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southmdwatcher

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Everything posted by southmdwatcher

  1. Wow, hope we never have to do another March 1984/April 16 2011 Carolina's Outbreak event.........
  2. This event looks like there could be some significant tornadoes. On another note, severe outbreaks that crossover to multiple regional subforums, have had difficulties. In the older forum, the Central/Western states took it upon themselves to have threads for any event west of the Appalachians.
  3. The Tornado Watch was suppose to expire at 3pm and the local extension into southern MD didn't mention anything about extending the time. Instability seems to be at or higher than forecasted this morning. What is the SPC/local NWS doing?
  4. Tornado watch has been expanded into Charles and St Mary's Counties in Maryland
  5. So how difficult is it to do a lottery drawing???
  6. No split, the structure is improving as it heads northeast from Carrollton to Plano
  7. I have GRLevel2 Analyst 3.0 and the Tarrant storm doesn't yet look dangerous, as per a producing tornado issue.
  8. Rain and 46 degrees. Beautiful for early October.
  9. Tornado warning for the storm crossing the river into Charles County.
  10. Video might be private or only available to his friends. Can not see it.
  11. The storm near Culpeper needs to be watched. Now severe warned.
  12. Radar is aiming this first batch crossing the mountains toward southern MD/Northern Neck area.
  13. So this is going to be a southern MD/central VA event??.......well at least most of us have relatively dry ground
  14. 3 to 5 inch plus jackpots along Sligo Creek and the Little Patuxent River would be problematic
  15. As per GR Earth the current temperatures in Central and Northern Canada
  16. Central PA supercell with the tornado warning has a BWER
  17. We might be too far north or east to receive the storms forming out in Ohio and West Virginia. However, at least one of yesterday's SPC Convective outlook discussions, mentioned that the shortwave coming out of the Ohio Valley today and crossing over the Appalachians would produce some strong to severe storms well into the night for some portion of the Mid Atlantic region. Probably going to be a Richmond target.
  18. Severe Weather Statement National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 806 PM EDT Fri May 27 2022 VAC099-280015- /O.CON.KLWX.TO.W.0020.000000T0000Z-220528T0015Z/ King George VA- 806 PM EDT Fri May 27 2022 ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 815 PM EDT FOR NORTHEASTERN KING GEORGE COUNTY... At 806 PM EDT, Doppler weather radar indicated a tornado was located over Dahlgren, moving northeast at 30 mph. HAZARD...Damaging tornado and quarter size hail. SOURCE...Emergency management confirmed tornado. IMPACT...For those in the direct path of a tornado touchdown, flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without shelter. Damage to roofs, siding, and windows may occur. Mobile homes may be damaged or destroyed. Tree damage is likely. Locations impacted include... Dahlgren and Nanjemoy Creek.
  19. And we have breaks in the clouds and some sunshine breaking through sporadically.
  20. A completely destroyed house as per the Bedford VA scanner. Definitely significant damage to more than one home. Bedford County Sheriff, Fire and EMS, Bedford Police Dispatch Live Audio Feed (broadcastify.com)
  21. So, if the 12z NAM 3km is correct about the DC/Baltimore/Fredericksburg area having 1800 to 2500 MLCAPE this region will have some instances of significant severe weather tomorrow. The 300 to 700mb flow is focused towards our area during mid to late afternoon tomorrow.
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