southmdwatcher

1.78" this morning and 8.52" since July 1st. Already seeing significant patches of blue sky, off to the west and southwest.

Radar looks awesome for southern Charles, Calvert, St. Mary's County and the Northern Neck.

1.52" with last night's rain and 6.44" since July 1st.

The December 2009 blizzard was special and so was the 12 day span from January 30 2010 to February 10th 2010.....probably never again will we hit 4 straight overperformers with snow upon snow. Although, January and February 1996 was special in southern MD. We were hit good from the blizzard but nowhere near the jackpot, however southern MD hit several overperformers afterwards for 10 plus inches all snow on snow. For straight up cold the Winter of 1976 and 77 was hands down the winner, first time ive seen ice fog. 1994 as cold as it was and so many ice events, comes a distant 2nd. Surprise snowfalls, PD1(Feb 79) was suppose to be an 8 inch snowfall and was triple or more than that by dawn with huge wind and rates here in southern MD......the number 1 snowfall ever down here. Visibility was as low as Ive seen for any local snow event ever. Hands down the best event for anyone who lived through it. January 25th 2000 was another gigantic suprise snowfall that jackpots the eastern suburbs, just as Veterans Day 1987 was another DC and immediate eastern and southern suburbs jackpot on the thundersnows that day. As the Redskins were winning a Super Bowl After the Redskins exciting postseason fell just short of the Super Bowl, we had a pair of double digit snowfalls early in 1987 that paralyzed the region and southern MD was the jackpot. Fun memories and we are once again due for some large events. Superstorm 1993 was the most hyped storm, and it lived up to it's billing. We did not jackpot locally, however that was a rare, dangerous Winter/Spring event. I was in Richmond VA during this storm amd witnessed the low passing directly overhead. Richmond received 4 to 6 inches of snow overnight then changed over to windswept rain and temperatures in the 40s. As the low passed over the rain slackened and wind went calm as the sky brightened. 90 minutes later the roads were flash frozen as temperatures plunged back to the upper 10s with heavy snow and winds. One rare storm that delivered a major punch on the backside.

Radar is really popping once again south and west of Charles County through Central VA and heading northeast, but looks to want to curve left a bit.

Heading into this storm we have had 4.92" since July 1st. Wow what a difference 2 weeks and the right bullseye spot makes. We have easily had an inch in the past 30 minutes.

This looks like an overperformer, incoming. Good luck hopefully we all get 2-3 inches of rain.

Well, it looks like I had around 3 inches of rain during the past 2 hours. Been quite a while.

Let's hope for the thermal boundaries for later enhanced activity.

Eastern and southern West VA and west central VA from northwest of Lexington, down past Lynchburg are lighting up with new convection.

Dew points are now climbing back to the mid/upper 60's in those previously mentioned reporting stations. Winds are now backing from W to SW to S across central and south central VA.

Dulles was reporting 65 dew point, Andrews AFB was 67, College Park AIrport 67 and Warrenton Airport 60 as of the past 30 to 40 minutes on GREarth. There are plenty of other locations reporting 69 to 73 dew points. When sun broke through full, I went out and read 86 degrees with a 66 dew point at Noon. Was using a Kestrel 4500. Hope as many of us can cash in on meaningful rains today.

And the DC area is back under a slight risk at 20Z from the SPC......

Well, it would've been nicer to have 7.3 midlevel lapse rates and 8 plus on the lower levels.

No hatched areas on this Day 2 outlook, but the 30 percent wind and 2 percent tornado risk areas were significantly expanded.

The new day 2 expanded the Enhanced Risk to cover DC/Baltimore and Philly/central NJ across eastern half of VA and down to Raleigh

Rolling the dice.

DCA 100 IAD 102 BWI 104 RIC 102

The DC/Annapolis area from US50 northward towards Montgomery County is about to cash in on rain.

Flash flooding south of Roanoke and significant flash flooding ongoing around Bluefield WVa. More heavier showers and storms appear to be heading for the Bluefield area. Scanner is and has been busy with flooded homes, road closures and so forth. Top 50 Live Audio Feeds (broadcastify.com) Mercer County scanner is 2nd or 3rd from the top.

0.19" for the day, 1.71" for the month, and 11.2" for the year.

NWSChat - NOAA's National Weather Service PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA 254 PM EDT MON MAY 1 2023 ...NWS DAMAGE SURVEY FOR 04/30/2023 TORNADO IN THE GREAT NECK AREA OF VIRGINIA BEACH... .VIRGINIA BEACH TORNADO... RATING: EF-3 ESTIMATED PEAK WIND: 145 MPH PATH LENGTH /STATUTE/: 4.5 MILES PATH WIDTH /MAXIMUM/: 350 YARDS FATALITIES: 0 INJURIES: 0 START DATE: 04/30/2023 START TIME: 5:48 PM EDT START LOCATION: EASTERN BRANCH OF LYNNHAVEN RIVER IN VIRGINIA BEACH START LAT/LON: 36.883/-76.086 END DATE: 04/30/2023 END TIME: 5:53 PM EDT END LOCATION: FORT STORY IN VIRGINIA BEACH END LAT/LON: 36.930/-76.010 THE TORNADO FORMED OVER THE EASTERN BRANCH OF LYNNHAVEN RIVER IN THE CITY OF VIRGINIA BEACH. THE TORNADO PROGRESSED UP RIVER ROAD AS AN EF-1, PASSING BY THE GREAT NECK RECREATION CENTER. IT INCREASED TO AN EF-2 INTENSITY, AS IT MOVED INTO THE CHELSEA NEIGHBORHOOD. THE TORNADO CONTINUED ONTO HAVERSHAM CLOSE WITH EF-3 INTENSITY. IN THIS AREA, SEVERAL HOMES WERE SHIFTED OFF THEIR FOUNDATIONS AND ROOFS AND UPPER WALLS WERE COMPLETELY REMOVED. THE TORNADO THEN CROSSED BROAD BAY AND THE EASTERN PORTION OF BAY ISLAND, CLIPPING WINDWARD SHORE DRIVE AS AN EF-1. IT THEN MOVED OVER FIRST LANDING STATE PARK AND INTO FORT STORY AS AN EF-1, SNAPPING TREES, DAMAGING BARRACKS, AND DAMAGING SEVERAL OTHER BUILDS BEFORE MOVING OFFSHORE. APPROXIMATELY 115 HOMES WERE DAMAGED ACCORDING TO THE CITY OF VIRGINIA BEACH. VEHICLES WERE OVERTURNED AND BOATS WERE SUNK AND MOVED. THERE WERE NO DEATHS AND NO INJURIES. NWS WAKEFIELD WOULD LIKE TO EXTEND THANKS TO VIRGINIA BEACH EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT AND THE U.S. NAVY AT FORT STORY FOR THE ASSISTANCES WITH THE TORNADO SURVEY.

Two small thunderstorms have rolled through here in the past 30 minutes.

The shear increase is starting and coming in from the west and the Gulf

https://twitter.com/RyanKellyWx/status/1640004057694629891?ref_src=twsrc^tfw|twcamp^tweetembed|twterm^1640004057694629891|twgr^2df247b2f18697cf94eef451432d1ba72cce0e91|twcon^s1_&ref_url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.timebomb2000.com%2Fxf%2Findex.php%3Fthreads%2Fcatastrophic-tornado-in-ms-23-killed-4-missing-early-report-by-emergency-management.631736%2Fpage-8 This happened several hours ago as a thunderstorm approached Sardis Alabama, west of Montgomery. The storm was not tornado warned. TVS marker was evident on GRLevel2 Analyst at the time.