HoarfrostHubb Posted January 25, 2012 Share Posted January 25, 2012 Well, if Vim toot was allowd to post, he could send pictures of what snow looks like WTF is up with this "winter"... damn Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted January 25, 2012 Share Posted January 25, 2012 Yeah Will, I figured that's what it had to do with. Thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 25, 2012 Share Posted January 25, 2012 00z NAM is very close here... snow to mixed but we live for another model run up here in the northern tier. This will likely trend further NW though I'm afraid. As Will said, it has all the looks of a classic doesn't-stop-trending-NW till 12 hrs prior to storm. Watch this eventually go over ART. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted January 25, 2012 Share Posted January 25, 2012 0z GFS looks way different at 500mb. Less amped and even at the surface its much farther east with the precip shield compared to the NAM at 48 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted January 25, 2012 Share Posted January 25, 2012 00z NAM is very close here... snow to mixed but we live for another model run up here in the northern tier. This will likely trend further NW though I'm afraid. As Will said, it has all the looks of a classic doesn't-stop-trending-NW till 12 hrs prior to storm. Watch this eventually go over ART. Surprisingly negative there PF Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted January 25, 2012 Share Posted January 25, 2012 At 57, the GFS is much colder than the NAM...has the NAM been warmer this season or what? Still out of its range, but then again the GFS isnt great either. EDIT: At 60 its all snow north of Brattleboro-Concord....SLP goes over CT as opposed to SE NH on the NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted January 25, 2012 Share Posted January 25, 2012 Noyes posted his Map.... http://www.mattnoyes.net/new_england_weather/2012/01/preliminary-estimate-of-thursday-nightfriday-new-england-snow-shows-ski-country-to-be-jackpot.html 4-6" for many. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted January 25, 2012 Share Posted January 25, 2012 About .3" for PF on the gfs with .5" for Dryslot. Mainly snow. 3-6" verbatim. Not bad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted January 25, 2012 Share Posted January 25, 2012 yeah, GFS is colder for up north, congrats.. still RAIN for us, maybe it keeps trending. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted January 25, 2012 Share Posted January 25, 2012 yeah, GFS is colder for up north, congrats.. still RAIN for us, maybe it keeps trending. Mainly NNE peeps in here, sorry its mainly NNE analysis, my bad Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MarkO Posted January 25, 2012 Share Posted January 25, 2012 So 00z NAM warmer and GFS colder? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted January 25, 2012 Share Posted January 25, 2012 So 00z NAM warmer and GFS colder? Yeah...again leave it to the Euro to decide!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 25, 2012 Share Posted January 25, 2012 About .3" for PF on the gfs with .5" for Dryslot. Mainly snow. 3-6" verbatim. Not bad. Yeah, GFS is further SE and colder, Its about 50-75 miles SE of the Nam.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted January 25, 2012 Share Posted January 25, 2012 GFS looks like maybe a brief start as snow here, but its a torch at 850 by hour 54...maybe some pl/zr from 55-57...then over to rain. KCON to dendrite look like mostly all snow except for some pings at the end unless there's a sneaky warm layer in there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted January 25, 2012 Share Posted January 25, 2012 Yeah, GFS is further SE and colder, Its about 50-75 miles SE of the Nam.. Have class at 8am so no euro for me tonight. I'll take gfs/nam blend for 100 Alex! I'll be checking in bright and early tomorrow! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 25, 2012 Share Posted January 25, 2012 This event seems to look worse with every run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted January 25, 2012 Share Posted January 25, 2012 [Ray]Who cares?