CoastalWx Posted May 3, 2012 Share Posted May 3, 2012 Tonight and tomorrow is the type of setup that can drop like 2-3" of rain easily in a narrow area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 3, 2012 Share Posted May 3, 2012 Nice wx fail. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted May 3, 2012 Share Posted May 3, 2012 I think parts of the area could get rocked with thunder late tonight and again tomorrow aftn. Could be some good boomers banging around as Barry Burbank used to say. LLL (Lightning for Litchfield Libations)? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 3, 2012 Share Posted May 3, 2012 LLL (Lightning for Litchfield Libations)? You guys down through LL look to be in the game. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted May 3, 2012 Share Posted May 3, 2012 You guys down through LL look to be in the game. I see SW CT, but not sold on up here--but I can't read things very well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 3, 2012 Share Posted May 3, 2012 I see SW CT, but not sold on up here--but I can't read things very well. Well a lot of it is elevated, so it doesn't necessarily matter how warm it is at the surface. A big warm and humid push aloft is all it takes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted May 3, 2012 Share Posted May 3, 2012 Any signs of when this wx will end down the road? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 3, 2012 Share Posted May 3, 2012 Any signs of when this wx will end down the road? They'll probably be some sun on Sunday and Monday, but I don't see an overall regime change over the next 2 weeks to be honest. Unless the final 10 days are very mild, May could be in jeopardy of coming in near normal or a tiny bit below? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 3, 2012 Share Posted May 3, 2012 Kind of interesting tomorrow aftn for SW CT and Hudson Valley areas. That low will be diving SSE towards the NYC area. Could be an interesting cluster of tstms right along the path of the low. Shear is decent. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted May 3, 2012 Share Posted May 3, 2012 Kind of interesting tomorrow aftn for SW CT and Hudson Valley areas. That low will be diving SSE towards the NYC area. Could be an interesting cluster of tstms right along the path of the low. Shear is decent. the warm front getting NE of here early enough would help too...thoughts on that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted May 3, 2012 Share Posted May 3, 2012 Kind of interesting tomorrow aftn for SW CT and Hudson Valley areas. That low will be diving SSE towards the NYC area. Could be an interesting cluster of tstms right along the path of the low. Shear is decent. Decent EML is present on the DTW sounding this morning, looks like that gets into WNY this afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 3, 2012 Share Posted May 3, 2012 the warm front getting NE of here early enough would help too...thoughts on that? I think the front doesn't really get past you in the sense that you'll have more s-sse winds. But, some of that stuff might not all be surface based. I could see decent storms near you tomorrow, but obviously you'd want to be clearly in the warm sector for that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
It's Always Sunny Posted May 3, 2012 Share Posted May 3, 2012 I think the front doesn't really get past you in the sense that you'll have more s-sse winds. But, some of that stuff might not all be surface based. I could see decent storms near you tomorrow, but obviously you'd want to be clearly in the warm sector for that. It looks like CT will be just east of the warm sector, but that can all change next model run. It looks like the GFS has you set up better than the NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted May 3, 2012 Share Posted May 3, 2012 Classic NE hate spring hate weather... could not have been scripted better to cause misery that challenges the endurance of man. Probably going to be warmer in CAR, Me than BOS, Ma today. -NAO wall is banking this murk up against an otherwise WNW continental flow. Western PA basks in warm and utopia while we eat vomit in a narrow locked-in region where continental air mass has locked horns with the -NAO. It's a curse that is endemic to NE like no other place on Earth. Ceaselessly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted May 3, 2012 Share Posted May 3, 2012 it's times like these i have this crazy fantasy about a bank of fans 5 miles tall by 1,000 miles wide, blowing on high at the -NAO domain to see if it can be blown away... Yuck. I still say April is the worse month of the year, despite the fact that this concept is going out of its way to be challenged by doing it upside down this year... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted May 3, 2012 Share Posted May 3, 2012 Tuesday's 41F high was made bearable by our getting almost 0.4" rain. Since then it's been the archtypical May drizzlefest, just enough to keep the trees dripping and 0.03" total for the past 48 hr. Local river back down to 25th percentile flow and dropping. 