE WIND GUSTS AS WELL AS MARGINAL HAIL. ..JEWELL/HART.. 07/23/2012 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted July 23, 2012 Share Posted July 23, 2012 Pretty much as has been discussed. A few stronger storms capable of an isolated hail or wind report. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted July 23, 2012 Share Posted July 23, 2012 Wow at the 12z GFS for Thursday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted July 23, 2012 Share Posted July 23, 2012 Wow at the 12z GFS for Thursday. Just a hodograph from near the triple point... Nothing to worry about there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted July 23, 2012 Share Posted July 23, 2012 Albany on Thursday. HM/HPC is probably right though...that low looks super strong and convectively induced. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted July 23, 2012 Share Posted July 23, 2012 Albany on Thursday. HM/HPC is probably right though...that low looks super strong and convectively induced. Heading to Ithaca on Thursday myself. I wouldn't mind a little gentleman's chase on my way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted July 23, 2012 Share Posted July 23, 2012 Heading to Ithaca on Thursday myself. I wouldn't mind a little gentleman's chase on my way. As much as the wind profiles are inspiring...the GFS instability is pretty meh for ENY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted July 23, 2012 Share Posted July 23, 2012 Just a hodograph from near the triple point... Nothing to worry about there. LOL Not expecting much.... odds are this turns into a fail but it is a bit interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted July 23, 2012 Share Posted July 23, 2012 LOL Not expecting much.... odds are this turns into a fail but it is a bit interesting. Let the weenies dream Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted July 23, 2012 Share Posted July 23, 2012 Let the weenies dream If there is a time for one of these to pan out it is during this part of the summer at least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 23, 2012 Share Posted July 23, 2012 Big storms firing up to our west..One severe in NW Jersey Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted July 23, 2012 Share Posted July 23, 2012 That Canadian MCS is looking healthy now. Warm advection wing is starting to produce lightning now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEaster27 Posted July 23, 2012 Share Posted July 23, 2012 hvy hvy severe threat Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted July 23, 2012 Share Posted July 23, 2012 lol, On the Cusp Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
free_man Posted July 23, 2012 Share Posted July 23, 2012 That Canadian MCS is looking healthy now. Warm advection wing is starting to produce lightning now. Yeah, I was going to mention that also. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted July 23, 2012 Share Posted July 23, 2012 Nasty hailer west of Schenectady. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 23, 2012 Share Posted July 23, 2012 Many warnings flying in NY state moving east twds most of SNE.. Gonna be wild for many this afternoon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted July 23, 2012 Share Posted July 23, 2012 lol, On the Cusp "Cannon to the west of them, cannon to the east of them" (Apologies to Tennyson) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted July 23, 2012 Share Posted July 23, 2012 watch just issued for Western CT and Extreme West Mass to 9pm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted July 23, 2012 Share Posted July 23, 2012 I think we'll struggle in SNE to see much severe to be honest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted July 23, 2012 Share Posted July 23, 2012 "Cannon to the west of them, cannon to the east of them" (Apologies to Tennyson) Hoping we at least see some shower activity, Severe or not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted July 23, 2012 Share Posted July 23, 2012 That storm that fired over ENX moving toward downtown Albany looks severe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.