OKpowdah Posted February 17, 2011 Share Posted February 17, 2011 We need a Bob thread to get going! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted February 17, 2011 Share Posted February 17, 2011 GFS locking onto our March lion at hr360. La la la lock it up! 18z GFS Op shows brutal cold over Canada in the last days of February and early March, similar to what the ensembles and the LR Euro have been signalling. Looks like a strong Kamchatka/Bering Strait ridge which brings all the arctic air onto the North American side of the pole. That's really a great sign as we get into March and become more dependent on cold air. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted February 17, 2011 Share Posted February 17, 2011 18z GFS Op shows brutal cold over Canada in the last days of February and early March, similar to what the ensembles and the LR Euro have been signalling. Looks like a strong Kamchatka/Bering Strait ridge which brings all the arctic air onto the North American side of the pole. That's really a great sign as we get into March and become more dependent on cold air. Yep! No shortage of cold air to our north. Just a matter of getting it to dump down into the CONUS. Certainly liking the signs in the LR model guidance thus far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 17, 2011 Share Posted February 17, 2011 Well I am sure the sleet downpour we had around 6 will help the pack a little LOL. Jerry is spot on with pattern recognition, would not be surprised if we get a mini 3 week run similar to our 6 week run starting the first week of March. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted February 17, 2011 Share Posted February 17, 2011 Well I am sure the sleet downpour we had around 6 will help the pack a little LOL. Jerry is spot on with pattern recognition, would not be surprised if we get a mini 3 week run similar to our 6 week run starting the first week of March. Do you think we stay in a gradient pattern with a -PNA/-EPO leading to SW flow events, or can we get into the snows down here with some bigger coastals after 3/1 as the PNA starts to neutralize? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 17, 2011 Share Posted February 17, 2011 Do you think we stay in a gradient pattern with a -PNA/-EPO leading to SW flow events, or can we get into the snows down here with some bigger coastals after 3/1 as the PNA starts to neutralize? The later, really liking the NAO state change in March and would expect a more neutral PNA, if you look back at Dec we are probably in the period Jerry referred to, of course sensible weather is different but what we do have in our favor is extreme cold nearby to be tapped, Climo for cutoffs in March, and enough of a Nina ridge to really create some volatility. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 17, 2011 Share Posted February 17, 2011 We got two new threads going, this one is passed the preferred max length....Tip's thread is more about the short term and MRG's thread is about beyond the torch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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