06 gfs cut precip here to half of earlier runs, and GYX has the wetter Euro being wet south and west of MBY. They also had my area forecast for upper 50s today; still hanging in the mid 40s (though this time of year, only a couple bright hr can run the temp up a long way.) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted May 3, 2012 Share Posted May 3, 2012 This kind of wx isn't great now, but the pattern will be wonderful for us in GC etc. from middle/late May through the Summer. At that point troughs are our friend as it keeps the nasty heat and humidity away. I know there are some masochists in here that enjoy 95/75 stuff, but not me. LOL Yep. I love when May stays cool and rainy. Each day that passes without uncomfortable heat brings us that much closer to the first snows of a new season. Hopefully, like a few years ago, we will have seen the warmest temps of the year already. How awesome would it be if we had a cool and rainy summer? One can only hope. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted May 3, 2012 Share Posted May 3, 2012 I'm stricken by pretty bad hay fever today and not venturing out there so can't give an obs. But we had a really pounding torrential shower here last night as that stuff dropped southeast. Then a second one a bit later. It almost seemed like an MCS the way it dropped southeast. Tuesday's 41F high was made bearable by our getting almost 0.4" rain. Since then it's been the archtypical May drizzlefest, just enough to keep the trees dripping and 0.03" total for the past 48 hr. Local river back down to 25th percentile flow and dropping. 06 gfs cut precip here to half of earlier runs, and GYX has the wetter Euro being wet south and west of MBY. They also had my area forecast for upper 50s today; still hanging in the mid 40s (though this time of year, only a couple bright hr can run the temp up a long way.) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted May 3, 2012 Share Posted May 3, 2012 What an absolute abortion of a day this is awful Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted May 3, 2012 Share Posted May 3, 2012 I would take this any day as long as im not at the beach What an absolute abortion of a day this is awful Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted May 3, 2012 Share Posted May 3, 2012 Looks like the GFS finally stopped snorting or Ran out of its supply. BOS down to 59 while Chicopee falls is still 72 for tomorrow. FWIW BOS is 57 on the NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted May 3, 2012 Share Posted May 3, 2012 I think the warmth is going to have big time trouble getting much into SNE tomorrow, but we'll see! another disgusting day today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 3, 2012 Share Posted May 3, 2012 Looks like the GFS finally stopped snorting or Ran out of its supply. BOS down to 59 while Chicopee falls is still 72 for tomorrow. FWIW BOS is 57 on the NAM. If places like BDL can get some sun..I could see 70 or low 70s, but I just don't know. That may be too hopeful. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted May 3, 2012 Share Posted May 3, 2012 If places like BDL can get some sun..I could see 70 or low 70s, but I just don't know. That may be too hopeful. Yeah I agree. I mean it's pretty warm aloft but with the WF nearby, you have to be wary of clouds/precip. Looks like a generally easterly flow so yeah places in the valley would downslope somewhat. I think if I needed to put out a forecast I'd probably say like 68 or something at BDL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted May 3, 2012 Share Posted May 3, 2012 I think the warmth is going to have big time trouble getting much into SNE tomorrow, but we'll see! another disgusting day today Agree. I think out by you at DXR should get to 70 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted May 3, 2012 Share Posted May 3, 2012 I would take this any day as long as im not at the beach Hmmm...75 and sunny with low humidity or 50 and drizzle with a slight breeze? Tough... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted May 3, 2012 Share Posted May 3, 2012 Hmmm...75 and sunny with low humidity or 50 and drizzle with a slight breeze? Tough... Dude you don't like havin rock hard nips and sheet drizzle at the beach? You don't even have to go in the water cuz ur already wet! But seriously this sucks. 48f Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted May 3, 2012 Share Posted May 3, 2012 NAM blows the warm front through tomorrow. Big change from previous NAM runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 3, 2012 Share Posted May 3, 2012 NAM blows the warm front through tomorrow. Big change from previous NAM runs. Just like it has it through DC now while they are still stuck in the 60s with a se wind. I just don't buy that right now, but I could be wrong. Even if it does move close to BDL..it may be a bootleg warm sector with S-SSE winds and clouds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted May 3, 2012 Share Posted May 3, 2012 What an absolute abortion of a day this is awful Waa waa. This weather is great to work in. No blazing sun, no black flies, cool temps. Why do you care anyway? You're probably just hanging out inside playing with your playstation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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