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  2. N Pac finally waking up to El Niño? This is what you’d expect in the warm season (weak Aleutian Low that slowly deepens).
  3. If anyone is interested in where the 19 current stations that feed our current active philly burbs of Chester County PA area weather data below is a map along with what type of station/reporter they have. Let me know if any questions. Thanks! There is also an interactive map with more detailed station detail that you can hover over on the ChescoWx website at https://chescowx.com/detailed-station-data/
  4. If anyone is interested in where the 19 current stations that feed our current active philly burbs of Chester County PA area weather data below is a map along with what type of station/reporter they have. Let me know if any questions. Thanks! There is also an interactive map with more detailed station detail that you can hover over on the ChescoWx website at https://chescowx.com/detailed-station-data/ https://on-data/@DrewForecast
  5. Possibly related to Dit? Twins separated at birth?
  6. I can even see the el nino being so strong that it carries over into a 2nd year, but ending in fall 2027. This will give a head start to developing la nina, which peaks very strong in 2028-29, kind of like 1988-89. It will probably be a one-year la nina, but boy, will it be very strong.
  7. Whole month overall looks warmish with war near EC. Any cooling will be mainly west of apps
  8. You limited your local review to only 3 chesco stations - My review with AI had more local stations than you including Sadsbury, Devault 1W, Kennett Square and Morgantown- I focused on only local stations in or on the immediate borders of chesco like Morgantown/Elverson to better identify if there is any actual support based on the raw data that was able to identify if any significant drifts occurred at any stations near Coatesville 1SW to suppor the NCEI chilling adjustments. The statistical analysis clearly does not support the NCEI adjustments for Coatesville 1SW
  9. Yeah warm next week and then cooler post 10th.
  10. 97-98 does show up as an analog for me but it’s vastly overwhelmed by more positive ones. 2010,11,12 had a lot of similarities to 2026 summer and spring. I’ve got about 5 more also but gotta find my notes
  11. I’ve been working storm over here (Cook Co. Will Co. Lake Co. and DuPage Co.) since Monday night. Lots of damage. Will upload some pics soon.
  12. Qpf wise seems like it does favor those same general areas that have had it all month . Might be like a Philly to W CT up to ORH special . Just hoping at least it’s with convection. I know you need the rain , but these boring rain events just provide no excitement
  13. You can almost imagine solar panel daily power generation charts showing 0kW because they’re underwater.
  14. Hopefully Monday at least offers storm threat and not another boring 1-4” inch rainer . Doesn’t even have to be severe. Just give some thunder chances
  15. I mean it was just a dinky potential shower, but literally nothing reached the ground. Blue sky moving in. I’m about to take the emoji down.
  16. At this point I almost have to check myself that you running some AI prompt “Remove radar echoes on this image when they get near the chicken.”
  17. That Twins game is probably one of the most amazing finishes i've ever witnessed in baseball. Win Twins
  18. Most Super El Nino's in history had a +AO/+NAO. It's not actually as correlated as that, so the sample is biased a little warm.
  19. Today
  20. Indeed - not an expert on the subject but that's almost certainly the case. Not just better firefighting equipment so much, but better detection and tracking methods (primarily satellite). Of note is that, in the US at least, there are essentially no more manned fire towers - they're all just obsolete and for tourists these days. That plus there are more people living in areas that used to be remote, thus it's less likely that given fire will grow to unmanageable size before it gets noticed. To the subject at hand though - in general it's completely invalid to point to localized (time or region) flare-ups of wildfire activity and blame them on climate change, since the overall trend is downward. MMGW deniers will point to this and assume / assert that the data cherry-picking is done for all data. As such - my advice to anyone trying to use data to prove MMGW - don't use wildfire data, because it's not a valid indicator.
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