ski MRG Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 I think you guys are in the 2nd maxima zone. I would have you in the 8-14 inch zone..with the caveat there could be more if the banding sits over you which it typically loves to do I'm expecting 24-36" but if I get rooked and only get 4-8" it still gives me a 3 day take of 8-12". Snowpack is nice and deep and as long as it just keeps on snowing I'm a happy man.Today, Wed/Thurs, this weekend, more beyond.... Big Winter incoming, Big Big Winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 The problem is also that the NAM and GFS are the most "accessible", so we see a lot of forecasts relying on their output with zero consideration of the foreign models, or even GEFS. Not saying everyone, and most mets know better Enjoy the models..they're the only models some have got? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Not into this airmass.... I got lots of texts from folks last week worrying about wagons west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowLove Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Big Winter incoming, Big Big Winter. The amount of times you have said this in the past week... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kbosch Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 The problem is also that the NAM and GFS are the most "accessible", so we see a lot of forecasts relying on their output with zero consideration of the foreign models, or even GEFS. Not saying everyone, and most mets know better You get what you pay for. It amazes me anyone could do this professionally and not examine nearly everything, whether or not you disregard it at times. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 I got lots of texts from folks last week worrying about wagons west. Text them back and tell them the wheels fell off over the atlantic Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Well I'm getting some sleep tonight.. Tomorrow night will be tough to get more than 4-5 hrs. Here's to the Euro FTW Night Kevin! --- Someone asked about the nam at 0z. I think its 3 weak low scenario is plausible now that we can actually see where it's coming from in the gulf through 12z. The twister maps show it at 12z east of sc...micro low. Many mesos have some similar theme. The globals all just have a broad low pressure with no real defined points. They then blow up all the others in favor of one off Delaware with maybe some elongation ene. I'm not going to say it's right I'm just saying it's now possible at least to see what the mesos are doing. They may be wrong in handling these two meso lows but they do exist and aren't a model byproduct at this point. The globals had it too just less focused. Ones right ones wrong after 12z It's not the low that's off GA now it's the one coming in from the eastern gulf that was the major difference between the globals and mesos, jmho. I don't know what to think but it'll be fun to watch the 0z. If the nam stays with the same theme of an elongated structure for the reasons above I'll be on board. My guess is there's a compromise with less play for the eastern extension but that it's still there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 The amount of times you have said this in the past week... Where have you been? Try since May of 2010.lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowLove Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Where have you been? Try since May of 2010.lol Ha! I love it. CoT FTW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Where have you been? Try since May of 2010.lol Beast today, or MRG? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 I can't edit on the cell. What it comes down to is this...tip hit it right on the head ten hours ago.....it's either too much of a good thing on the nam/mesos....too much detail and they're freaking over inconsequential micro lows...or they are hitting it mostly out of the park because of it. It can still come nw and maintain the same idea fwiw. Hues Corp Rock the boat playing on Pandora as I lift.... I shouldn't rock the snow boat Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 I can't edit on the cell. What it comes down to is this...tip hit it right on the head ten hours ago.....it's either too much of a good thing on the nam/mesos....too much detail and they're freaking over inconsequential micro lows...or they are hitting it mostly out of the park because of it. It can still come nw and maintain the same idea fwiw. Hues Corp Rock the boat playing on Pandora as I lift.... I shouldn't rock the snow boat A little vintage 70's disco yrs tune Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Clearly something is up in the eastern gom. http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer/ruc/hr4/images/ruc_700_000l.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 I'm expecting 24-36" but if I get rooked and only get 4-8" it still gives me a 3 day take of 8-12". Snowpack is nice and deep and as long as it just keeps on snowing I'm a happy man.Today, Wed/Thurs, this weekend, more beyond.... Big Winter incoming, Big Big Winter. Big winter is here Peter, unreal, 50" on the ct shore before feb and two more storms left in Jan, this is 95-96 except colder without the Jan thaw. Its laughable looking around at all the snow, and snow depth. The kids wife and I are having a blast, outside fun FTW every night. Enjoy the storm tom night! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cheetah440 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 What happened to Burbank?? Aw ****, am I going to get stuck in Big D tomorrow night? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phishn Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 ConvectiveSolution's thread delivered a 6-8'' storm last Friday. He's good. Maybe we need a radio show to discuss who should start threads. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 A little vintage 70's disco yrs tune Check out the ruc w/v and ua. Pretty funky stuff in the gom. I'm pretty much expecting some big changes in the 0z ncep/first runners. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Check out the ruc w/v and ua. Pretty funky stuff in the gom. I'm pretty much expecting some big changes in the 0z ncep/first runners. And little change in the Euro/GGEM/Ukmet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 By the way, the euro weenie maps did have a break or at least more disorganized look to precip like what's shown now on radar. I think it was after 12z and esp 15z that it organized. Models have shown lots of convection in the gulf, so not sure it will pump up heights all that much, but it could have some affect. That's a ton of lightning down there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Check out the ruc w/v and ua. Pretty funky stuff in the gom. I'm pretty much expecting some big changes in the 0z ncep/first runners. A lot of convection going on down there, More then what was modeled it seems........ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Arnold214 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Clearly something is up in the eastern gom. http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer/ruc/hr4/images/ruc_700_000l.gif yeah, it's called an MCS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 yeah, it's called an MCS. You in Attlehole? Jackpot? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Arnold214 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 You in Attlehole? Jackpot? Haven't decided yet. I'm thinking of heading down tomorrow but chances are I'll stay here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Haven't decided yet. I'm thinking of heading down tomorrow but chances are I'll stay here. For the sake of snow lovers in Attleboro hopefully you stay in Maine Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 For the sake of snow lovers in Attleboro hopefully you stay in Maine No you can take him down there and we will take Bob up here........... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phishn Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 For the sake of snow lovers in Attleboro hopefully you stay in Maine Indeed. Keep your correction vector up there! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Haven't decided yet. I'm thinking of heading down tomorrow but chances are I'll stay here. You're a state treasure ... please stay. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Arnold214 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Indeed. Keep your correction vector up there! ok, fingerhut! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Arnold214 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 You're a state treasure ... please stay. At least somebody loves me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 nam has started let the 0z fun begin!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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