mattmfm Posted August 24, 2011 Share Posted August 24, 2011 This is really the first time I've seen a negative side to the move towards regional subforums. Large scope analysis of Irene has been lost all together, and the main forum has turned into a mixing bowl of garbage. Really disappointing actually. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted August 24, 2011 Share Posted August 24, 2011 Rips mostly. Was thinking of hitting Newport (Sachuset) Friday, but maybe not if a bit rippy. School starts Monday (maybe) We usually hit Narra in southern RI twice a year after July 15 for boogie boarding after the first "Bertha" re curves and sends ground swell. Never went this year - eh, families weighing the chums down and no early TCs. But the swim suit malfunctions in 10 fts curlers is a sight to behold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MarkO Posted August 24, 2011 Share Posted August 24, 2011 Man up Brenton Point for me, but you're prolly right considering the wind direction. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted August 24, 2011 Share Posted August 24, 2011 This is really the first time I've seen a negative side to the move towards regional subforums. Large scope analysis of Irene has been lost all together, and the main forum has turned into a mixing bowl of garbage. Really disappointing actually. The main thead is over moderated by staff and\or members, so many screw to their respective subforums. It's too tense in there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted August 24, 2011 Share Posted August 24, 2011 It will help slightly, but its generally negligible...TCHP is basically zilch north of 35N Yep just a matter of how fast it weakens. Do you remember the storm many years ago that redeveloped while over the swamps of eastern NC? This chart is fairly accurate...and typical. If it stays west of Islip it'll be able to maintain a bit better than if it slides east. That cooler wedge has been there quite often this summer south of Block. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattmfm Posted August 24, 2011 Share Posted August 24, 2011 The main thead is over moderated by staff and\or members, so many screw to their respective subforums. It's too tense in there. It's tiresome that I need to scroll through 5-6 threads just to find some analysis on the current intensity. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted August 24, 2011 Share Posted August 24, 2011 Yep just a matter of how fast it weakens. Do you remember the storm many years ago that redeveloped while over the swamps of eastern NC? This chart is fairly accurate...and typical. If it stays west of Islip it'll be able to maintain a bit better than if it slides east. That cooler wedge has been there quite often this summer south of Block. I don't think it makes a huge diff......OHC is what it is, though. I remember that.....it was a system that came ashore along the gulf coast and it started to reorganize prior to it's exit along the NC coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted August 24, 2011 Share Posted August 24, 2011 The main thead is over moderated by staff and\or members, so many screw to their respective subforums. It's too tense in there. Made one post of nearly live SST' shots and it got deleted. Other nonsense remains, to me it is no different than the old days when people wanted a storm to hit their region and any talk or comments that didn't play into that caused a riot. Kind of surprised to see it on AmericanWx to be honest. Unless my eyes are crooked the 0z 60hr GFS is well east of the 12z 72hr GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted August 24, 2011 Share Posted August 24, 2011 00z GFS is a bit east of 18z in the early stages (78 hours) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted August 24, 2011 Share Posted August 24, 2011 It's tiresome that I need to scroll through 5-6 threads just to find some analysis on the current intensity. agree. not liking it.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted August 24, 2011 Share Posted August 24, 2011 It's tiresome that I need to scroll through 5-6 threads just to find some analysis on the current intensity. That's fair, but I think we can all agree that this thread is much more pleasant and enjoyable to post in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted August 24, 2011 Share Posted August 24, 2011 Made one post of nearly live SST' shots and it got deleted. Other nonsense remains, to me it is no different than the old days when people wanted a storm to hit their region and any talk or comments that didn't play into that caused a riot. Kind of surprised to see it on AmericanWx to be honest. Unless my eyes are crooked the 0z 60hr GFS is well east of the 12z 72hr GFS. I posted something regarding intensity being dictated by inner processes last night and it was deleted...lame. would not suprise me regarding the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted August 24, 2011 Share Posted August 24, 2011 I don't think it makes a huge diff......OHC is what it is, though. I remember that.....it was a system that came ashore along the gulf coast and it started to reorganize prior to it's exit along the NC coast. I believe John Hope was still there then? Pretty significant jump ENE in the 0z GFS vs the 12z through 90 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattmfm Posted August 24, 2011 Share Posted August 24, 2011 That's fair, but I think we can all agree that this thread is much more pleasant and enjoyable to post in. Meh, it all just becomes muddled. I frankly don't care for reading pages upon pages on SST concerns 120 hours from impact either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted August 24, 2011 Share Posted August 24, 2011 I posted something regarding intensity being dictated by inner processes last night and it was deleted...lame. would not suprise me regarding the GFS. Did the "final" 0z hurricane models come out yet? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted August 24, 2011 Share Posted August 24, 2011 I believe John Hope was still there then? Pretty significant jump ENE in the 0z GFS vs the 12z through 90 Oh yea....wanna say mid 90's Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 24, 2011 Share Posted August 24, 2011 I think I am going to look at 1944 closely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted August 24, 2011 Share Posted August 24, 2011 Oh yea....wanna say mid 90's Danny? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted August 24, 2011 Share Posted August 24, 2011 Danny? 1997...very well maybe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted August 24, 2011 Share Posted August 24, 2011 GFS is definitely going to be east of 18z...I'm guessing a SE MA landfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted August 24, 2011 Share Posted August 24, 2011 Meh, it all just becomes muddled. I frankly don't care for reading pages upon pages on SST concerns 120 hours from impact either. You ever hear the story about the three little bears and the porridge...I'm thinking you'd never have found the one that was just right. It's a fairly decent jump east all the way through 108, I can't see but I'm guessing it's not touching the outer banks on this run? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted August 24, 2011 Share Posted August 24, 2011 GFS is definitely going to be east of 18z...I'm guessing a SE MA landfall. So we have a weaker Bob, 4 days out....awesome lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEaster27 Posted August 24, 2011 Share Posted August 24, 2011 and so it begins... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted August 24, 2011 Share Posted August 24, 2011 HURRICANE CANCEL! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted August 24, 2011 Share Posted August 24, 2011 and so it begins... just one run...we will be fine Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted August 24, 2011 Share Posted August 24, 2011 So we have a weaker Bob, 4 days out....awesome lol I think that has been one of the more likely scenarios for awhile. This won't be as strong as Bob and I'm favoring a SE MA/Cape landfall. But we'll see. We have to remember that we are not tracking this inside of 48 or even 72 hours...its still over 100 hours out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted August 24, 2011 Share Posted August 24, 2011 GFS is definitely going to be east of 18z...I'm guessing a SE MA landfall. Looks like it starts to come back more to the north beyond 100 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MarkO Posted August 24, 2011 Share Posted August 24, 2011 Nice eyewall Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted August 24, 2011 Share Posted August 24, 2011 HURRICANE CANCEL! No one said that, but the trend many have expected to continue....has. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 24, 2011 Share Posted August 24, 2011 GFS says caution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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