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Whew! The new washing machine is installed and operational. Hopefully, no more laundromats for a bit! Though, I am jealous of the speed that a person can do laundry in those places. We washed and dried 6 loads in one hour! I know - Dear Facebook. Modeling continues to honk at very cold weather between the d8-12 mark. Sometimes modeling has overdone the cold at this range. But for now, some really cold temps on the 12z Euro and GEM as Jeff mentioned. Both of those models have identified cold snaps pretty well this season. For now, the day8-10 window looks good for a winter event, but you all know the rules...roughly between the 24th-27th. I do think one flaw that we need to be watchful for...cold has been oversold on modeling all winter OR completely missed. Usually the solution is a cold front, but is modified from the original version. Probably the case this time, but...every once in a while strong cold fronts are under-modeled! The TPV getting trapped looks legit. We need a wave to ride the Arctic front if that front verifies. That is the big ticket! Great discussion. I have enjoyed reading it.

At the risk of semantics...SO perhaps not "simple" but rather simplER? That is if you were to compare overruning to a phase event which is EASIER? @CAPE or somebody help me out here, lol

I feel like a Carolina Panthers fan.

There's definitely some drifting, but I came up with 15" from several measurements. Still lightly snowing Pure powder, quite the storm!

If we can’t score by the end of the month we may never. Lol

Festive Saturday. Good enough imo.

I'm punting this weekend locally. Still looks good Plateau and Mountains. End of January modelling just came in significantly colder. Confidence increases on another cold snap. We'll see if we can get a storm, but the cold looks pretty likely.

Yea things break right for us with big flooding rains and meager winter shortwaves that queef out an extra inch but when the time comes for a big dog, we get slapped by his tail…

And GI Joe got stuck…

Out in weenie land but Euro showing a high of 3F for DC on the 27th and a low of -10F on the 28th. Can't see I've seen that modeled by the Euro at any range lol

thinking 2 to 3 here.. we take!

My wife just said “This is what happens when the field is mostly men talking about inches - man math.” Ended up with 2.5” here. (An inch or less was expected).

We need DefCon 8

sounds good to me!

This one was never our storm.

-50 on MOS for MWN was fun too

Over 4" now and light snow still falling. I went for a walk on the AT and had it all to myself. Sent from my Pixel 10 Pro using Tapatalk

I am in the southern end of Huntingdon county now, which explains my bitching about being shafted as this area is the ridge and valley screw zone.

It was lack luster in some ways but an overachiever in others. Been snowing all day in West Asheville. Peaks are snow covered. What really separates us is that we just handle things differently than most of the rest of the board.

Borrowing this from Will in the SNE thread

Ya I mean come on.

Very brief, but just enough to kill the fricking peaches

Bags were already packed, just like Garrett Riley at Clemson

euro ai and ai gfs is going to replace regular euro and regular gfs, is that true? it's not looking good for ai unless they end up being right which at this point even my feen self don't believe it!

Head to the Ben Franklin bridge pronto is all i can say. He will probably leave Saquon on the bench for every 4th quarter for the rest of his career. Good luck.