CoastalWx Posted December 8, 2010 Share Posted December 8, 2010 But in all seriousness, Will is right. With such an anomalous block, a crazy whacked out solution may not be so whacked out. This is probably one of the most impressive blocks I've seen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CCPSUSuperstorm2010 Posted December 8, 2010 Share Posted December 8, 2010 How is there such a disparity in the UKMET/EURO 12z runs? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted December 8, 2010 Share Posted December 8, 2010 +30C 850 temp departures and 588dm. lol i know it seems weenie-ish or whatever but that is just amazing stuff. not only is absurdly negative but it's becoming the dominant feature in the entire northern hemisphere. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 8, 2010 Share Posted December 8, 2010 The AO looks slightly negative looking at the N Hemisphere chart on the Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted December 8, 2010 Share Posted December 8, 2010 The AO looks slightly negative looking at the N Hemisphere chart on the Euro. i'd like to see it come in a bit more pronounced. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted December 8, 2010 Share Posted December 8, 2010 I'm dreaming of a white president's day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zeus Posted December 8, 2010 Share Posted December 8, 2010 I'm dreaming of a white president's day 2012 at the earliest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 8, 2010 Share Posted December 8, 2010 Euro brings another round of snow into eastern SNE at 186-192...probably a few more inches. At any rate, we really have no idea how this retrograde pattern is going to set up once the block gets established after our lakes cutter...the lakes cutter itself still has a ton of uncertainty, but most of the solutions I think are 90% rain regardless....unless we somehow can pull off a Ukie solution. I'm noticing a trend and it could finally be e ne's time next week. With this season being la Nina as opposed to el Nino, hopefully the seasonal mega block attributed black hole will reside over the Caribou area this year instead of over us.... with everything displaced N. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted December 8, 2010 Share Posted December 8, 2010 I'm noticing a trend and it could finally be e ne's time next week. With this season being la Nina as opposed to el Nino, hopefully the seasonal black hole will sit over the Caribou this year instead of over us, with everything displaced N. i support this kind of thinking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 8, 2010 Share Posted December 8, 2010 I'm noticing a trend and it could finally be e ne's time next week. With this season being la Nina as opposed to el Nino, hopefully the seasonal black hole will sit over the Caribou this year instead of over us, with everything displaced N. We need to catch a break here............. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted December 8, 2010 Share Posted December 8, 2010 WTF? ya tryin to give me the slip? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 8, 2010 Share Posted December 8, 2010 I'm noticing a trend and it could finally be e ne's time next week. With this season being la Nina as opposed to el Nino, hopefully the seasonal mega block attributed black hole will reside over the Caribou area this year instead of over us.... with everything displaced N. LOL..what trend is that? One wrong whacked out solution of the Euro? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 8, 2010 Share Posted December 8, 2010 LOL..what trend is that? One wrong whacked out solution of the Euro? It probably has a better shot than your wrong, whacked out 3-6" ever did. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 8, 2010 Share Posted December 8, 2010 WTF? Running a remote review...had to mute the phone due to laughing... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted December 8, 2010 Share Posted December 8, 2010 The NNE ski resorts might have their pack decimated come Monday but a few days later would probably make it back up again with more upslope reminiscent of what has been going on in Vermont. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted December 8, 2010 Share Posted December 8, 2010 The NNE ski resorts might have their pack decimated come Monday but a few days later would probably make it back up again with more upslope reminiscent of what has been going on in Vermont. Not if this takes the Euro track, the only precip that would fall would be along the front itself and the warm temps wouldnt last long enough...the worst case scenario for them would be the low tracking up the Hudson Valley with a significant amount of rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cpickett79 Posted December 8, 2010 Share Posted December 8, 2010 i like the way the 12z ukie bleeds some HP in from ontario and noses it toward Quebec as the storm is just off delmarva hour 120 is that even possible to get a storm go over C.C or east with the other HP (off marimes ) that the aforementioned one almost connects with in a postion E of us....albeit weak and moving north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted December 8, 2010 Share Posted December 8, 2010 So when do you guys think we'll have a snow storm that reaches the Nam guidance? