southmdwatcher

Well, it looks like I had around 3 inches of rain during the past 2 hours. Been quite a while.

Let's hope for the thermal boundaries for later enhanced activity.

Eastern and southern West VA and west central VA from northwest of Lexington, down past Lynchburg are lighting up with new convection.

Dew points are now climbing back to the mid/upper 60's in those previously mentioned reporting stations. Winds are now backing from W to SW to S across central and south central VA.

Dulles was reporting 65 dew point, Andrews AFB was 67, College Park AIrport 67 and Warrenton Airport 60 as of the past 30 to 40 minutes on GREarth. There are plenty of other locations reporting 69 to 73 dew points. When sun broke through full, I went out and read 86 degrees with a 66 dew point at Noon. Was using a Kestrel 4500. Hope as many of us can cash in on meaningful rains today.

And the DC area is back under a slight risk at 20Z from the SPC......

Well, it would've been nicer to have 7.3 midlevel lapse rates and 8 plus on the lower levels.

No hatched areas on this Day 2 outlook, but the 30 percent wind and 2 percent tornado risk areas were significantly expanded.

The new day 2 expanded the Enhanced Risk to cover DC/Baltimore and Philly/central NJ across eastern half of VA and down to Raleigh

Rolling the dice.

DCA 100 IAD 102 BWI 104 RIC 102

The DC/Annapolis area from US50 northward towards Montgomery County is about to cash in on rain.

Flash flooding south of Roanoke and significant flash flooding ongoing around Bluefield WVa. More heavier showers and storms appear to be heading for the Bluefield area. Scanner is and has been busy with flooded homes, road closures and so forth. Top 50 Live Audio Feeds (broadcastify.com) Mercer County scanner is 2nd or 3rd from the top.

0.19" for the day, 1.71" for the month, and 11.2" for the year.

NWSChat - NOAA's National Weather Service PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA 254 PM EDT MON MAY 1 2023 ...NWS DAMAGE SURVEY FOR 04/30/2023 TORNADO IN THE GREAT NECK AREA OF VIRGINIA BEACH... .VIRGINIA BEACH TORNADO... RATING: EF-3 ESTIMATED PEAK WIND: 145 MPH PATH LENGTH /STATUTE/: 4.5 MILES PATH WIDTH /MAXIMUM/: 350 YARDS FATALITIES: 0 INJURIES: 0 START DATE: 04/30/2023 START TIME: 5:48 PM EDT START LOCATION: EASTERN BRANCH OF LYNNHAVEN RIVER IN VIRGINIA BEACH START LAT/LON: 36.883/-76.086 END DATE: 04/30/2023 END TIME: 5:53 PM EDT END LOCATION: FORT STORY IN VIRGINIA BEACH END LAT/LON: 36.930/-76.010 THE TORNADO FORMED OVER THE EASTERN BRANCH OF LYNNHAVEN RIVER IN THE CITY OF VIRGINIA BEACH. THE TORNADO PROGRESSED UP RIVER ROAD AS AN EF-1, PASSING BY THE GREAT NECK RECREATION CENTER. IT INCREASED TO AN EF-2 INTENSITY, AS IT MOVED INTO THE CHELSEA NEIGHBORHOOD. THE TORNADO CONTINUED ONTO HAVERSHAM CLOSE WITH EF-3 INTENSITY. IN THIS AREA, SEVERAL HOMES WERE SHIFTED OFF THEIR FOUNDATIONS AND ROOFS AND UPPER WALLS WERE COMPLETELY REMOVED. THE TORNADO THEN CROSSED BROAD BAY AND THE EASTERN PORTION OF BAY ISLAND, CLIPPING WINDWARD SHORE DRIVE AS AN EF-1. IT THEN MOVED OVER FIRST LANDING STATE PARK AND INTO FORT STORY AS AN EF-1, SNAPPING TREES, DAMAGING BARRACKS, AND DAMAGING SEVERAL OTHER BUILDS BEFORE MOVING OFFSHORE. APPROXIMATELY 115 HOMES WERE DAMAGED ACCORDING TO THE CITY OF VIRGINIA BEACH. VEHICLES WERE OVERTURNED AND BOATS WERE SUNK AND MOVED. THERE WERE NO DEATHS AND NO INJURIES. NWS WAKEFIELD WOULD LIKE TO EXTEND THANKS TO VIRGINIA BEACH EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT AND THE U.S. NAVY AT FORT STORY FOR THE ASSISTANCES WITH THE TORNADO SURVEY.

Two small thunderstorms have rolled through here in the past 30 minutes.

The shear increase is starting and coming in from the west and the Gulf

https://twitter.com/RyanKellyWx/status/1640004057694629891?ref_src=twsrc^tfw|twcamp^tweetembed|twterm^1640004057694629891|twgr^2df247b2f18697cf94eef451432d1ba72cce0e91|twcon^s1_&ref_url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.timebomb2000.com%2Fxf%2Findex.php%3Fthreads%2Fcatastrophic-tornado-in-ms-23-killed-4-missing-early-report-by-emergency-management.631736%2Fpage-8 This happened several hours ago as a thunderstorm approached Sardis Alabama, west of Montgomery. The storm was not tornado warned. TVS marker was evident on GRLevel2 Analyst at the time.

SPC has upgraded central Louisiana, central and southern Mississippi and Alabama to a moderate risk for tornadoes and hail for today and tonight.

Not for our region, but the Storm Prediction Center has upgraded central and southern Mississippi and Alabama to a Moderate Risk of tornadoes for this afternoon and tonight. And the KMXX radar is down for major upgrades on the east side of the Moderate risk zone near Montgomery/Auburn Alabama. What a change from a few days ago and a marginal risk.

More snow than rain now but still a mix

Rain/snow mix with medium sized flakes. Nice start for the next two weeks. Good luck up north

medium sized snowflakes mixed in now with the rain. What a Winter!

Rain and ice pellets to start

Ive been told by a friend in Nanjemoy MD. far western Charles County and low along the river that it snowed hard as the precipitation came through, we shall see shortly between Waldorf and La Plata. Radar looks good