Mr Torchey Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 That system in PA and OH is producing some really impressive obs...a ton of 1/2 and 1/4 +SN obs there. Won't really impact us much except maybe some light qpf, but impressive to see those visibilities lighting up the sfc plot Will, the name gave us down here almost half inch liquid from this first s/w, do you buy that at all? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 Hey guys, missed the 2-5pm posts while at a seminar, though got a glimpse of the 12z Euro excitement just before... Impressions: 1- Euro and Euro ensembles have been most consistent in the past 18 hours 2- NW trend has halted, and perhaps seeing a correction back SE 3- NAM still having difficulty, organizes low too late in an inconsistent fashion... this may however be keeping a further SE track Given #1, any reads on Euro ensembles for Boston metro? The low res maps are worthless. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 Cobb data on the 18z Nam has GYX @ 22.9" snow........ Reasonable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Arnold214 Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 Cobb data on the 18z Nam has GYX @ 22.9" snow........ Power line punisher. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 To 36hrs, GFS looking about 50 miles SE... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 Power line punisher. CMP crippler. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 Power line punisher. Gas up the generator for you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 Nice front ender in the CCB on 18Z GFS followed by dry slot and much warmer midlevels with less lift after 15Z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 To 36hrs, GFS looking about 50 miles SE... Still runs it over cape cod. Maybe a little se of the earlier run. It did start to strengthen the kicker this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 GFS does look SE... I think this will be very close to the EURO ensembles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 Nice front ender in the CCB on 18Z GFS followed by dry slot and much warmer midlevels with less lift after 15Z. Bombs a little to far south for here, Not in any hurry to leave once in the GOM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 looks like its goes over the cape, eastern mass looks toasty after a some front end snows, looks like a strange setup to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
free_man Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 There's no high terrain in northern Essex County, MA is there? There are some more rural towns there and also State Forests lands (one being in North Andover/Middleton, Harold Parker ) that are notoriously colder and icier than surrounding towns. Parts of that forest are 300-400' Highest hill is 420'. Far better location in marginal events than areas surrounding such as Wilmington, or Reading. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattb65 Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 850 low goes from LI to BOS - not a great track for the CP, 700 low goes from roughly NYC to west of ORH, not so good for mby, pretty solid for the berks, monads. need those levels further south and east if we have a chance for anything more than 1-3" Edit: Looks like wrap around stuff could be pretty decent for some of us. (definitely not what we'd want to rely on for accums) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 Bombs a little to far south for here, Not in any hurry to leave once in the GOM Yeah, it may bomb too far south but it's still laying down a pile of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 GFS looks a shade SE of the 12z run, but not by much. Its a little more realistic with its WCB precip on this run though. Not spitting out like 1.5" in 6 hours well inland...keeps it confined more toward the Cape which makes a little more sense. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 There are some more rural towns there and also State Forests lands (one being in North Andover/Middleton, Harold Parker ) that are notoriously colder and icier than surrounding towns. Parts of that forest are 300-400' Highest hill is 420'. Far better location in marginal events than areas surrounding such as Wilmington, or Reading. Ahh.. they do seem to have a tendency to jackpot in Essex County. Seems like the region of the coastal plain that sort of transitions to a decidedly snowier area... they have a tendency to jackpot there. Places like Topsfield, Georgetown, Haverhill and Andover seem to come in with higher snowfall totals than their elevations would imply... but that might be purely attributed to their latitude advantage over other MA coastal plain locations. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 bobo maps? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bboughton Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 Let's bring the GFS SE once more for the 00z. bobo maps? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 Look how much energy even the threat of snow injects into the forum. So much more fun than talking about mud and lawn mowing.lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 There's going to be some TV mets caught with their pants down and weenies out with some of the forecasts I've seen tonight. I hope folks are preparing for widespread power outages..This is gonna be fun Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattb65 Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 I think verbatim much of the precip for boston on the 18z GFS falls as snow or rain/snow mix but has a hard time accumulating due to surface temperatures. Mets, thoughts? Seems like the upper levels warm after the dry slot punches through. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 That system in PA and OH is producing some really impressive obs...a ton of 1/2 and 1/4 +SN obs there. Won't really impact us much except maybe some light qpf, but impressive to see those visibilities lighting up the sfc plot Some of the hi res models have a couple inches of snow in CT by dawn tomorrow with that precip.. You'd think the dry air would eat up alot of it..but maybe not? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 GFS is a good front end dump for many, then dryslot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 I think verbatim much of the precip for boston on the 18z GFS falls as snow or rain/snow mix but has a hard time accumulating due to surface temperatures. Mets, thoughts? Seems like the upper levels warm after the dry slot punches through. It really thumps between 06z and 12z...overnight, so it actually might be accumulating for BOS. We'll have to see how much boundary layer flow tries to warm from the east but obviously SSTs this time of the year are less impactful. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 Some of the hi res models have a couple inches of snow in CT by dawn tomorrow with that precip.. You'd think the dry air would eat up alot of it..but maybe not? I think it will probably just be weenie snow in the air...I doubt there's enough to measure from that stuff, but you never know. Its been ripping out in PA and OH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 I think it will probably just be weenie snow in the air...I doubt there's enough to measure from that stuff, but you never know. Its been ripping out in PA and OH. That's a really nice s/w with that, but yeah it looks like it may shear out a bit. Maybe better chance of snow, down by Kev? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 Looks like a period of snow down here tonight after 11 pm or so, I could easily say interior portions of sw ct getting 1-3 inches above 3 or 4 hundo, especially around ridgefield, where some areas tickle close to 1k. Dendrites tonight, Yankee baseball tomorrow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 I think it will probably just be weenie snow in the air...I doubt there's enough to measure from that stuff, but you never know. Its been ripping out in PA and OH. Interesting to see the hi-res stuff pirnt out like 3-4 inches of snow in parts of CT by tomorrow morning... I'd bet against that..but I'd also bet there will def be snow in the air much of the day tomorrow..that wouldn't stick all that well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 Look how much energy even the threat of snow injects into the forum. So much more fun than talking about mud and lawn mowing.lol Effects so many people...nothing else we have here for weather save the very very rare cane even comes close. Thursday should be nuts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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