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Btw I peaked at the mid Atlantic thread and those boys are nervous.

^yeah I was about to post a comment on this. During the event Saturday it looks like a lot of us might not make it out of the teens for HIGHS. Hence the 20-25:1 snow ratios being hinted at.

CMC Kuchera… .

Solid 6-10" event (I even get 6 up my way) Sent from my SM-S166V using Tapatalk

Yep maybe some sleet for a period of time but it should be minimal

On another note, their is a strong subtropical jet influence with this system which would limit any dry slot development due to an over saturated atmosphere. Any issue we have with precip development will likely occur early on as the system begins to form. This is looking more like a major sleet/ice pellet storm for us with maybe a few inches of snow on Saturday as upper air temperatures cool down. This is my first winter storm down here in Texas so I'm excited, followed by a nice cold shot Sat-Monday. I could see temps dropping down to 3-5.

Yeah it makes you wonder...hadn't conceived of too far north possibly being an issue but here we are with that as a possibility, smh I mean if this run were THE goalpost I could live with it (still close to a foot + sleet) But I worry about an even further north trend now

canadian shows snow from 7am sun to 7am monday no secondary low like last run great run but needs to stop the north jog here otherwise we'll smell sleet

Let's let the next 96 HOURS play out! Lol 36 hours ago people were ringing their hands about suppression!

This is about 300 miles north of the other guidance, I wouldn't put too much stock in that run other than that things have trended north across the board .

Its fine boys gotta smell the sleet. Its fun tracking a KU event.

I am fine with anything other than a ton of freezing rain-bringing down power lines where ever that occurs

Possible with a deep snowpack

1/21 00Z GGEM B Total QPF

0z runs not as favorable for us on the Delmarva, by this time tomorrow we should know more or less where we stand.

Keep it coming

Hopefully ukmet isn't as close to coast

Why? They all are basically showing the same thing with some minor differences.

Historically....at least for these parts....the big dogs mix at some point at or south of the 66/50 corridor. Sometimes further north but that's usually a good marker for the mix line.

These temperatures from the GFS on the morning of the 27th remind me of 2021. Crazy

There is a difference between mixing with sleet during a lull and pounding sleet during the WAA. CMC pounds sleet. That's not a hallmark of greatness.

Something to note on that 0z GFS run... https://x.com/MassachusettsWx/status/2013808206854709486?s=20

Solid several inches in SNE prolific NYC south , great trends

It gets sleet really close to the PA border. I have read here in those huge 90s storms it sleeted here during them too.