All Activity

@CPcantmeasuresnowI'm looking around a bit now, it might have been part of the NWS NOWdata under Montgomery but its not there now. I remember when I came across it I was surprised and again took it with a grain of salt. I must have found it a few years ago again because I just came across this little spreadsheet I did 10 years ago that shows the 30 year average (KMGJ)which was higher than it is now, 43.3" then and 42.2" now. The 10 year averages were my own measurments.

Yeah that one is all over the place, leaning scrape… you?

WB 12Z GFS: cut this at least in half since it is falling in the afternoon.

The Thursday nite/ Friday one is the one that may trend north

1.9" of snow with that band in just over 2 hrs. A little refresher for the snowpack

hey Tony, how many inches of snow has central park received in 2025-2026 winter

Basically every other modern A+ winter illustrates how rare 09-10 was. 95-96's 2nd biggest snowfall at DCA was 8.4". In 02-03 it was 6.6". In 13-14 it was 7.0". In 09-10.. A snowfall of 10.8 inches was the 3rd largest snowfall of the winter.

At the risk of starting a memory lane posting spree...yes. And in particular, for me, the period BETWEEN the two storms, when we knew the second one was coming, too...it was all just unbelievably exciting and amazing! @bncho I hope you and other younger folks get to experience something like that winter.

Really need something like the RRFS (both the standard and the MPAS) look but south a bit to get much of a win south of the M/D. So I’m not optimistic given my massive skepticism of them at this range! But at least it seems like we’re not trending even more POS squashed at 12z.

You had 16"? I didn't measure as frequently as you. I only did so around dawn and at the end.

Snow is melting beautifully

18 Branford

Still can't get any consistency on guidance on Thursday PM, all over the place from a complete miss to a graze to 3-6"

I wouldn't be surprised if post analysis counts it for Storm Data anyway. Some of it is a bit subjective, but if DAW, PSM, and PWM all hit blizzard up here how could I say coastal York wasn't also a blizzard.

The Feb 5-6 and 9-10 storms being back to back is simply mythological, it's astounding that any sort of pattern could enable 2 big dog storms not even 4 full days apart at our latitude. That being on top of an almost as-rare December HECS and the already regionwide 28"+ winter totals is the stuff of weenie lore. I don't care if we get a winter that rivals 13-14 in totals but with snowpack on the ground from December to St. Patrick's Day. If it doesn't have at least 3 big dog storms, it's not topping 09-10.

Looks way south that's not coming up here, just noting another wave, there's a wave almost everyday traversing the east on guidance.

Thursday’s storm keeps trending towards a miss. I’ll have to enjoy the inch or so I get tonight, even if the sun angle causes it to melt immediately tomorrow.

Don't get me wrong the pattern was perfect. We timed up an extremely perfect AO/NAO with a moderate basin wide Nino which is our perfect STJ configuration for elevated chances at HECS level storms. That right there is the prerequisite we needed to even have a chance at that. But then it also took good luck yes. Put it this way...the pattern was so good that it produced 5 HECS level events somewhere in the east that winter. That was the pattern not luck. BUT...Baltimore got flush hit by 3 of the 5 and a pretty good SECS level snowfall from 1 of the other 2. Out of the 5 huge snowstorms that affect the east coast that winter only 1 missed Baltimore and 3 were flush hit bullseyes! That is good luck. That is us scoring way above our average hit rate. With bad luck maybe we only get 1 of those to hit... average luck maybe 2, getting 3 flush hits was very good luck on top of the perfect pattern. We also got flush hit with some weaker waves, a clipper that put down 2-3" and that little thing in early Feb that gave us 3-6". Perfect pattern plus good luck and...most snow ever.

Precip max between 10am and 1pm. can't catch a break.

KMGJ doesn't measure snow. I believe someone came up with an average based on old COOP data by the Crist brothers in Walden best I could tell. I'll have to think on how I came across anything to use for KMGJ, it might have actually been Accuweather. Whatever it was it appeared to update with the new 10 year averages a few years ago as I recall and is broken down by month. While I always took that number with a grain of salt I was impressed with how close it was/is to my running averages. If/when I figured it out again I'll reply here.

I tell ya, I've been on the boards since the early days of the interwebz - the PB Post/GoPBI.com Storm9X forum boards (which morphed into Storm2K), The Weather Channel boards, and even the forerunner to AMWX here (which IIRC was EasternUSWx.com). Throw in the zoo that's Twitter/X, and decades of dealing with our WFOs social media pages and I've got almost 30 years of dealing with crazies, weenies, trolls, ranters and the like. I'm looking forward to it.

In late February 2010, we just missed a huge snowstorm that hit New York City, so not everything went perfect that winter. I feel that this winter had the potential to rival 09-10, but bad luck with storm tracks and surface temperatures being 5-10 degrees too warm for a couple of the storms spoiled our chances for a historic winter. But the sleet storm in January was historic along with the glacier that followed for weeks.

You're giving up early, you usually hold out until May Had a few passing sun flurries. First, I thought it was just junk blowing off the trees. Nope. They were the for real real kind.

Post clipper squalls on the 3k....

Can see the gradient from Balt north and east