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NAM is pretty much snowless for SNE lol

Yeah, the more I looked at them, the more I can see the precip type might actually not be an issue with this one for a change. As of now. GFS looks like it backed off of that too. I'll take a lighter event all snow over a potentially heavier event, but you're sweating it out about the warm air pushing in. Sent from my SM-S931U using Tapatalk

Lfg

Not sure I believe you, NAM.

If you want a trip down memory lane, page 99 of the subforum is Boxing Day.

That map will change significantly. 6” report in BMI and 7.7” near PIA.

Oh wow I knew it was the norm but I didn't know it was THAT rare. So even in some non-Modoki ninos it's still present, huh?

9 in Naperville

In my email exchange with NWS DLH, they said they have 18:1 there. This stuff is very light, and coming heavy still.

At 2” here. 6-8” is the forecast. Gonna need some serious rates to finish this.

Well, this storm will give us a heads up on which model(s) to give a modicum of trust, if any, as we go into the winter season.

Careful, this is composite reflectivity. We still have some very dry air near the surface that will evaporate the vast majority of this. Gonna be one of those donut hole on radar things.

Started flatter but ended up about the same

NAM bombs so much it as a bit of a reach around ending.

guessing its probably 18z tomorrow when NAM starts to tame down.

Kevin gets dry slotted though most of QPF probably done

Goes over BOS to Cape Ann. Congrats PF.

Nam still Super amped.

Coming in ever so slightly flatter so far.

Never tried that one. I need to.

As of right now every piece of model guidance has a general 4-7" from E PA/Sussex into Orange and through Putnam/Dutchess. The exception being the NAM.

This is comical. Guess who is in middle of that big dropout in totals? Me. Largely missed a lot of the banding and convective snow south and up north got into the waa snow more than here last night. This is better than anything last winter but when your expectations are for bigger totals, color me disappointed with this one.

I buy it for MBY.

Down to 28 here. Fire going.

High is moving out, antecedent airmass isn't cold enough. Track won't help. You need to be well N&W or elevated