Damage In Tolland Posted April 9, 2012 Author Share Posted April 9, 2012 I never said that. I and several others mentioned that with troughing in the northeast, you increase your chances of precip. Indeed we had storms develop, just a bit further to the northeast. The pattern coming up is different as we possibly could warm up for a few days and then have a front stall nearby. Eventually we'll get rain as the patterns kind of shift around. In times of drought..continue to go dry Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 9, 2012 Share Posted April 9, 2012 In times of drought..continue to go dry This isn't a dry begets dry deal. That doesn't happen in April. It's more for areas down south where drought limits things like the normal garden variety aftn tstms in the summer. This is purely a function of the pattern. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted April 9, 2012 Share Posted April 9, 2012 Pics? Tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 9, 2012 Author Share Posted April 9, 2012 This isn't a dry begets dry deal. That doesn't happen in April. It's more for areas down south where drought limits things like the normal garden variety aftn tstms in the summer. This is purely a function of the pattern. Over/under for the rest of the month at the 4 SNE climo sites.. 1.5 inches I say under at all 4.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WXheights Posted April 9, 2012 Share Posted April 9, 2012 Snow levels a little lower in southern Vermont currently but I'm sure above 2500 ft looks similar in the central and northern Greens Mountains... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 9, 2012 Share Posted April 9, 2012 Over/under for the rest of the month at the 4 SNE climo sites.. 1.5 inches I say under at all 4.. I'll be surprised if all are under 1.5" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 9, 2012 Author Share Posted April 9, 2012 I'll be surprised if all are under 1.5" I'd be surprised if any of them are over 1 inch TBH Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 9, 2012 Share Posted April 9, 2012 I'd be surprised if any of them are over 1 inch TBH Maybe 1 or 2 could be, but I really doubt all 4 will be under 1.5". But I suppose you can't write that assumption off completely...just don't see it right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmanmitch Posted April 9, 2012 Share Posted April 9, 2012 Nothing more than mangled flakes mixed with rain here. We've head steady upslope precipitation for several hours now. It isn't much, but it will keep the fire danger down a bit. Given that I had some flakes, I bet 2K had some minor accumulations. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted April 9, 2012 Share Posted April 9, 2012 Coles Pond VT at 2200 feet (I believe) is 32F and snow at 9am. Also Pittsburg NH up on the Canadian boarder got snow last night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted April 9, 2012 Share Posted April 9, 2012 wow did the euro ens really muck up the 11-13th period this month, looks warm and sunny, complete failure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 9, 2012 Share Posted April 9, 2012 wow did the euro ens really muck up the 11-13th period this month, looks warm and sunny, complete failure. Huh? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted April 9, 2012 Share Posted April 9, 2012 This is going to be big for the mountains... April cut-off season delivering the goods. 1.45 degree scan out of BTV showing how terrain oriented the precipitation is. Nothing happening in Burlington at all (maybe even some breaks in the clouds over the lake?) and then only a couple miles east it is pouring/dumping depending on elevation. Snowing pancakes at around 2,000ft... tonight when the snow level drops should be real interesting in the BTV western slope suburbs and ski towns. Snowing hard at Pico/Killington area right now... they are up above 2,000ft for base elevations I believe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted April 9, 2012 Share Posted April 9, 2012 Another dry windy day here. the broken record continues.... haven't had a decent rain event in months it seems (more than 1/4 of an inch). enjoy the warmth folks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted April 9, 2012 Share Posted April 9, 2012 Tree pollen is off the charts right now, my wife is miserable and I have had itchy eyes even though I've never had allergies. The wind is making me crazy. Going to be an ugly pollen season. Kev should start a thread fire and brimstone on that too. No rain, winds, pollen misery. I just popped a sudafed which means in an hour or two I turn into snownh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted April 9, 2012 Share Posted April 9, 2012 Not supposed to be that warm today, forecast high of 59 today with strong wind. Agree-the wind will make it feel cooler-otherwise, 59 with the strong sun this time of year feels pretty warm... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 9, 2012 Author Share Posted April 9, 2012 Going to be an ugly pollen season. Kev should start a thread fire and brimstone on that too. No rain, winds, pollen misery. I just popped a sudafed which means in an hour or two I turn into snownh. I did..weeks ago...Scroll down the page Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 9, 2012 Share Posted April 9, 2012 Man what a horrible time of year. Meh temps and an upslope pants tent festival. Great times. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted April 9, 2012 Share Posted April 9, 2012 Nothing more than mangled flakes mixed with rain here. We've head steady upslope precipitation for several hours now. It isn't much, but it will keep the fire danger down a bit. Given that I had some flakes, I bet 2K had some minor accumulations. We had a good period of snow earlier and things whitened up quickly. Just a ripping NW wind, cloudy, temps around freezing. Perfect April weather. We should have some more bouts with snow this week. Nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted April 9, 2012 Share Posted April 9, 2012 PF quite the show! Winds are relentless down here with a chill out of the sun. Tried doing some yard work, gave up because of the dust. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted April 9, 2012 Share Posted April 9, 2012 This is going to be big for the mountains... April cut-off season delivering the goods. 1.45 degree scan out of BTV showing how terrain oriented the precipitation is. Nothing happening in Burlington at all (maybe even some breaks in the clouds over the lake?) and then only a couple miles east it is pouring/dumping depending on elevation. Snowing pancakes at around 2,000ft... tonight when the snow level drops should be real interesting in the BTV western slope suburbs and ski towns. I don't think it drops much below 1,500ft tonight except maybe near the spine. BTV's local WRF drops places near Walden, VT and the immediate spine below freezing tonight with precip enhancement near the ridges and immediate spine and to the west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted April 9, 2012 Share Posted April 9, 2012 I don't think it drops much below 1,800ft tonight. BTV's local WRF drops places near Walden, VT and the immediate spine below freezing tonight with precip enhancement near the ridges and immediate spine and to the west. Web cam shows it snowing at the Stowe base lodge at 1500 feet right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted April 9, 2012 Share Posted April 9, 2012 Web cam shows it snowing at the Stowe base lodge at 1500 feet right now. Let me re-phrase that because I think snow mixes in in a lot of base areas and it may be all snow with temps near 35F. Accumulating snows will be confined to areas above 1800ft. Summits are going to MAKE OUT with this. Probably close to a foot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted April 9, 2012 Share Posted April 9, 2012 Let me re-phrase that because I think snow mixes in in a lot of base areas and it may be all snow with temps near 35F. Accumulating snows will be confined to areas above 1800ft. Summits are going to MAKE OUT with this. Probably close to a foot. It's accumulating on grassy surfaces already at 1500. Nice event underway,, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted April 9, 2012 Share Posted April 9, 2012 Also, you'd be amazed at the differences with height around here. Lower level lapse rates running 6-7 degrees/km around these parts. Currently 39F here at 1,100ft, 36F up at 1670ft, and 32F up at 2200ft. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted April 9, 2012 Share Posted April 9, 2012 It's accumulating on grassy surfaces already at 1500. Nice event underway,, Should definitely be nice above base level. According to wunderground, its 35F at 1640ft in Stowe (idk if thats at Stowe?). The majority of the event occurs before 6z (1.25-1.50" according to the BTV WRF which does very well with these events) and 0.25"-0.50" after 6z which is when accumulating snow levels will probably sink down to maybe 1,000ft in the spine, 1,500ft elsewhere in N VT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted April 9, 2012 Share Posted April 9, 2012 Coles Pond VT at 2200 feet (I believe) is 32F and snow at 9am. Also Pittsburg NH up on the Canadian boarder got snow last night. Ice still on that lake? WTf'ingF? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 9, 2012 Share Posted April 9, 2012 Ice still on that lake? WTf'ingF? Pittsburg NH is fooking cold. The lake elevation is almost 1700' I believe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted April 9, 2012 Share Posted April 9, 2012 Should definitely be nice above base level. According to wunderground, its 35F at 1640ft in Stowe (idk if thats at Stowe?). The majority of the event occurs before 6z (1.25-1.50" according to the BTV WRF which does very well with these events) and 0.25"-0.50" after 6z which is when accumulating snow levels will probably sink down to maybe 1,000ft in the spine, 1,500ft elsewhere in N VT. The Wunderground station at 1,640ft is on the roof of the Johnson Mountain Cabin (privately owned) and it is where this web cam is from: This is a very accurate station except at night it can run a little high as it is off the ground a bit and I notice it usually will keep a pesky wind around when over at Mountain Ops we are calm and colder. Otherwise, its a very accurate temp reading and station. However, there is some slushy accumulation going on now at 1,500ft... the weather station on the Johnson Mountain Cabin is 100-150ft higher than this web cam: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted April 9, 2012 Share Posted April 9, 2012 lol this is a good forecast... I can tell it must be dumping up there because it is absolutely pouring here on the Mountain Road. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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