weathafella Posted December 27, 2011 Share Posted December 27, 2011 Let's try and be a bit more perceptive, if not imaginative, about the importance of trend here. The verbatim thing isn't even as bad as some of you are intimating, either... gee wiz.I really think there is something to my Stockholm Syndrome hypothesis, in that folks en masse have slipped into this collective consciousness that it can't snow, and if any product hints at means for it to snow, it's got to be auto reduced to no validity. Kind of amusing actually.. Not, this ECM run is spectacular... The New Year's even system is amped compared to previous runs, and seeing as this is just now crossing into the Euro's wheel-house verification scores, it wouldn't shock me if tonight's runs come in 10% more and you have a snow clipping for southern and eastern zones. Very easily could be a plausible future for that system. Btw, the GGEM has a huge slow moving many incher as the bottom of the new +PNA trough tries to close off - similar to this Euro run actually.... John, I think you are misreading the board psyche. This euro run has already been compared to cmc and the broader significance pattern wise is apparent. You're locked into the stockholm syndrome as well as the word ennui. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 27, 2011 Author Share Posted December 27, 2011 That is a hell of a ridge...so there is going to be some sort of system unless the large scale is totally wrong, but its hard to buy the magnitude at which it does its thing...I could easily see this as a cutter too. All about the ridge axis baby. Have that b**ch over Idaho/Montana as opposed to the west coast and we're in for a ride. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 27, 2011 Share Posted December 27, 2011 John, I think you are misreading the board psyche. This euro run has already been compared to cmc and the broader significance pattern wise is apparent. You're locked into the stockholm syndrome as well as the word ennui. Ha ha... nah, I guess I didn't go back very many pages here I just read Will's statement about that light rain and ho-hum thing and thought that was the whole story. Anyway, wow, that 168 hour Euro is interesting looking - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 27, 2011 Share Posted December 27, 2011 euro doing it's nov 1950 impersonation Lol - I was just thinking that... actually upon second gaze ... this thing has a huge arm of nuvo polar high N/NW of the area in Ontario, with that closure.. .That's a bit different. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 27, 2011 Share Posted December 27, 2011 Precip falls from hr 156 to hr 228 up here.............. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 27, 2011 Share Posted December 27, 2011 1969 redux for some? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted December 27, 2011 Share Posted December 27, 2011 forget ssw...just kick the PV in the nuts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 27, 2011 Share Posted December 27, 2011 Lots of weenie posts right now..lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 27, 2011 Share Posted December 27, 2011 Lots of weenie posts right now..lol. In many regions, I'm sure Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 27, 2011 Share Posted December 27, 2011 Lots of weenie posts right now..lol. This thread? I'm afraid to even look at the mid Atlantic forum. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 27, 2011 Share Posted December 27, 2011 The ridge topples over to the east in Canada which sort of creates its own little pseudo-block for the storm which prevents it from going through the lakes. If that doesn't happen, we're probably looking at another torching cutter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 27, 2011 Share Posted December 27, 2011 forget ssw...just kick the PV in the nuts. It's trying..the next few weeks are like Rocky fighting Drago...only not sure Rocky wins yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 27, 2011 Share Posted December 27, 2011 The ridge topples over to the east in Canada which sort of creates its own little pseudo-block for the storm which prevents it from going through the lakes. If that doesn't happen, we're probably looking at another torching cutter. Yeah pretty crazy how that works. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 27, 2011 Share Posted December 27, 2011 Lots of weenie posts right now..lol. The board woke up everywhere. Oh if only we could crank up a KU out of this year. Some sick parameters in that run, cool to look at even if only a model fantasy. 850 inflow is like 75 knots. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 27, 2011 Author Share Posted December 27, 2011 LOL, I just caught a peek at the snowfall map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 27, 2011 Share Posted December 27, 2011 Welp, it may be overdoing it - who knows at this time range... but that is the Archembaultian deal I was talking about yesterday... It's centered just about ideally on when it should: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 27, 2011 Share Posted December 27, 2011 The ridge topples over to the east in Canada which sort of creates its own little pseudo-block for the storm which prevents it from going through the lakes. If that doesn't happen, we're probably looking at another torching cutter. +PNA isn't a very good teleconnector for the GL actually... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 27, 2011 Share Posted December 27, 2011 LOL good lord... I've never seen a 192 hour panel with that much thermal compression along the South Coast! Like 20C across 20 miles or something... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 27, 2011 Author Share Posted December 27, 2011 For the weenies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 27, 2011 Share Posted December 27, 2011 HM ftw?!? If this were to verify...wow Seems odd though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 27, 2011 Share Posted December 27, 2011 It would be a good hit, but SNE dryslots and mixes for a time, while the MA gets KU'd. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted December 27, 2011 Share Posted December 27, 2011 +PNA isn't a very good teleconnector for the GL actually... He didn't even say anything about the PNA. He's talking about the behavior of the ridge axis. Don't get too attached to three letter acronyms. It works well for long range prediction as you've shown, but atmospheric motions extend beyond the definitions of a few teleconnections Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted December 27, 2011 Share Posted December 27, 2011 It would be a good hit, but SNE dryslots and mixes for a time, while the MA gets KU'd. Well then we might as well just give up on the storm now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Feb Posted December 27, 2011 Share Posted December 27, 2011 HM ftw?!? If this were to verify...wow Seems odd though Earthquake in DC, Hurricane, Tropical Storm, record rainfall, white Halloween and a green Christmas. Seems about right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 27, 2011 Share Posted December 27, 2011 He didn't even say anything about the PNA. He's talking about the behavior of the ridge axis. Don't get too attached to three letter acronyms. It works well for long range prediction as you've shown, but atmospheric motions extend beyond the definitions of a few teleconnections Huh, what are you talking about '91. I know what he said. I'm adding, "yes BUT, if the PNA were to go that positive, a lakes cutter is less likely" you got nothing to correct. relax. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 27, 2011 Share Posted December 27, 2011 Well then we might as well just give up on the storm now I wouldn't invest much into this, other than like what I mentioned earlier. There will probably be a storm, but who knows where. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectKing Posted December 27, 2011 Share Posted December 27, 2011 Meh....First solid Euro tease for the season: Uploaded with ImageShack.us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 27, 2011 Share Posted December 27, 2011 It would be a good hit, but SNE dryslots and mixes for a time, while the MA gets KU'd. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 27, 2011 Share Posted December 27, 2011 Earthquake in DC, Hurricane, Tropical Storm, record rainfall, white Halloween and a green Christmas. Seems about right. Forgot the tornadoes. 2011 the year of Freak Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 27, 2011 Share Posted December 27, 2011 It would be a good hit, but SNE dryslots and mixes for a time, while the MA gets KU'd. LOL I would take my chances, has a Dec 2003 feel. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.