MaineJayhawk Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 And Nogaps is a huge bomb about running outside the BM which just grazes the outer Cape. Modeling all over the place right now. Category 4 to partly sunny. We need the Doc to lay down the law. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 GFS also has some snow showers on and off on the backside of the system as it somewhat stalls off the coast...could be a fun period from about Sunday-Tuesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Girl 22 Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 GGEM is extremely flat...literally just a weak wave about 600 miles offshore. Why is the GGEM so different than the GFS and NOGAPS? Is it due to later s/w phase? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CCPSUSuperstorm2010 Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 Weatherwiz, potential fun pattern ahead. Potential. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 14, 2010 Author Share Posted December 14, 2010 CMC really has no southern stream system so hence....nada. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 Gibbs says Euro should look better today..and that since this is southern stream that it's having it's usual issues with energy in the sw. Thoughts on that? You know I was actually thinking this to myself last night/this morning when I was looking at the Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 Why is the GGEM so different than the GFS and NOGAPS? Is it due to later s/w phase? The southern stream remains fairly modest and it never phases with any of the northern stream. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 Also nice to see greater divergence towards the coast as well on the 12z GFS...0z GFS had greater divergence just off the Carolina coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 Weatherwiz, potential fun pattern ahead. Potential. Hopefully now we cash in I'm just glad to actually not see any type of cutter scenario. I'll gladly take a scenario like the one at hand here. Given the timeframe were in I'm very pleased where we stand right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 You know I was actually thinking this to myself last night/this morning when I was looking at the Euro. Based on that..I think we'll see a nice shift west today on the Euro 12z Ukie is another nice hit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 12z Nogaps FTW! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Girl 22 Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 CMC really has no southern stream system so hence....nada. Oh, Thanks you for that response. I'm still learning how to read these. Wow, I'd love for that GFS to happen!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectKing Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 UKMET 12z.....Day 3: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 You have five days to fix that.....no worries. 17.0/6 No worries is right, Just taking what the run shows verbatium................ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 Looks alot faster than the GFS with the northern stream energy through 72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 14, 2010 Author Share Posted December 14, 2010 12z Nogaps FTW! Yesterday's. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 Based on that..I think we'll see a nice shift west today on the Euro 12z Ukie is another nice hit where are you gettting that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 GFS Ensembles at H5, not bad. A few of these are actually inland. By the way, at p002. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Girl 22 Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 The southern stream remains fairly modest and it never phases with any of the northern stream. Thanks, I was wondering if it was a late phase or not. I'm still learning and I'll keep watching what you folks say as i read the mode(s). Wow, That GFS and UKMET have me really excited! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ace0927 Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 The southern stream remains fairly modest and it never phases with any of the northern stream. will, arent pure southern stream storms in a La Nina winter taboo? all ive heard/read this fall season was we can expect lots of northern stream systems as the southern goes dead....kinda gets me thinking the GGEM is onto something. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
neweathereye Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 Seeing that its Dec 14th..its high time Mother Nature unloads on SNE....I am ready for this...and to enjoy the wrath...brings back alot of NWS coop memories...back in the 90's we had two back to back 30" storms in the Monadnocks...what an awesome sight that was.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 Considering the Canadian's turd-in-a-toilet, I'd like to see what its ensembles say. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Girl 22 Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 CMC really has no southern stream system so hence....nada. Thank you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 Thanks, I was wondering if it was a late phase or not. I'm still learning and I'll keep watching what you folks say as i read the mode(s). Wow, That GFS and UKMET have me really excited! I would also add an interesting distinction between the 00z UKMET run and this 12z GFS (if that is what is being compared...), and that is that the UKMET depcition clearly shows much more PV phasing, whereas the GFS depiction really shows only partial infusion of dynamics from that source. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 lol...gefs members are essentially split into 3 camps...1 camp is very far west (a bunch actually run the HV) severally are basically nada...and a couple are scrapers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 lol...gefs members are essentially split into 3 camps...1 camp is very far west (a bunch actually run the HV) severally are basically nada...and a couple are scrapers. I honestly think there would be some wrist-cutting if this thing went up the HV... most I think would enjoy a miss wide right instead of another balmy rainstorm. I know I would much, much prefer to get absolutely nothing rather than another 3" followed by 2" of rain. With that said, the GFS is fun to look at. Snows for days even up here and QPF is still .75-1.25" all the way up into the north country thanks to backlash snows. Then again, I just mentioned QPF on a 144hr GFS prog... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 14, 2010 Author Share Posted December 14, 2010 The Doctor has put on his tie, picked up his bag, and is heading out for this 12Z assignment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Colonel Badger Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 ... and here comes the Euro.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PWMan Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 I honestly think there would be some wrist-cutting if this thing went up the HV... most I think would enjoy a miss wide right instead of another balmy rainstorm. I know I would much, much prefer to get absolutely nothing rather than another 3" followed by 2" of rain. I dunno -- starting off the winter by watching the mid-Atlantic get buried while I whiff again would be just as bad for me. Balmy rain only bothers me if it's wiping out a snowpack, and I literally have nothing to lose right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 The Doctor has put on his tie, picked up his bag, and is heading out for this 12Z assignment. I hope he left the latex gloves at the office. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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