TalcottWx Posted February 14, 2011 Share Posted February 14, 2011 Thanks Jay....you should stop sometimes introduce self and have a (stale) beer. I get them busted from time to time for slant rulers, whatever. The hills here have there own microclimate. Still 2ft + OTG...what thaw? I definitely would love to stop by sometime. All beer is good stale or not! It was unbelievable how tight Hutchinson Rd was! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 14, 2011 Share Posted February 14, 2011 I agree....I threw that exact number out earlier today. What do you have OTG right now? I measured today and got 22"-24" in various spots in front and back (away from snowblown areas) I will measure again Saturday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 14, 2011 Share Posted February 14, 2011 Thanks Jay....you should stop sometimes introduce self and have a (stale) beer. I get them busted from time to time for slant rulers, whatever. The hills here have there own microclimate. Still 2ft + OTG...what thaw? Still 25.5" OTG, here. Prob have about 10-12", after this week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 14, 2011 Share Posted February 14, 2011 32.1\25 Good enough for me, tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 14, 2011 Share Posted February 14, 2011 32.1\25 Good enough for me, tonight. Another one down... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 14, 2011 Share Posted February 14, 2011 Burbank is talking up the winter comeback... http://boston.cbsloc...1/02/13/110519/ Wow.....he has echoed my thoughts....from the return of the NAO, right down to the Feb reprieve that is a common theme in many of the juggernaut seasons. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted February 14, 2011 Share Posted February 14, 2011 Are we discussing forecasts for December 2011 in this thread? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
8611Blizz Posted February 14, 2011 Share Posted February 14, 2011 I haven't noticed but is there anytihng for next week actually on the models? I know it would be D7+ but are we just getting excited about overall patterns or something more specific? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted February 14, 2011 Share Posted February 14, 2011 Are we discussing forecasts for December 2011 in this thread? Not funny. But go ahead. Pete said next year would be epic. First snow by labor day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 14, 2011 Share Posted February 14, 2011 I haven't noticed but is there anytihng for next week actually on the models? I know it would be D7+ but are we just getting excited about overall patterns or something more specific? If anyone is getting excited about a specific threat at day 7+, then they need a 7-bunner+. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 14, 2011 Share Posted February 14, 2011 The Euro has been on and off showing potential for an overrunning type setup sometime early or mid next week...but its just the first in what will likely be a string of threats. That first one probably has the most risk of being too warm or cutting west of us....hopefully it gets shoved south but we might have to deal with a snow to ice (interior) to rain type deal before reloading for the next set of threats. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 14, 2011 Share Posted February 14, 2011 The Euro has been on and off showing potential for an overrunning type setup sometime early or mid next week...but its just the first in what will likely be a string of threats. That first one probably has the most risk of being too warm or cutting west of us....hopefully it gets shoved south but we might have to deal with a snow to ice (interior) to rain type deal before reloading for the next set of threats. Yeah, the euro oscillating between a warmer and colder scenario was one of the reasons of me throwing around the possibility of a mix next week. Luckily the ensembles are colder, but do seem to want to track the low close to us. I was telling Ray last night, that it looks like an active pattern over the next 2 maybe 3 weeks. However, I think we may be on our toes at times thanks to the -PNA. I'll still take my chances with an active pattern this time of year. SST' are cold and so is our source region, Canada. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted February 14, 2011 Share Posted February 14, 2011 You can walk on your pack?? Wow ... You weigh 2.5 - 3 Wiz I'd guess. Stout glacier in Moosup. Same here, and I'm a heavy load. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 14, 2011 Share Posted February 14, 2011 Certainly ready to withstand a few mild days, isn't it to be expected at some point during a New England winter? I'm confident we get below freezing every night this week (here at least) Looking forward to the possibility of a swfe next week Latitude is starting to become a factor however... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 14, 2011 Share Posted February 14, 2011 Yeah, the euro oscillating between a warmer and colder scenario was one of the reasons of me throwing around the possibility of a mix next week. Luckily the ensembles are colder, but do seem to want to track the low close to us. I was telling Ray last night, that it looks like an active pattern over the next 2 maybe 3 weeks. However, I think we may be on our toes at times thanks to the -PNA. I'll still take my chances with an active pattern this time of year. SST' are cold and so is our source region, Canada. If we get lucky, March could end up a bit like Dec of 2007 in terms of sensible wx. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 14, 2011 Share Posted February 14, 2011 Certainly ready to withstand a few mild days, isn't it to be expected at some point during a New England winter? I'm confident we get below freezing every night this week (here at least) Looking forward to the possibility of a swfe next week Latitude is starting to become a factor however... Even Thursday night? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 14, 2011 Share Posted February 14, 2011 this thaw is just to get our rivers flowing good.. epic epic flooding mid march Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 14, 2011 Share Posted February 14, 2011 If we get lucky, March could end up a bit like Dec of 2007 in terms of sensible wx. Well that would be nice. The 18z GFS op shows you what can go wrong. Yes I know it's the op run, but it shows you how a strong -PNA can force storms right over our heads. Fortunately as of now, I don't think every storm will do that. We may see a few messy storms, but the overall appeal to the pattern looks good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 14, 2011 Share Posted February 14, 2011 Even Thursday night? Borderline. But elevated valley locale might help me get down to 30 - 31. My hood is about 8 miles west of the Ct River and in an elevated part of the Green River valley micro clime, so we cool real well. Many nights I'm several degrees below town and several degrees lower than MoneyPit who is at 1000'+. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 14, 2011 Share Posted February 14, 2011 26/20 now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 14, 2011 Share Posted February 14, 2011 Well that would be nice. The 18z GFS op shows you what can go wrong. Yes I know it's the op run, but it shows you how a strong -PNA can force storms right over our heads. Fortunately as of now, I don't think every storm will do that. We may see a few messy storms, but the overall appeal to the pattern looks good. Event if that happens, we are still gonna grab 2-5" most events because of the +pp over s Canada.....folks forget that tainters still add up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 14, 2011 Share Posted February 14, 2011 Event if that happens, we are still gonna grab 2-5" most events because of the +pp over s Canada.....folks forget that tainters still add up. Gimme a high in March, and I'll be happy. We'll see. I do like the pattern, but acknowledge not every storm may be great for sne. The euro ensembles sure would be nice, if they materialized. All we need is just a little blocking. Well if you want a KU, you need better blocking, but a weak -NAO may be enough to help keep the boundary to our south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 14, 2011 Share Posted February 14, 2011 Gimme a high in March, and I'll be happy. We'll see. I do like the pattern, but acknowledge not every storm may be great for sne. The euro ensembles sure would be nice, if they materialized. All we need is just a little blocking. Well if you want a KU, you need better blocking, but a weak -NAO may be enough to help keep the boundary to our south. Dec 2007 didn't have a KU, but I think most from Kev points n would take it and run......even a track over us will be fine with a high over Canada. If you're expecting to accumulate a 3' snowpack again, than March will dissapoint, but if you just want a shot to tack on 30" to the seasonal total.....then you have a shot, especially from the pike points n. I still think we have a 50\50 shot to see enough blocking to get another monster coastal, but not a given. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 14, 2011 Share Posted February 14, 2011 Yuck....temp up to 34.4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 14, 2011 Share Posted February 14, 2011 Yuck....temp up to 34.4 I'm at 22/18. What's going on? Coastal front? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 14, 2011 Share Posted February 14, 2011 GFS has a well below normal Sat/Sunday with the cold front clearing the coast by Friday evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 14, 2011 Share Posted February 14, 2011 Then a cutter well west even of the Lakes Monday. Kind of a mildish SWFE in SNE maybe mixed bag NNE, sets up graident pattern thereafter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 14, 2011 Share Posted February 14, 2011 I'm at 22/18. What's going on? Coastal front? Nah....some spots in the deep valleys hung onto the cold....it will evaporate once your wind kicks up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted February 14, 2011 Share Posted February 14, 2011 Then a cutter well west even of the Lakes Monday. Kind of a mildish SWFE in SNE maybe mixed bag NNE, sets up graident pattern thereafter. GFS looks decent in the longer range...North Atlantic gets blocky with a lot of cold air over Canada, but we still have a deep trough in the West to contend with. It's definitely going to be a pattern with a lot of SWFE and mixing issues if the GFS has any idea what it's doing in the longer range. Fantasy hours have a big coastal with very cold air coming in early March, but that's far away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 14, 2011 Share Posted February 14, 2011 Nah....some spots in the deep valleys hung onto the cold....it will evaporate once your wind kicks up. Good call. Wind is starting to tick s/sw. Nice to at least get a fairly deep freeze tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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