weathafella Posted December 14, 2010 Author Share Posted December 14, 2010 I hope he left the latex gloves at the office. He's British. Uses alot of powder and non latex products... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zeus Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 The Doctor has put on his tie, picked up his bag, and is heading out for this 12Z assignment. Prepare to get drop-kicked, right in the hope. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Girl 22 Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 I would also add an interesting distinction between the 00z UKMET run and this 12z GFS (if that is what is being compared...), and that is that the UKMET depcition clearly shows much more PV phasing, whereas the GFS depiction really shows only partial infusion of dynamics from that source. Thank you as well. I was wondering the GGEM and GFS are so different. Now i see the NoGaps posted on here. Okay, my books don't talk about the details like you put it. The GFS, to me, looked like an early phase, and GGEM looked like it was late or missed. Both at 12z. What you said about the PV was over my head .. at least for now concerning UKMET at 0z verses 12z GFS. Wow, the Weather Forum is very slow on my end right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 Thanks, I was wondering if it was a late phase or not. I'm still learning and I'll keep watching what you folks say as i read the mode(s). Wow, That GFS and UKMET have me really excited! Welcome to the board. I've been saying that for five years, now. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 I honestly think there would be some wrist-cutting if this thing went up the HV... most I think would enjoy a miss wide right instead of another balmy rainstorm. I know I would much, much prefer to get absolutely nothing rather than another 3" followed by 2" of rain. With that said, the GFS is fun to look at. Snows for days even up here and QPF is still .75-1.25" all the way up into the north country thanks to backlash snows. Then again, I just mentioned QPF on a 144hr GFS prog... regardless of what the gfs and its ensembles do...i'd still wager that odds are much higher this is a miss than an hugger. who knows, maybe the euro will come way west but i'd be more worried about a whiff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 I honestly think there would be some wrist-cutting if this thing went up the HV... most I think would enjoy a miss wide right instead of another balmy rainstorm. I know I would much, much prefer to get absolutely nothing rather than another 3" followed by 2" of rain. With that said, the GFS is fun to look at. Snows for days even up here and QPF is still .75-1.25" all the way up into the north country thanks to backlash snows. Then again, I just mentioned QPF on a 144hr GFS prog... Actually, it would be more difficult for this system to do that in this evolution; different from the last, there is westward displacement of ridging at high latitudes in Canada - that would effectively block such motion polarward through the Lakes. It is another reason why there is a better correlation for OV/MA lowering heights when the there is blocking in that way, because it forces the traffic S in the means. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 14, 2010 Author Share Posted December 14, 2010 Prepare to get drop-kicked, right in the hope. If this fails (not the run but the storm), I'm taking a break....at least until the next model runs.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 He's British. Uses alot of powder and non latex products... Don't need an allergic reaction to the laytex, He uses Trilon products anyways.......... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 lol...gefs members are essentially split into 3 camps...1 camp is very far west (a bunch actually run the HV) severally are basically nada...and a couple are scrapers. At least they have the bases covered. 16.8/5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Girl 22 Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 Welcome to the board. I've been saying that for five years, now. lol Thanks .. At least I'm not alone then learning about these models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Girl 22 Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 If this fails (not the run but the storm), I'm taking a break....at least until the next model runs.... I'm like glued to watching these. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 12Z GGEM Ens. look better than the Op. 108h http://www.weatherof...ime=12&Type=pnm 120h http://www.weatherof...ime=12&Type=pnm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 12Z GGEM Ens. look better than the Op. 108h http://www.weatherof...ime=12&Type=pnm 120h http://www.weatherof...ime=12&Type=pnm As we hoped. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 My God is this site running slow. Hope they upgrade soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 Bob what's the main link to that site? 12Z GGEM Ens. look better than the Op. 108h http://www.weatherof...ime=12&Type=pnm 120h http://www.weatherof...ime=12&Type=pnm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 Euro may be OTS. Hard to tell so early but through 78 hours doesn't look like the phase will occur earlier than 0z which was for all intents and purposes OTS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 Bob what's the main link to that site? http://www.weatheroffice.gc.ca/ensemble/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattb65 Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 Prepare to get drop-kicked, right in the hope. Lol dude, do you do anything besides troll? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 just some slight differences between the euro and GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 Board is extremely slow for me. It will probably speed up as soon as the Doctor comes in and says NO! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 Euro is more amped with southern stream which is good..northern stream not so good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 Euro going to try and do the late left hook thing....but it might be just a bit too late like last night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 Euro going to try and do the late left hook thing....but it might be just a bit too late like last night. yeah it's not going to cut it...outside of perhaps a late ENE scrape i think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 Euro going to try and do the late left hook thing....but it might be just a bit too late like last night. Looks like it will be late on this run...... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
millpondwx Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 Euro going to try and do the late left hook thing....but it might be just a bit too late like last night. The Euro doesn't split the Quebec Vortex like the GFS does. The result is no downstream ridging and not as much digging of the southern wave. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 Euro going to try and do the late left hook thing....but it might be just a bit too late like last night. Yup... gonna be close. It's funny the models are all over the place with the 500mb pattern but it's definitely a nice pattern for us. Now just need to get it to perform! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 Cape Scraper, And clips Washington County in Downeast ME......... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 Looks like a Cape Cod scraper at 120 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 Euro may be latching on to its final solution. Might be just a grazer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zeus Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 Lol dude, do you do anything besides troll? If you got it, flaunt it. I cannot help but make note of the fact that this is, apparently, your first and only post. That being the case, I would like to point out that the number of posts I've made which are not trolling, but rather, directly related to the very pithy subject at hand of weather, is infinitely larger than the number of posts you've made doing anything other than question me. Welcome to the board! What do you think of the unfolding situation? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.