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted December 8, 2010 Share Posted December 8, 2010 So when do you guys think we'll have a snow storm that reaches the Nam guidance? December 16 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted December 8, 2010 Share Posted December 8, 2010 Not if this takes the Euro track, the only precip that would fall would be along the front itself and the warm temps wouldnt last long enough...the worst case scenario for them would be the low tracking up the Hudson Valley with a significant amount of rain. I wasn't taking the Euro in consideration until something - even itself - agrees with it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zeus Posted December 8, 2010 Share Posted December 8, 2010 So when do you guys think we'll have a snow storm that reaches the Nam guidance? I'm hoping we can make it through the entire winter without a decent accumulating snowfall that doesn't change to rain. That way, most of the undesirables will off themselves and the board will be a bastion of sound minds next year. This is my Christmas wish. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted December 8, 2010 Share Posted December 8, 2010 When do the Euro ensembles come out again? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 8, 2010 Share Posted December 8, 2010 Not if this takes the Euro track, the only precip that would fall would be along the front itself and the warm temps wouldnt last long enough...the worst case scenario for them would be the low tracking up the Hudson Valley with a significant amount of rain. Verbatim on the Euro its pretty bad up there. It has temps >45 for 12+ hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted December 8, 2010 Share Posted December 8, 2010 The AO looks slightly negative looking at the N Hemisphere chart on the Euro. That has to be a 5-6SD block...just ridiculously high heights across the entire Arctic with Greenland leadingt the way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cpickett79 Posted December 8, 2010 Share Posted December 8, 2010 HPC 148 pm one thing is for sure this sure is anomalous THIS SFC LOW IS FCST TO BE URGED ALONG BY A DEEP BUT OPEN TROF ALOFT... WITH SOME MID LVL HGT ANOMALIES EXPECTED TO REACH AT LEAST 5 STANDARD DEVIATIONS BELOW NORMAL IN THE SRN PART OF THE TROF LATE SUN THRU MON. BY THE LATTER HALF OF THE PERIOD MOST SOLNS EXPECT AN UPR LOW TO CLOSE OFF OVER/NEAR THE NORTHEAST. THIS EVOLUTION WOULD MAINTAIN OR RE-DEVELOP SFC LOW PRESSURE OFF THE NEW ENGLAND COAST. AS THE SHORTWAVE DIGS SEWD TOWARDS THE GULF COAST ENHANCED BY BUILDING UPSTREAM RIDGING AN ARCTIC AIR CRASH PROCEEDS SOUTHWARD THRU THE PLAINS SAT AND DEEP INTO THE GLFMEX SUN SWEEPING SOUTH AND EAST TO OFF THE EAST COAST AND LATE SUN AND MON. DEEPENING SFC LOW MOVING NEWD FROM THE MS VALLEY SAT WILL BE OFF THE NORTHEAST COAST MONDAY. LARGE AREA OF WINDY AND BITTERLY COLD AIR WILL COVER THE ERN HALF OF CONUS. THIS WILL THREATEN FLORIDA WITH ANOTHER FREEZE COLDER AND WINDIER THAN THE RECENT AND CURRENT EVENT WITH RECORD LOWS POSSIBLE. MOS GUIDANCE TEMPERATURES FROM THE MID ATLC REGION INTO THE SOUTHEAST FOR MON-WED WHILE AVERAGING 15 DEGREES BELOW THE NORM ARE WAY TOO WARM AND EXPECT WIDESPREAD AREAS TO STAY AOB FREEZING THRU MUCH THE PERIOD. HIGH WINDS WILL BRING COLD PENETRATION INTO MORE VULNERABLE STRUCTURES ALONG THE SOUTHEAST COAST BRINGING A THREAT OF COLD DAMAGE. IMPROVING CONDITIONS OVER THE GULF COAST AND FL AS HTS RISE MID WEEK. RETROGRESSION OF AN EXCEPTIONALLY STRONG MID LEVEL BLOCK TO GREENLAND RESULTING IN A CLOSED TO CUTOFF LOW ALONG THE NEW ENG COAST SETTING THE STAGE FOR DAYS OF OFFSHORE GALE FORCE WINDS INITIALLY ALONG THE ENTIRE EAST COAST MONDAY THEN REMAINING OVER THE MID ATLC REGION AND NORTHEAST THRU THURSDAY. PROLONGED STRONG OFF SHORE WINDS WILL LOWER TIDAL LEVELS ALONG THE COAST..BAYS/SOUNDS AND RIVERS POSSIBLY TO LEVELS UNSEEN SINCE APRIL 1975. THIS COULD BE A THREAT FOR DEEP AND EVEN SHALLOW DRAFT VESSELS IN HARBORS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 8, 2010 Share Posted December 8, 2010 When do the Euro ensembles come out again? I thinkl they start coming out a shade before 3...then its about 45 min or so for the entire 360h IIRC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted December 8, 2010 Share Posted December 8, 2010 JMA FTW? http://grib2.com/animate/foreign_loops.php3?type=CONUS_JMA_1000-500_SLPTHKPRP&width=1280&height=1024&model=JMA lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 8, 2010 Share Posted December 8, 2010 Where is Ginx's windex event today? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 8, 2010 Share Posted December 8, 2010 JMA FTW? http://grib2.com/ani...=1024&model=JMA lol That looks like crap for us...at least for the main storm. A track over interior NNJ isn't going to cut it in this setup. It does look like it could try and retrograde something after the 144 panel. That's probably the best bet right now for us aside from a brief period of front end snow/ice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted December 8, 2010 Share Posted December 8, 2010 Where is Ginx's windex event today? I thought I saw him spraying a bottle on his lawn this afternoon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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