Mr Torchey Posted February 28, 2011 Share Posted February 28, 2011 This may not be the right thread for this ...as we wrap up a pretty significant little ice storm for interior zones where a some pockets will undoubtedly verify warning criteria icing... But the overnight runs really are trying to converge on a potential major flooding event in a week. Multiple runs of the GFS have had an afterthought amplitude running up just inland of I-95, and now most deterministic guidance have joined forces... Quasi close low approaches the SE U.S. coast and then runs up the western periphery of the west Atlantic seim-permanent ridge... That has huge PWAT transport implications, not too unlike what took place last year nearing the first week of March - interestingly enough. This time we have this monster snow pack sitting over still frozen earth. A 50F DP push to cental NE on southerly gales prior to baroclinic axis traversing the area, with Bermuda tap in WCB QPF wall has bad bad bad implicaitons. Sounds great Happy Sping. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted February 28, 2011 Share Posted February 28, 2011 I don't think there is a thread for this, but... Some limited potential for squalls on Wednesday with the arctic front. We will have to see if the moisture trends a bit deeper as we draw closer. 500s are -25C to -30C but 700mb RH remains very dry, leading to total-totals only in the low 40s. Obviously, NW MA and northward would have the greatest potential. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted February 28, 2011 Share Posted February 28, 2011 It'll cut into the recent snowfall, but the bottom layer isn't going anywhere for a while Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 28, 2011 Share Posted February 28, 2011 It'll cut into the recent snowfall, but the bottom layer isn't going anywhere for a while My bottom layer consists of like 95% of the WE. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 28, 2011 Share Posted February 28, 2011 Does anyone else ponder the crack pipe that the 42* forecast high is smoked from... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted February 28, 2011 Share Posted February 28, 2011 12 hours till the IRV pops the cork! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
adamrivers Posted February 28, 2011 Share Posted February 28, 2011 Precip over here - .2" of ice - not quite a quarter inch...although some may have melted as it is now 32.8 degrees. Another bullet dodged.... and some nice protection for the top layer of the snowpack. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 28, 2011 Share Posted February 28, 2011 12 hours till the IRV pops the cork! What is the IRV Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted February 28, 2011 Share Posted February 28, 2011 What is the IRV Birving Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cpickett79 Posted February 28, 2011 Share Posted February 28, 2011 Does anyone else ponder the crack pipe that the 42* forecast high is smoked from... temps in binghamton, NY are in the mid 40's.......it may be a deal where we "mix out" inversion and get up into low 40's. i would hope i don't go any higher than 36/37. trees are stil caked in snow 72 in dover, DE lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted February 28, 2011 Share Posted February 28, 2011 What is the IRV BIrving and his Met Spring. whooppie. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 28, 2011 Share Posted February 28, 2011 temps in binghamton, NY are in the mid 40's.......it may be a deal where we "mix out" inversion and get up into low 40's. i would hope i don't go any higher than 36/37. trees are stil caked in snow 72 in dover, DE lol Right, didn't think of that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cpickett79 Posted February 28, 2011 Share Posted February 28, 2011 random temps from around the way tolland 37 mossup 44 w. framingham 32.2 bos 38 tan 42 foxborough 40 millis 34 wa wa 30 ray 32'ish westport, ma 50F dover de 72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 28, 2011 Share Posted February 28, 2011 random temps from around the way tolland 37 mossup 44 w. framingham 32.2 bos 38 tan 42 foxborough 40 millis 34 wa wa 30 ray 33.0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HarveyLeonardFan Posted February 28, 2011 Share Posted February 28, 2011 temp kept droppin on car thermo on ride home from stoneham to w. framingham started at 36 w no snow on trees got to woburn and temp dropped to 34....stayed 34 until i was off 128S and onto pike west near natick.....then as i got off exit 12 it went to 32.....and as i pulled in it was 31/32. heavy icing on parked auto's.......not sure if it sleeted here for a while as well but looks like it may have....trees still caked with snow......lol big big winter not giving up easily . Great report!!!! We need more of this on here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HarveyLeonardFan Posted February 28, 2011 Share Posted February 28, 2011 random temps from around the way tolland 37 mossup 44 w. framingham 32.2 bos 38 tan 42 foxborough 40 millis 34 wa wa 30 ray 32'ish westport, ma 50F dover de 72 What site did you find that Westport reading from?? The only non-buoy temp. reading I know of close to my area is the Newport state airport in Middletown but for some reason this reading always seems to be colder than the actual temp. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 28, 2011 Share Posted February 28, 2011 This storm is torching the exact areas that the low on Friday, torched. Lets see how far it goes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted February 28, 2011 Share Posted February 28, 2011 This may not be the right thread for this ...as we wrap up a pretty significant little ice storm for interior zones where a some pockets will undoubtedly verify warning criteria icing... But the overnight runs really are trying to converge on a potential major flooding event in a week. Multiple runs of the GFS have had an afterthought amplitude running up just inland of I-95, and now most deterministic guidance have joined forces... Quasi close low approaches the SE U.S. coast and then runs up the western periphery of the west Atlantic seim-permanent ridge... That has huge PWAT transport implications, not too unlike what took place last year nearing the first week of March - interestingly enough. This time we have this monster snow pack sitting over still frozen earth. A 50F DP push to cental NE on southerly gales prior to baroclinic axis traversing the area, with Bermuda tap in WCB QPF wall has bad bad bad implicaitons. Did you see the HPC prelim maps? Looked like a cold high trying to build in from Ontario with a low on the jersey shore. They like Euro Ensembles from 0Z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 28, 2011 Share Posted February 28, 2011 Right, didn't think of that. Just think, since 8am this morning it has been between raining at 34-35F at the icebox of Saranac Lake, NY at 1,650ft in the northern Adirondacks... while pretty much all of New England east of the Green Mountain spine and Berkshire crest has remained in the 20s for the duration of precipitation. Albany issued flood advisories even for the Adirondacks, yet nothing even close to that over here in the Greens. I never thought we'd get out of this one without any freezing rain. I guess ForkyFork was right up here, no significant icing, but not because models were too warm, but because it stayed all sleet and snow. This storm was 75% sleet and 25% snow up here with 1-2" of accumulation this morning. The "new snow" is more like white sand. Net gain FTW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 28, 2011 Share Posted February 28, 2011 Did you see the HPC prelim maps? Looked like a cold high trying to build in from Ontario with a low on the jersey shore. They like Euro Ensembles from 0Z I would pay a lot of money to take the 0z ECM ensembles over the last several runs of the GFS. Lets just get this to keep trending southeast like the last few storms have. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 28, 2011 Share Posted February 28, 2011 52 at the Bourne rotary Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 28, 2011 Share Posted February 28, 2011 32.8\32 But it's 36.0\36 @ the wx bug, up a few hundred feet off the surface... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 28, 2011 Share Posted February 28, 2011 temps hovering around freezing here now, Temps now appear based on Obs to be just above freezing now in the hills to the west. (rutland, hubbardston ect..). few shots from outside. Nice shots heavy heavy winter . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cpickett79 Posted February 28, 2011 Share Posted February 28, 2011 awesome pics chief......doesn't look like that here...but i'm just happy i held onto snow even in the trees it's warming now 33.3F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 28, 2011 Share Posted February 28, 2011 temps hovering around freezing here now, Temps now appear based on Obs to be just above freezing now in the hills to the west. (rutland, hubbardston ect..). few shots from outside. Will, Ray, and I were just talking about how wintry that part of ern mass can be. Nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 28, 2011 Share Posted February 28, 2011 Will, Ray, and I were just talking about how wintry that part of ern mass can be. Nice. Yea, the cold just pools up against the east side\base of the ORH hills and it's too far removed from marine influence to erode it. Great CAD capacity, there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 28, 2011 Share Posted February 28, 2011 Kevin may barely luck out and stay in the upper 30s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 28, 2011 Share Posted February 28, 2011 Kevin may barely luck out and stay in the upper 30s. Only diff is that we have a vomit airmass on the heels of this sytem; I likely hover around 33* until we abruptly mix out, later....prob make the 36* or so.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
free_man Posted February 28, 2011 Share Posted February 28, 2011 up to 32.7, ice will be melting soon Trees really hanging out there atm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 28, 2011 Share Posted February 28, 2011 Only diff is that we have a vomit airmass on the heels of this sytem; I likely hover around 33* until we abruptly mix @, later....prob make the 36* or so.... Logan is 39 and south winds now. I don't see this going much further at all. Maybe Kev touches 40, but I don't see this creeping nw much from here on out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.