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- Past hour
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Same here. 2.4 inches in one hour!
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I’m thinking of switching my work week to Wednesday through Sunday.
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2026-2027 Strong/Super El Nino
snowman19 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
^ “I have a feeling after this upcoming WWB, we're going to see the atmosphere-ocean system in a very classic-looking El Niño state. Increased easterly anomalies across the Indian Ocean will probably also shift things to a more +IOD state. EPS weeklies have an extremely classic-looking El Niño standing wave setting up, with rising motion across the East/Central Pacific and sinking air across the Atlantic, Africa, and the Indian Ocean. Also, the EPS weeklies show above-normal westerly shear across the Atlantic for the entire 6-week forecast. Even brief Kelvin waves/MJO passages don't really seem to break that. The windows for Atlantic tropical development this year may be few and far between.” -
Ready 2 drought
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Shut ‘em down. The fresh green has exploded on the hill with the rain this weekend. Today saw heavy sheet drizzle up in the cloud, but 2,000ft lower where this pic is from, it was just a few sprinkles. Upper half of the mountain (3-4K feet) was a soaking wet environment. It felt like those days when there’s 6-8” of orographic fluff up top and only an inch or two at the base.
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Mid-Long Range Discussion 2026
WinstonSalemArlington replied to BooneWX's topic in Southeastern States
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One of the big issues that I'm not sure people realize would be sunrises of nearly 8:30 am during the shortest days of the year.
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Flash flood warnings 5.70” since 7:00 and 6.72 since midnight.
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By every account standard time wins. We tried permanent DST before and it failed on every level.
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this is the kind of weather where nothing will dry from nature alone unless you was under sunlight or a strong breeze.
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Hot Memorial Day in Minneapolis under the influence of the ridge, 86 with the dew point creeping into the low 60s. Point had a forecast high of 88 so I’ll take the W.
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2.52” in 55 min
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Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
canderson replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Time for a summer thread. @Voyager should start it. -
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NWS/WPC forecasts 1" of rain for eastern Colorado and New Mexico this week. We'll see how it turns out. Best of luck busting the long-term drought for a lot of areas of the country. As mentioned by somebody, the drought is down to D1 in Larimer County, but that's a limited area. Strange weather pattern with a cutoff low in the West. There seem to be no interesting severe weather outlooks anytime soon. The NWS/CPC latest ENSO bulletin said we are in a neutral phase, with El Nino onset expected soon. The SST anomalies in the Pacific are already positive. The current weather pattern has rain all week in the southern USA. It already has some of the looks of an El Nino. Including storm chasers sitting at home and doing nothing. They say it could be a large El Nino by the time we get to winter.
- Today
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Over 3” the last hour and a half.
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Mid-Long Range Discussion 2026
WinstonSalemArlington replied to BooneWX's topic in Southeastern States
Ridge out West in late June ? -
Summer Outlooks
WinstonSalemArlington replied to WinstonSalemArlington's topic in Southeastern States
Keep that ridge out West throughout June! -
That line finally reached us here in Hickory. It’s all yellows and reds. Heavy stuff!
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Richmond Metro/Hampton Roads Area Discussion
Deep Creek replied to RIC Airport's topic in Mid Atlantic
Now over 1.00” today! Every drop counts at this point. First 1.00”+ rain day since…2/15/26. -
Couldn’t have drawn up Memorial Day weather any better, 83 and sunny with absolutely zero wind. Summer is on our doorstep and a fascinating one looms with a lurking potential super El Niño.
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I’m getting absolutely smoked rn. 1.25” in half an hour. Absolutely absurd rates.
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That's what Steve and I have been talking about recently. This could go from drought to too much real quick.
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Yup heavy rain and these storms are just training also.
