
southmdwatcher
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Everything posted by southmdwatcher
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TS Nicole Impact Thread for Friday into Saturday
southmdwatcher replied to yoda's topic in Mid Atlantic
The Tornado Watch was suppose to expire at 3pm and the local extension into southern MD didn't mention anything about extending the time. Instability seems to be at or higher than forecasted this morning. What is the SPC/local NWS doing? -
TS Nicole Impact Thread for Friday into Saturday
southmdwatcher replied to yoda's topic in Mid Atlantic
Tornado watch has been expanded into Charles and St Mary's Counties in Maryland -
So how difficult is it to do a lottery drawing???
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Major November Outbreak Possible
southmdwatcher replied to Tallis Rockwell's topic in Central/Western States
No split, the structure is improving as it heads northeast from Carrollton to Plano -
Major November Outbreak Possible
southmdwatcher replied to Tallis Rockwell's topic in Central/Western States
However, that storm looks to be splitting. -
Major November Outbreak Possible
southmdwatcher replied to Tallis Rockwell's topic in Central/Western States
I have GRLevel2 Analyst 3.0 and the Tarrant storm doesn't yet look dangerous, as per a producing tornado issue. -
Rain and 46 degrees. Beautiful for early October.
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2022 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx Thread (General Discussion Etc)
southmdwatcher replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
Tornado warning for the storm crossing the river into Charles County. -
2022 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx Thread (General Discussion Etc)
southmdwatcher replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
Video might be private or only available to his friends. Can not see it. -
2022 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx Thread (General Discussion Etc)
southmdwatcher replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
The storm near Culpeper needs to be watched. Now severe warned. -
Radar is aiming this first batch crossing the mountains toward southern MD/Northern Neck area.
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2022 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx Thread (General Discussion Etc)
southmdwatcher replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
So this is going to be a southern MD/central VA event??.......well at least most of us have relatively dry ground -
2022 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx Thread (General Discussion Etc)
southmdwatcher replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
3 to 5 inch plus jackpots along Sligo Creek and the Little Patuxent River would be problematic -
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2022 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx Thread (General Discussion Etc)
southmdwatcher replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
Central PA supercell with the tornado warning has a BWER -
2022 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx Thread (General Discussion Etc)
southmdwatcher replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
We might be too far north or east to receive the storms forming out in Ohio and West Virginia. However, at least one of yesterday's SPC Convective outlook discussions, mentioned that the shortwave coming out of the Ohio Valley today and crossing over the Appalachians would produce some strong to severe storms well into the night for some portion of the Mid Atlantic region. Probably going to be a Richmond target. -
2022 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx Thread (General Discussion Etc)
southmdwatcher replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
St Mary's storm now popped above 50k ft -
2022 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx Thread (General Discussion Etc)
southmdwatcher replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
St Mary's supercell has strong mid level rotation -
2022 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx Thread (General Discussion Etc)
southmdwatcher replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
Severe Weather Statement National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 806 PM EDT Fri May 27 2022 VAC099-280015- /O.CON.KLWX.TO.W.0020.000000T0000Z-220528T0015Z/ King George VA- 806 PM EDT Fri May 27 2022 ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 815 PM EDT FOR NORTHEASTERN KING GEORGE COUNTY... At 806 PM EDT, Doppler weather radar indicated a tornado was located over Dahlgren, moving northeast at 30 mph. HAZARD...Damaging tornado and quarter size hail. SOURCE...Emergency management confirmed tornado. IMPACT...For those in the direct path of a tornado touchdown, flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without shelter. Damage to roofs, siding, and windows may occur. Mobile homes may be damaged or destroyed. Tree damage is likely. Locations impacted include... Dahlgren and Nanjemoy Creek. -
2022 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx Thread (General Discussion Etc)
southmdwatcher replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
And we have breaks in the clouds and some sunshine breaking through sporadically. -
2022 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx Thread (General Discussion Etc)
southmdwatcher replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
A completely destroyed house as per the Bedford VA scanner. Definitely significant damage to more than one home. Bedford County Sheriff, Fire and EMS, Bedford Police Dispatch Live Audio Feed (broadcastify.com) -
2022 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx Thread (General Discussion Etc)
southmdwatcher replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
So, if the 12z NAM 3km is correct about the DC/Baltimore/Fredericksburg area having 1800 to 2500 MLCAPE this region will have some instances of significant severe weather tomorrow. The 300 to 700mb flow is focused towards our area during mid to late afternoon tomorrow.