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  2. Too early to tell. You and north Georgia would need more of a northwest trend to get in on the action.
  3. The end of the driveway probably has 3-4 feet of snow. I almost don't even want it touched, it's like a Van Gogh painting; master artwork. You just want to stare at it, and admire it and think dirty thoughts
  4. I get the withdrawal and a hint of post storm blues. Especially after the week of heavy tracking. Sign me up too
  5. I start night shifts late this week, so I could very well be in the thick of forecasting this if it comes to fruition. Here’s to another week of tracking
  6. I will relish my 4th place status until i get eliminated with this weekends blizzard
  7. Shoveling 2" of sleet was no picnic.
  8. King ICON is running... 12z suite begins peeps
  9. 2.8” needed from Logan this afternoon to join the top 10 storm all time list. 18.6” down, 21.4” is the mark.
  10. That’s a good analog, what the euro is showing is honestly a once in a lifetime potential event. I’m that serious lol. Things usually screw us so I’m not going all in yet obviously, but that euro run was a blizzard for whoever stayed in ccb for duration. Blizzard of 26 literally. .
  11. always good to question our own measurement techniques. This storm was difficult, especially with drifting. I guess if I could sign up for 9" of snow, and then 2" of sleet on top of that, I would, 100% of the time. Secondary did little for NE Jersey, except cause the dry slot. Seems to be an "incongruity" in easter Bergen County, with measurements up to 16"? While further west in Bergen county, snow measurements were more like 10"-12". I first thought that the changeover was delayed there, but then theorized that a heavier band must have come through, before the changeover?
  12. How does the upstate of SC look for this next one… gotta travel from Clemson to Charlotte area this weekend. .
  13. Compared to the 00z Ensemble Mean, the 06z was a tad more closer to the coast.
  14. Its west of the last run. And it’s not that much more east than eps mean.
  15. Okay so ... some key synoptic facets. 1 the western end of the modulating SPV 2 the interloping S/Stream injecting underneath 3 the heights over the SW Atl Basin are psuedo relaxed; evidenced by larger gap in isohypses, with balanced geostrophic wind only 30 kts, and heights lower the 582 or Miami ( as proxy). What I'm not showing in this image is the western ridge/+PNA response, because it is yet to happen. In two more days after this 81 hour Euro solution from 06z, the western ridge surges polarward.. right along a very complementary longitude. This helps to trigger the N/stream's descent in latitude through the lakes - that western fragmentation of the SPV. As this happen.. the 3 is not as shearing/destructively interfering as it would be if the heights were higher and the balanced geos. wind was strong...such that the whole structure is allowed to conserve more of it's amplitude as the phasing commences... sex happens... and it all gives birth to a storm.
  16. Storm total snowfall and QPF: Click to enlarge maps. QPF clearly over performed even the wettest guidance, in some cases by 1/2" or more depending on the location and model of choice. The models ticking up the QPF as we got closer to the event start time was clearly on the right track though. Quick spot checks on ratios and nothing to write home about when averaged out over the storm duration....roughly 8:1 to 12:1 along the I78-I80 corridor and east across the city and LI. Just did a quick spot check. I'd have to give a nod to the higher QPF totals for getting storm total snowfall to near or over the high end ranges of the forecast. If they had been more or less as modeled in the 1 to 1.25" and taking the actual ratios into consideration storm total snowfall would have been closer to the lower end of the forecast ranges. Just my 2 cents.
  17. I believe it would be captured at this point and the strong 500mb ULL south of us would be doing its magic
  18. Record is 7 in Feb 1899. We had 6 in Jan 1936 and a bunch of years with 4 (most recently the 1994 one that includes our all timer of -22).
  19. I've never had to dig out with a pick ax before, but the colossal amount of sleet demanded it. Hard to believe that Wisp recorded 19" and about 10 miles south, and at about the same elevation, I recorded a third of that. Began the day at 27.9 and it's now 7 degrees. Regardless of accumulation, it's about as deep of winter as I've seen around here.
  20. I'm honestly quite intrigued about the late week potential. It has a legitimate upside (even B-word) potential for this area.
  21. I thiiiiiink this storm tied for Harrisburg’s 12th largest ever.
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