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southmdwatcher

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Everything posted by southmdwatcher

  1. SPC has certainly not proven to be great at forecasting severe weather events northeast of Dixie Alley. This has my red flag up for tonight.
  2. 10 percent tornado chance dropped for OH/WV, looks like everything else stayed the same with the SPC update.
  3. You shouldn't be stuck, but there is likely to be two rounds of storms. Prefrontal storms will come through between 6 and 10 pm and then the frontal storms after 1am.
  4. Just drove from Fort Meade with steady moderate snow sticking on grass.and cars at 32.degrees. Now in Crofton, white rain and 33 degrees.
  5. Snow continues, car topper now. Expectations met
  6. Big fat flakes already, sticking on elevated surfaces...lol
  7. This Winter has been nice for the majority of the forum, nice cold spells and snowfall. February certainly has the history of bringing the goods. Count me in for another PD1, no storm has matched that spectacle of cold smoke, wind and rates. Especially for DC and eastward to the Bay.
  8. Temperatures are in the low to mid 20's right now...…..problems even if we start as rain???
  9. Four day weekend....Someone making decisions...made THAT decision.
  10. That map above looks more realistic. Unfortunately...LOL
  11. Verbatim UKMET is 5 to 10 inch snows from southern MD along eastern side of DC up to Wilmington DE. Then 12+ northeast from there. Richmond area and up toward Eastern Shore has another smaller area of 6 to 12 inch snow blossoming. Some ice, but minimal. With that flash freeze I am not so sure about that.
  12. UKMET has surface temperatures near 32 at 138, falling into the teens at 144 at DCA. RIC is 60 at 138 falling to 21 at 144. 700 mb level humidity is near 100 percent from the Blue Ridge to the coast at 144, 850mb humidity is near 100 percent from Columbia MD...Warrenton...CHO and east at 144
  13. UKMET certainly has snow DC and south at 144....heavy snow in central VA...as per F5/former EuroWX
  14. Storm total of 8.5", 6.5" on the ground. Liquid equivalent of 1.01" 2 day total. Sleet and freezing rain fell from approximately 1030am until 5pm. 2.5" after we switched back over. The heavy bands of snow from the upper low never set up over my location. Nice storm for most in the region.
  15. Finally, flakes coming back here after 5 hours of rain/sleet.
  16. That freezing rain would be ugly, with the air mass that follows.
  17. Hoping to stay on or just north of the mixing line this afternoon. Larger flakes mixing in and steadier snow falling again.
  18. PD1 is by far the best in my backyard winter storm, but I have seen all of the storms mentioned since the mid 70's. January 25 2000 is the all time best surprise storm....forecast of flurries in our area after mentioning the chance of a large snow storm the previous week.....well we went from flurries to well over a foot in my backyard. I had a friend on the east side of Charlotte NC call that morning barking that he was suppose to play golf and it was suppose to be 50 and they had heavy snow and got 10 plus inches. The next few weeks of Winter was great that season, since I spent most of my time in North Carolina after their greatest snow storm. Superstorm 93 holds a strong spot for amongst the greatest ever events...I was traveling that weekend. That may have been the most hyped storm I have ever witnessed and it was modeled pretty accurately from 7+ days out as a tremendously dangerous event for the Eastern 1/3 of the country. ...I personally saw 4 to 6 inches of snow in Richmond fall the first evening then change to rain and high wind as the storm passed overhead. Temperatures the night before were around 30 degrees, the next day at Noon were in the mid to upper 40's with heavy rain and strong winds in Richmond as everyone at home had sleet and heavy snow. After 4pm in Richmond, the rain and wind stopped, the building I was in you could see the outside and it became much brighter and no winds. Truly we were in the calm of the storm. Within 30 minutes the winds became strong once again from the opposite direction and it was snowing. Within two hours the temperatures fell from the 40's to below freezing and snow was falling, the flash freeze was underway. Within another 90 minutes it was in the upper teens. Snow was once again accumulating on the west side of Richmond. Afterwards, I had numerous friends that could not get home to the western Carolinas from Richmond....aside from the PD1 storm experience.....this was incredible. Driving home the next day up 301 was an endless effort of dodging downed trees...this was mid March. The ground in DC area was packed with sleet and snow that entire week.
  19. PD1 is the best ever for me. Incredible snowfall rates, extreme drifting, almost zero visibility with strong winds for multiple hours(could barely see the house 100ft across the street) and the vehicles were only noticed as bumps in the snow. Very cold temperatures and 3 to 5 inch per hour snow fall rates predawn and through mid morning. We were out of school for the entire week. Everyone on the street had to shovel out the road. Vehicles would not start until the snow that was tightly packed under the hoods was knocked out and had a chance to melt over the next few days. It was awesome seeing drifts up to the second floor windows and playing in tunnels that we could stand up in as a 12 year old.
  20. 2.06" for the event 71.90" for the year
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