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7am thunder is always impressive

It’s coming.

Congrats for Rhode Island again

I agree with the BOM. A weak La Niña the remainder of the fall into at least early winter is inevitable

yep-looks like very little after this batch-just can't buy a decent soaking

if that crosses Hispanola there may not be much left on the other side

Still stuck at 0.16” for the month

It’s down in PA and developing

later today and tonight

The radar looks radar benign doesn’t it?

Gfs is now into the Carolinas

More rain coming in this morning.

Big high coming in from Canada could squash this south while Humberto sneaks NE. Odds of any impacts from either are very low imo but still too early to tell.

Just looking at things now.. we track!! I think 94l gets pushed to the west a bit and Humberto also goes west.. then gets stuck under the ridge and eventually comes up.. 6z GEFS coming west! We watch!

Wet AM coming

6z GFS slams the storm into the Carolina’s as a hurricane

61F/ .48"

Only. 14 for me thus far

Where did Sandy develop?

0z euro would up the fun meter vs the last several months.

We maintained the -EPO and -WPO throughout the 13-14 and 14-15 seasons. The Pacific Jet was much weaker so frequent shortwaves weren’t constantly lowering heights in the region. Notice how much lower the -EPO and -WPO domain 500mb heights were in 2025 than 2014 with the much stronger Pacific Jet. Also look how the subtraction of 2025 from 2014 resembled 2024. Much stronger ridge last winter near Hudson Bay than 2014. This is exactly where the ridge was during 2024.

Looks like a predecessor rain event perhaps on the euro?

No posts from ineedfish.. all you need to know