Clinch Leatherwood Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 Prob of note that the lower res gefs and nogaps are far west Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 You wouldn't be much better off. Actually yes i would..all snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 Actually yes i would..all snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 Am I wrong? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 WOW! This is absolutely nuts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 Actually yes i would..all snow What a tool. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 What a tool. Why? Explain how I'm wrong Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 GFS ensembles have like 3 members bringing the storm up the CT River valley....I'm sure that tugged the mean pretty far west Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 Why? Explain how I'm wrong Unless the low gets to that position by driving straight N, which it doesn't.....you wouldn't be much better off. If it does that, then it's likely wrong because I have seen nothing else do that....including the OP GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 A crushing, crushing blow..Not a tree left standing Yeah. Pretty much everyone gets hit... and 978mb passing BOS on the ensembles!? There must be some strong storms on the individual ensembles...that crushes pretty much all of New England except maybe some coastal sections. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 lower res = not resolving the kicker s/w well enough = west Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 Unless the low gets to that position by driving straight N, which it doesn't.....you wouldn't be much better of. If it does that, then it's likely wrong because I have seen nothing else do that....including the OP GFS. I'm guessing it tracks along and over or south of LI and then outer cape to east of BOS. Either way who cares..it's the GEFS and Will just posted why it's wrong Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 GFS ensembles have like 3 members bringing the storm up the CT River valley....I'm sure that tugged the mean pretty far west Did you see some of the 6hr QPF? Wow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 Yeah. Pretty much everyone gets hit... and 978mb passing BOS on the ensembles!? There must be some strong storms on the individual ensembles...that crushes pretty much all of New England except maybe some coastal sections. All of New England except where 75% of the populous resides. Footnote.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 GFS ensembles have like 3 members bringing the storm up the CT River valley....I'm sure that tugged the mean pretty far west Scooters worst fear straight up BDR's fanny. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 Did you see some of the 6hr QPF? Wow. There are several weenie runs in there that probably give me 18". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 Scooters worst fear straight up BDR's fanny. That isn't my worst fear....something a tick west of the GFS would be. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 Am I wrong? There are a few NNE weenie members, but even you probably don't want to risk something close by. Remember it's not like there is a rule where the closer the storm is, the more QPF. It would be nice to get this se of ACK and help prevent the DS from flying north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 There are several weenie runs in there that probably give me 18". I'd be very concerned about the dryslot when it comes to QPF. This doesn't look like a heavy snow sounding to me. This reaches into northern New England by noon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 That isn't my worst fear....something a tick west of the GFS would be. I was just kidding, Scooter mentioned that yesterday in jest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 There are a few NNE weenie members, but even you probably don't want to risk something close by. Remember it's not like there is a rule where the closer the storm is, the more QPF. It would be nice to get this se of ACK and help prevent the DS from flying north. Well I think it's become apparent the dryslot is more for SE and maybe extreme e ne...and areas to the west are under the ccb Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 I'd be very concerned about the dryslot when it comes to QPF. This doesn't look like a heavy snow sounding to me. This reaches into northern New England by noon Its an 8 hour omega bomb...post the 36h sounding. I think 80% of the qpf has fallen by 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 Well I think it's become apparent the dryslot is more for SE and maybe extreme e ne...and areas to the west are under the ccb You DS with us on the GFS. CCB is to your NW. However, the euro is much better looking, but the mid level lows should try to develop more towards eastern SNE. That's what you want to see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 Its an 8 hour omega bomb...post the 36h sounding. I think 80% of the qpf has fallen by 12z. Yeah, don't sweat the DS when all that QPF falls in 6-8 hrs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 All of New England except where 75% of the populous resides. Footnote.... I left that part out on purpose, haha. You coastal dwellers and you're "population" arguement You'd still get a good deal of April snow on the GEFS. Everyone should at least see some snow... its just where is the jackpot? I'd be most comfortable right now in northern ORH county or the Monadnocks. This storm could still go anywhere and that area would appear to be able to withstand the largest shift in either direction and still do well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 snowing in chesco cty pa with a temp of 41, dry upstairs, good wetbulbage, 3 inches of snow in 3 hrs in Cleveland, not bad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 Its an 8 hour omega bomb...post the 36h sounding. I think 80% of the qpf has fallen by 12z. Yeah it's definitely going to rip for that period, but I'm just saying that it's going to be very dependent upon that period and duration will be a big limiting factor. I think models have 0.4" falling after 12z and all of that is then questionable Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 Yeah, don't sweat the DS when all that QPF falls in 6-8 hrs. Well, I'd still rather not get into it lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 Well, I;d still rather not get into it lol It might not be a choice, but all that matters is if you rip aggregates while during the omega bomb. Hopefully the euro is onto something. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 gefs destroy elevated western ct Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.