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Live being in the IVT. Looks to be IVT or bust here

I'm about a mile or from the 44/495 area, feeling really good about my spot and thankful I pulled the trigger on a snowblower.

I like seeing the euro with a decided move back west

Some of these crush SNE some still more.meh

Perhaps the bleeding has stopped

why does it always feel like as the event gets closer, the scaling back of totals begins?

Ya thinking one.more bump.at 12z

Big jump west on the 6z EPS also

Phew! I think at this point we may see fluctuations now with the models but pretty much looks like we're in line for a Whopper. I'm still thinking you could could trend just bit more West.

Don’t want to get Raleigh’d

The euro did move back west from 0z, I didn’t look at frames but allsnow up in NYC said 50+ miles.

Thank, gonna be tricky forecasting

Well sure but the watch covers all of Lancaster County - where they’ll get on the eastern side likely substantially more snow than MDT. The sharp west gradient isn’t our friend on this one methinks.

Big bump back west again

Just stopping by to say we want to see plenty of pics. We got our 12-inch snow earlier this year. Hope y'all get buried....

Euro came in west of 0z

WB 6Z EURO zoomed on IVT

18-24 NYC and west with 24+ NYC and east is my call...lol

Light snow here and 28. Guessing 5-5.5 will measure .

Maybe the roll of the dice at this point.

Starting to think the euro/cmc blend is right and we’ll start to see the gfs/nam start trending towards them. They’re just the better models especially at this range. Still a 5-10” snow event for Philly with 10-16” E NJ. I don’t buy the NAM when it’s now all alone. The 00z models probably the high mark of the event. In the end though Boston will get the most snow out of everyone, as always, bastads

I have a very hard time believing the Euro would be as east as it is with what it's giving us at the upper levels. It's essentially lock step with other guidance now, perhaps 20-25 miles further east with the h7 low passage. For folks in the Lehigh Valley and Berks, yes those 20-25 miles could be the difference between 6-8" or 12-16". For Philly SE, I think the Euro is still catching up

we pretty much have consensus here, i think it's between nam euro and gfs at this point it's safe to say 10-20 inches are a lock NYC and east, with blizzard winds blowing and drifting definitely a concern! What happens west of Bergen county is still in question and will be ironed out today!

Likely a blend.

I see Upton has blessed the title of this thread. Excellent