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  2. "I'm so glad our storm was able to create its own cold air and give us a plowable dump" - never said by anyone in DC.
  3. This is why one should use probabilistic descriptions, particularly in the medium-range. Making deterministic "yes-no" declarations assumes that the general public is not capable of understanding complexity. That assumption says more about those who make it than the general public. I provided an example in recent days where I referred to the high-end solution being a low probability, high-impact scenario rather than dismissing it out-of-hand. 4-5 days out allows for a lot of change.
  4. It's 70 and sunny right now. Snow by the end of the weekend around here wouldn't surprise me lol.
  5. Mount Holly 90th percentile (i.e. reasonable worst case scenario)
  6. Could be right. Changes to all snow as the storm comes closer Sunday night. WX/PT
  7. Absolutely ripping with the big band on the way.
  8. We only got .03" of rain and flurries. The drought goes on.
  9. There is a lot of bust potential inside the beltway if rates are bad. I'd probably undercut guidance below 300' We know the deal. Dynamic cooling doesn't work here. we need a proper airmass
  10. Yeah, snowing pretty good in this little burst at 37*. Radar trying to fill in behind it?
  11. Each one is like a half dollar coin
  12. some of them said nothing before March 1 - that was a mistake
  13. Flakes here are huge even tho it’s light snow
  14. Probably every other zonked weather weenie on Twitter X
  15. Since 2022? Definitely. But before Jan 2022 we had plenty of coastal storms that favored NYC and east.
  16. Now that is how I remember hecs modeling inside 72hrs in the 2000s and early 2010s.
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