[/Ray] Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 25, 2012 Share Posted January 25, 2012 Euro was a torch. Other than some icing, this event looks pretty ugly...nothing really to stop it trending NW...high is not a good location, and we have some phase potential to rip this well west. Still have to watch for some pseudo-CAD, but overall the synoptics are quite lousy for significant snow...even for most of NNE. The hope is that the southern stream stays mostly out of it like the GFS shows and that would keep it colder...esp for NNE. But its kind of on its own right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 25, 2012 Share Posted January 25, 2012 Big meh incoming Big big meh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 25, 2012 Share Posted January 25, 2012 LOL at Noyes snow map..WTF Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 25, 2012 Share Posted January 25, 2012 I checke my new zone before coming in here. Now reading this I'm like....huh? MERRIMACK- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CONCORD...HOOKSETT 532 AM EST WED JAN 25 2012 .TODAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. .TONIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY IN THE EVENING...THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 17. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. .THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. .THURSDAY NIGHT...SNOW OR SLEET. HEAVY SNOW ACCUMULATION. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 80 PERCENT. .FRIDAY...RAIN LIKELY OR SLEET OR SNOW LIKELY. ADDITIONAL LIGHT SNOW ACCUMULATION. HIGHS AROUND 40. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 80 PERCENT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted January 25, 2012 Share Posted January 25, 2012 6z gfs still holding on to the colder solution for NNE.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 25, 2012 Share Posted January 25, 2012 and hpc sounds good up here too. thump snow with a mix at the end? UPPER OHIO VALLEY...NORTHERN MID ATLANTIC STATES AND NEW ENGLAND... SLOW-MOVING SOUTHERN STREAM SYSTEM MIGRATES NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY AND MID ATLANTIC REGION...WITH COLD HIGH PRESSURE ANCHORED IN ACROSS THE NORTHEAST AND NORTHERN MID ATLANTIC STATES. INITIALLY...WARM ADVECTION PRECIPITATION SHIELD SPREADS ACROSS THE COLDER AIRMASS...LEADING TO A WINTRY MIX OF SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN ALONG WITH LIGHT SNOW THURSDAY MORNING...BEFORE TURNING BACK OVER TO RAIN ALONG AND IMMEDIATELY BEHIND THE BROADENING WARM FRONT. AS THE SURFACE CYCLONE DEEPENS AND ALOFT...JET-LEVEL DYNAMICS INTENSIFY ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT...A BROAD MATURE CYCLONE EMERGES IN THE NORTHERN MID ATLANTIC REGION...WITH DEEP-LAYERED WARM ADVECTION FROM THE CAROLINAS SPREADING NORTHWARD INTO THE NORTHEAST AND ATOP THE MODIFIED SURFACE RIDGE. PROBABILITY GRAPHICS FOR SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL FAVORED THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF THE NORTHEAST...NEW ENGLAND...AND MUCH OF MAINE...WITH A CYCLONE TRACK THROUGH THE GULF OF MAINE ON FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY MORNING. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 25, 2012 Share Posted January 25, 2012 HPC and GYX seem to think the cold air/high holds on long enough Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 25, 2012 Share Posted January 25, 2012 HPC and GYX seem to think the cold air/high holds on long enough I'd hedge more ice there than snow...the mid-levels have been trending warmer. The GFS is an outlier in how it evolved the storm. Its the only model that doesn't phase the southern stream. There should still be some snow at the beginning for NNE, but it doesn't look like a significant snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 25, 2012 Share Posted January 25, 2012 Euro ensembles are a torch too. Lots of ice for NNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 25, 2012 Share Posted January 25, 2012 Euro ensembles are a torch too. Lots of ice for NNE. All rain south of the NH border? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 25, 2012 Share Posted January 25, 2012 All rain south of the NH border? Well there is a slight chance of getting some very light snow into SNE later tonight as mid level WAA tries to move in aloft. Otherwise, it looks like you could possible have a very brief period of SN, and then some ice before a cold rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 25, 2012 Share Posted January 25, 2012 Well there is a slight chance of getting some very light snow into SNE later tonight as mid level WAA tries to move in aloft. Otherwise, it looks like you could possible have a very brief period of SN, and then some ice before a cold rain. Pissah! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 25, 2012 Share Posted January 25, 2012 This just looks worse and worse each run, Maybe the GFS scores one here.......... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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