southmdwatcher

MLCAPE values of 2k to 3200 in SE Texas onshore and lurking just offshore from Louisiana is a large area of MLCAPE of around 2000 j/kg.

10.16" for the month of December with 1.8" of snow and some showers, now moving up from the central Virginia area. Hopefully, January brings the goods on snowfall.

2.86" yesterday, 7.62" for the month, lots of wind today and now hoping for some real snow showers.

Flash Flood Emergency for Eastern Georgetown County SC https://forecast.weather.gov/showsigwx.php?warnzone=SCZ056&warncounty=SCC043&firewxzone=SCZ056&local_place1=5 Miles NNE Georgetown SC& Flash Flood Statement National Weather Service Wilmington NC 131 PM EST Sun Dec 17 2023 SCC043-172215- /O.CON.KILM.FF.W.0013.000000T0000Z-231217T2215Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ Georgetown SC- 131 PM EST Sun Dec 17 2023 ...FLASH FLOOD EMERGENCY FOR EASTERN GEORGETOWN COUNTY... ...FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 515 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON FOR GEORGETOWN COUNTY... At 131 PM EST, Emergency management reported heavy rain across the warned area. Between 4.5 and 7 inches of rain have fallen. Flash flooding is already occurring. Water rescues have been reported. This is a FLASH FLOOD EMERGENCY for Eastern Georgetown County. This is a PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. SEEK HIGHER GROUND NOW! HAZARD...Life threatening flash flooding. Heavy rain producing flash flooding. SOURCE...Emergency management reported. IMPACT...This is a PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. SEEK HIGHER GROUND NOW! Life threatening flash flooding of low water crossings, small creeks and streams, urban areas, highways, streets and underpasses. Some locations that will experience flash flooding include... Georgetown, DeBordieu Colony, Pawleys Island, Yawkey South Island, Winyah Bay Entrance, Murrells Inlet, Graves, Oatland, Sampit, Plantersville, North Santee, Rhems, Litchfield Beach, Lambert and Georgetown Memorial Hospital.

Nice event to start the Winter. Almost 2"

Snowing now in central Charles County.....cars topped.

DCA: 11/19 IAD: 10/31 BWI: 11/1 RIC: 11/1 BWI Oct + 2.0

Franklin is an incredible hurricane, and for those always wishing for the up the Bay track it has the right angle of approach at this moment. But the trough will kick Franklin and Idalia well east after South Carolina. We shall see, if either storm loops back towards the East Coast. Some models have hinted at that possibility.

Tornado Warning Fairfax/Alexandria and Arlington

Thunder is booming and waiting to see if there are any rising motions with this storm as it approaches

Tornado Warning for Charles County

Rotating storm east of Nanjemoy MD in Charles County heading for LaPlata and St. Charles

And another train of storms incoming down here

1.13" yesterday and a monthly total of 11.02"

Peeked at the rain gauge, definitely over one inch of rain again and supposedly more hail than Wednesday night's storm. So we are up just over 11 inches of rainfall since July 1st.

15 minutes of pea, dime and nickle hail and heavy rain here south of Waldorf.

zero for the day so far, 9.02" for the month

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 546 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1210 PM EDT Tue Jul 25 2023 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Connecticut District Of Columbia Delaware Eastern Maryland New Jersey Southeast New York Eastern Pennsylvania Northern Virginia Coastal Waters * Effective this Tuesday afternoon and evening from 1210 PM until 800 PM EDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible SUMMARY...Thunderstorms will increase from northern Virginia into eastern Pennsylvania this afternoon, then track eastward across the watch area through the day. Damaging winds are possible in the strongest storms. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 70 statute miles east and west of a line from 10 miles west northwest of Windsor Locks CT to 45 miles east southeast of Washington DC. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes.

1.78" this morning and 8.52" since July 1st. Already seeing significant patches of blue sky, off to the west and southwest.

Radar looks awesome for southern Charles, Calvert, St. Mary's County and the Northern Neck.

1.52" with last night's rain and 6.44" since July 1st.

The December 2009 blizzard was special and so was the 12 day span from January 30 2010 to February 10th 2010.....probably never again will we hit 4 straight overperformers with snow upon snow. Although, January and February 1996 was special in southern MD. We were hit good from the blizzard but nowhere near the jackpot, however southern MD hit several overperformers afterwards for 10 plus inches all snow on snow. For straight up cold the Winter of 1976 and 77 was hands down the winner, first time ive seen ice fog. 1994 as cold as it was and so many ice events, comes a distant 2nd. Surprise snowfalls, PD1(Feb 79) was suppose to be an 8 inch snowfall and was triple or more than that by dawn with huge wind and rates here in southern MD......the number 1 snowfall ever down here. Visibility was as low as Ive seen for any local snow event ever. Hands down the best event for anyone who lived through it. January 25th 2000 was another gigantic suprise snowfall that jackpots the eastern suburbs, just as Veterans Day 1987 was another DC and immediate eastern and southern suburbs jackpot on the thundersnows that day. As the Redskins were winning a Super Bowl After the Redskins exciting postseason fell just short of the Super Bowl, we had a pair of double digit snowfalls early in 1987 that paralyzed the region and southern MD was the jackpot. Fun memories and we are once again due for some large events. Superstorm 1993 was the most hyped storm, and it lived up to it's billing. We did not jackpot locally, however that was a rare, dangerous Winter/Spring event. I was in Richmond VA during this storm amd witnessed the low passing directly overhead. Richmond received 4 to 6 inches of snow overnight then changed over to windswept rain and temperatures in the 40s. As the low passed over the rain slackened and wind went calm as the sky brightened. 90 minutes later the roads were flash frozen as temperatures plunged back to the upper 10s with heavy snow and winds. One rare storm that delivered a major punch on the backside.

Radar is really popping once again south and west of Charles County through Central VA and heading northeast, but looks to want to curve left a bit.

Heading into this storm we have had 4.92" since July 1st. Wow what a difference 2 weeks and the right bullseye spot makes. We have easily had an inch in the past 30 minutes.

This looks like an overperformer, incoming. Good luck hopefully we all get 2-3 inches of rain.