southmdwatcher

The upper low that was over San Diego area last night has moved to northern tip of Gulf of California/south of Yuma AZ at the moment.....still looking like this could have the slower timing. Watch how that piece progresses eastward.

0z NAM is bringing the warm sector even further north, on the west side of the Appalachians. 12-15z Monday is looking very stormy around here...mid 60's dew points ML CAPE around 500 and still a significant wind field overhead.

Monday morning is the time frame to be worried about tornadoes and or really severe wind fields, and there is CAPE to work with especially south and west of DC. That assumes the timing of this system does not slow down any further.

If that 925mb GFS wind field ends up verifying and shifts west, that could be a bit of an issue

I know this is way out there for the NAM but it is trending slower and further west and the Euro has also been slower with the Sunday/Monday severe weather event...wherever that is centered.

The sun is going to try to come back, today this is one of the rare events in this region where the sun is not needed but can certainly aid the environment overnight...I am already looking forward to Sunday's event southwest of here and what here could be an overnight storm scenario. Hope the Euro and UK are wrong about Sunday down South.

Well now that is quite a broad area of Slight Risk now for tomorrow. Salisbury to Baltimore to north of Pittsburgh and southwest are now included. 2 Tor 15 Wind 15 Hail for our whole region.

The NFL will be the front runner in the social media community with all that is in front of them to be public.

At this point let's just have a few tornado outbreaks regionwide in the next two months and be done, the pattern is screaming severe weather events if it continues in this manner.

Storm total of 8.5", 6.5" on the ground. Liquid equivalent of 1.01" 2 day total. Sleet and freezing rain fell from approximately 1030am until 5pm. 2.5" after we switched back over. The heavy bands of snow from the upper low never set up over my location. Nice storm for most in the region.

Finally, flakes coming back here after 5 hours of rain/sleet.

Hoping to stay on or just north of the mixing line this afternoon. Larger flakes mixing in and steadier snow falling again.

5.5" from 0.58 liquid at 8am

5.0" at 7am

Flakes south of Waldorf now

PD1 is by far the best in my backyard winter storm, but I have seen all of the storms mentioned since the mid 70's. January 25 2000 is the all time best surprise storm....forecast of flurries in our area after mentioning the chance of a large snow storm the previous week.....well we went from flurries to well over a foot in my backyard. I had a friend on the east side of Charlotte NC call that morning barking that he was suppose to play golf and it was suppose to be 50 and they had heavy snow and got 10 plus inches. The next few weeks of Winter was great that season, since I spent most of my time in North Carolina after their greatest snow storm. Superstorm 93 holds a strong spot for amongst the greatest ever events...I was traveling that weekend. That may have been the most hyped storm I have ever witnessed and it was modeled pretty accurately from 7+ days out as a tremendously dangerous event for the Eastern 1/3 of the country. ...I personally saw 4 to 6 inches of snow in Richmond fall the first evening then change to rain and high wind as the storm passed overhead. Temperatures the night before were around 30 degrees, the next day at Noon were in the mid to upper 40's with heavy rain and strong winds in Richmond as everyone at home had sleet and heavy snow. After 4pm in Richmond, the rain and wind stopped, the building I was in you could see the outside and it became much brighter and no winds. Truly we were in the calm of the storm. Within 30 minutes the winds became strong once again from the opposite direction and it was snowing. Within two hours the temperatures fell from the 40's to below freezing and snow was falling, the flash freeze was underway. Within another 90 minutes it was in the upper teens. Snow was once again accumulating on the west side of Richmond. Afterwards, I had numerous friends that could not get home to the western Carolinas from Richmond....aside from the PD1 storm experience.....this was incredible. Driving home the next day up 301 was an endless effort of dodging downed trees...this was mid March. The ground in DC area was packed with sleet and snow that entire week.

PD1 is the best ever for me. Incredible snowfall rates, extreme drifting, almost zero visibility with strong winds for multiple hours(could barely see the house 100ft across the street) and the vehicles were only noticed as bumps in the snow. Very cold temperatures and 3 to 5 inch per hour snow fall rates predawn and through mid morning. We were out of school for the entire week. Everyone on the street had to shovel out the road. Vehicles would not start until the snow that was tightly packed under the hoods was knocked out and had a chance to melt over the next few days. It was awesome seeing drifts up to the second floor windows and playing in tunnels that we could stand up in as a 12 year old.

GREarth last report for Saipan temperature 82F, pressure 965mb, winds NE 53knts gusts 79knts. Station may be offline now?

81F, pressure 968mb, winds NE 57knts gusts 76knts. Visibility has improved to 2 miles, last few observations were a mile or less visibility.

Saipan latest observation is now 81F pressure 970mb and winds NE 59knts gusts 79knts Observation data from GREarth.

This an EarthCam from Saipan beach, it is still functioning and has clear audio. Loud!! https://www.earthcam.com/world/northernmarianaislands/saipan/?cam=saipan

The most current observation at Saipan is 80F, which is one degree higher than last observation. Pressure down from 978 to 974mb. Winds are NNE 53knts gusts to 85knts.

4.5 inches here, good luck to those on the Eastern Shore.