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I thought the control was the op member of the ensemble but I could be wrong.

I’m sure y’all look but Carvers gap and a few other over on the Tennessee forum have some good input .

I don't think that's a 'feel'. It has.

My only caveat would be that modeling has struggled this winter. Right now though, this is at day 4-5 for far western areas of this forum. By tomorrow evening or Tuesday morning, short range models should begin to have this for portions of Arkansas.

Based on what they called in Ravens-Steelers, yes

Radar lighting up in south Jersey

When is the last time Harrisburg had a 6”+ snowstorm? Feels like it’s been a few years. @Jns2183

Then again I feel like it’s tugged east a bit with total QPF

Finally seeing some flakes here in the Spotsy area. I’ll take that as a win and some snow tv for the next couple of hours, an even bigger win.

Moved one of my daughters back there today and there was easily 3-4 .. They’d had a new inch this morning on sidewalks etc

I'm a huge Bills fan so I've been checked out from everything the past 18 hours, but this 12z suite has perked me back up some. My life seems to be one disappointment after another with following the Bills and East TN winter weather lol. I don't want anything to do with the ice as everyone has mentioned, but what a run on the Euro. Not use to seeing those type of storms within 7 days on models. With that type of cold, I'd also worry about suppression, but hopefully we can reel something in

so the argument is basically that he should've been down by contact once he made the catch?

Oh man. Giddy up!

33.4 light snow here

If this actually occurs, the EURO AIFS and its ensembles had this days before other modeling did......

Flurries even down south in la Plata right now.

The question is how much does the operational increase the numbers in VA since it is part of the Eps average (I believe) and it's quite a dump down there. Someone correct me if the operational numbers aren't part of the Eps mean.

The 12z EPS has temps thirty degrees BN (over TRI and E TN...cold over the entire forum area and EC) from ten days out which is almost unheard of from that model. Again, I have my doubts, but just reporting what I see. The winter which shall not be named as an analog....is trying to sneak into the photo.

Had a quick inch here this morning... really just been light last several hours with brief spurts of heavier...just 0.16" le so far.

Euro AI has a snowstorm for next Sunday.

That would be the storm of all storms in Tn

How am I supposed to complain on here if I'm outside in real life?

lol, what?

Got maybe 1/4" on top of the inch, from a band that had been sitting over me but now down to snizzle with fine flakes, a temp of 33 with dp of 32, and lots of melting going on. Total 1.25" for the day so far and 2.75" for the 2-day event. The coastal is sitting off the coast of VA.