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2.25” Brightwaters

About 1.5 here in Monroe, NJ 21.4 on the season

Morning low fog - from snow melt. The banter part is...the poocopalypse dog version is at hand. Enough snow melt has occurred that...good lord. Got 17 bags on first sweep this AM before work.

Pretty solid dip forming EOM. Not sure what the lag time is but could align with the 2nd week of March?

Nada

Could always change your user name to EastonRA.

2” in Chester; whitened everything back up and no need to shovel.

Solid little event in Lindenhurst, measured just barely under an 2 inches (about 1.9" or so i'd say) with the ruler at around 5:30 am

Towards the end of the EPS run a LITTLE blocking looks like its forming by Greenland. This will likely be the key for as Don mentioned, an RNA is beneficial after mid Feb. with blocking.

@Ginx snewx would you happen to have March 4-6, 2001 as well?

We are definitely in sun angle season. Even with the clouds and fog the mesonet sites are pushing a couple hundred watts of solar radiation.

Even with that look it shows temps in 40s across NC piedmont and mid 30s in Virginia

@canderson March and April are coming up. For wind weenies like you it's mecca Sent from my SM-S731U using Tapatalk

twitter isn't working so how will people post the monster runs coming at 12z to freak out the public

Thanks, Chris. I’ve followed Florida orange production closely since the late 1990s. The 2 main negative factors since then have been Citrus Greening and increased major hurricane frequency during 2004-2024. The hurricane damage was made worse by many of the groves migrating further south to S FL vs C FL being the heart of it earlier. Ironically, they moved further south because of the many devastating freezes of the 1970s-1980s! This leads me to say that you left off a major positive factor related to CC: sharp drop in major freeze damage events. During the 1970s-1980s there were major freezes including Jan 1977, Jan 1981, Jan 1982, Dec 1983, Jan 1985, and Dec of 1989 (30% losses from this one, alone!). Since Dec of 1989, there has been nothing even close to these devastating freezes.

The 2nd week of March SHOULD be a little interesting, although today's MJO forecast looks like its going into the COD.

0.1 here in Easton.

AO looks to be slightly negative during this window.

.2”

Ended up with a solid coating. Seems like you needed to be a good 20 miles north of the M/D to get into the 1" snow line.

Really hope GFS, ukmet and EURO AI are correct. EURO and CMC are a CNE/NNE special. Would be great for at least 90% of this forum to make out well.

Steam rising from the car and pavement this morning ... sun angle?

Ya there’s been a few this year, had that 40-80” run in the Ohio valley to SNE a month ago. Last year in mid Feb we had a lot of weenie runs when the ensembles were spitting out 20-30” means at 10:1 over the entire northeast

what was the range on those? also, didn't 15 or 17 have some insane clown maps that were showing like 60" in places, think it was only the nam tho, which tends to do that with every decent hit we get at least once