ChrisM Posted May 29, 2012 Share Posted May 29, 2012 Shear has increased each model run since 12z yesterday. I'm noticing the 500/700mb flow down here in SNE and SE NY is definitely progged to be stronger on the 12z runs than it was from yesterday's runs. That's one of the reason severe threat has increased down here as well as the remnant EML plume that was unspoiled by the lack of convection yesterday and last night. Would love to see 18z soundings from OKX and ALB. Seeing any tor threat down here? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted May 29, 2012 Share Posted May 29, 2012 The Adirondacks look like they are getting ready to light off some storms now. We're covering about all our mechanisms for initiating convection, along the cold front, the old outflow boundary, and elevated heating source. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted May 29, 2012 Share Posted May 29, 2012 If the outlook isn't out by 12:45 we're just going to go...maybe we can even do close to 100 mph for a short time Don't you have a computer or phone to look at while he is driving? Get on the road fool Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted May 29, 2012 Share Posted May 29, 2012 Seeing some 70 dbz pixels near dolgeville Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr. Windcredible! Posted May 29, 2012 Share Posted May 29, 2012 maybe if he didn't stay up till 3am they could've gotten their butts on the road a bit earlier. There will still be plenty of convection when they make it up here...but seriously...why waste a couple hours of opportunity just because? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted May 29, 2012 Share Posted May 29, 2012 the squall line in NW PA appears to be developing soom organization...seems to be propogating forward faster. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 29, 2012 Share Posted May 29, 2012 Shear has increased each model run since 12z yesterday. I'm noticing the 500/700mb flow down here in SNE and SE NY is definitely progged to be stronger on the 12z runs than it was from yesterday's runs. That's one of the reason severe threat has increased down here as well as the remnant EML plume that was unspoiled by the lack of convection yesterday and last night. Would love to see 18z soundings from OKX and ALB. Yesterday's models looked very meager in that dept..especially closer to our latitude. A little stronger today, but I think remnant plume is also not advecting out or at least modified by convection like models progged it would. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted May 29, 2012 Share Posted May 29, 2012 still socked in with low coulds from ORH East to boston area then NE thru SE NH. will this crap ever burn off Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted May 29, 2012 Share Posted May 29, 2012 Nice 45% Sent from my iPad HD Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted May 29, 2012 Share Posted May 29, 2012 Anyone know how much tolls would be if we went 91 north to Springfield than I90 (MA Pike) from there to Albany? The Pike is free in western Mass. Not sure what happens once you get into NYS. Godd lukc! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted May 29, 2012 Share Posted May 29, 2012 still socked in with low coulds from ORH East to boston area then NE thru SE NH. will this crap ever burn off ORH went ENE and dropped a degree from 11 to 12. I'm stuck at 61/60 up here with the low overcast too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted May 29, 2012 Share Posted May 29, 2012 ORH went ENE and dropped a degree from 11 to 12. I'm stuck at 61/60 up here with the low overcast too. Back up a degree now from 12 to 1 , front doesn't want to move NE of here it seems like. Welcome back to the forum everyone! lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted May 29, 2012 Share Posted May 29, 2012 BFD NW 30 G 44knots...not bad Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted May 29, 2012 Share Posted May 29, 2012 DUJ G to 49 knots Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted May 29, 2012 Share Posted May 29, 2012 Looks like my area miss out on any action today....good luck to everyone else... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr. Windcredible! Posted May 29, 2012 Share Posted May 29, 2012 Nice cell headed towards GFL...too bad wiz is probably somewhere back on the Mass Pike...if he's even left W Hartford yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted May 29, 2012 Share Posted May 29, 2012 1.50" hail in Palermo, NY, Oswego County. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEaster27 Posted May 29, 2012 Share Posted May 29, 2012 http://www.wunderground.com/radar/radblast.asp?zoommode=pan&prevzoom=zoom&num=1&frame=0&delay=15&scale=0.125&noclutter=0&ID=ENX&type=N0R&showstorms=10&lat=43.55940247&lon=-73.66238403&label=Bolton%20Landing,%20NY&map.x=400&map.y=240&scale=0.125¢erx=189¢ery=1078&showlabels=1&rainsnow=0&lightning=0&lerror=20&num_stns_min=2&num_stns_max=9999&avg_off=9999&smooth=0 hail core about to hit my house just north of bolton landing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmanmitch Posted May 29, 2012 Share Posted May 29, 2012 Looks like some stuff already starting to fire along a boundary on the west side of the Hudson Valley. While it's not severe yet, it likely won't take much for it become severe with the instability. SPC mesoanalysis indicating 3000-4000 J/kg of CAPE in these parts. Could make for a wild and exciting afternoon in these parts. 88/69. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted May 29, 2012 Share Posted May 29, 2012 The lake gets a pass in the Spring/Summer for it's stabilizing/cooling effect after 100+" winters. Not so much after 36" winters... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr. Windcredible! Posted May 29, 2012 Share Posted May 29, 2012 good bit of thunder here with that cell which looks to be right over downtown. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted May 29, 2012 Share Posted May 29, 2012 all sorts of mesoscale features going on in VT...will be interesting to watch the upstream activity as it heads into the central part of the state Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEaster27 Posted May 29, 2012 Share Posted May 29, 2012 getting hail now just north of bolton landing, nickle size Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted May 29, 2012 Share Posted May 29, 2012 70 DBZ showing up on the composite on the cell near Geneva, NY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEaster27 Posted May 29, 2012 Share Posted May 29, 2012 getting hail now just north of bolton landing, nickle size golf ball size hail now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted May 29, 2012 Share Posted May 29, 2012 golf ball size hail now take some pics Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted May 29, 2012 Share Posted May 29, 2012 climatologically speaking, I believe Chautauqua County, NY and the area from ALB to GFL are the hot spots for severe weather in the NE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEaster27 Posted May 29, 2012 Share Posted May 29, 2012 take some pics relaying with my dad who is up north, im down in the city but will try to get him to take some pics. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
radarman Posted May 29, 2012 Share Posted May 29, 2012 Forget about the Severe watch, we need a Heat Advy... 92/77 Heat index over 105 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bobbutts Posted May 29, 2012 Share Posted May 29, 2012 http://sportisland1.viewnetcam.com:50000/ViewerFrame?Resolution=640x480&Quality=Motion&Size=STD&Language=0&Sound=Enable&Mode=JPEG&RPeriod=65535&SendMethod=1&View=Full webcam getting it pretty well Northville ny Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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