All Activity
- Past hour
-
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dxFBUJmARtU
-
E PA/NJ/DE Spring 2026 Obs/Discussion
LVblizzard replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
A lot of the mesos fail to advance the most favorable severe parameters past Berks/Lebanon counties tomorrow. This doesn’t diminish the wind threat much but the chance for supercells could be confined to central PA. -
3/16/26 Severe Weather Event Thread (Day 2 MOD Risk)
ibawahu replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
How does this event compare to the 2012 derecho? -
I came home after a trip earlier this week to find 3 feet of meltwater in my basement after a sump pump failure. Should be under control now but the pump will certainly keep working with another inch of rain incoming
-
Been hovering right around freezing. Rain with sleet mixed in during the heavier returns. No ice on roads but sidewalks are definitely slippery ETA this is definitely running a bit colder than models showed yesterday
-
Lived in Wausau back in the day. That place is cold and snowy.
-
The storm motions are going to be very rapid so it will basically be one shot at each storm for most chasers.
-
-
2026 Mid-Atlantic Severe Storm General Discussion
Stormlander replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
Speaking as a past and current employee at other universities around town, and veteran of midwestern tornadoes and being an RA through a couple EF3s, here’s a couple things she can do: - Does the building have a designated floor marshal or safety officer on staff, and does she know how to contact them? They’ll have exact info on where the shelters are and how to access them. I don’t know how AU’s program works, but Georgetown and UMD have had them in the buildings I’ve worked in to support evacuations and corralling personnel to safe locations. - If she can’t contact a floor marshal or one doesn’t exist, AU’s police department might have advice if she emails them. - If she’s got to ensure production safety in a weather event, I’m pulling from documentation that just got circulated to us at Maryland: get below ground, somewhere interior to the building, and stay away from walls and windows, doors with glass, etc. Ideally, the room shouldn’t have a lot of unsecured *stuff* in it like a media production room would, or electrical cables. If anyone has bike helmets or the like, put them on. Flash flooding in buildings can be a risk (this happened to me in grad school, and it happened at one of UMD’s libraries too), and that’s an evacuate ASAP situation. I hope that helps, and that it’s all just precautionary!- 259 replies
-
- 1
-
-
- severe
- thunderstorms
-
(and 7 more)
Tagged with:
-
Whoops, didn’t refresh and was looking at old model data. Riding the border of meh and an actual legit storm IMBY
-
Pretty quiet here, maybe 2-3" so far
-
Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
TheDreamTraveler replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
I was born here and still live in the same town and I can't really remember a setup where I was genuinely this worried. Normally severe weather excites me but I'm not really feeling it with this scenario. Definitely very concerning setup -
Maybe slightly but still projected to be neutral or slightly negative.
-
Big
-
Spring 2026 Pattern Discussion Thread
KakashiHatake2000 replied to Carvers Gap's topic in Tennessee Valley
Yep and also a wind advisory out too .- 60 replies
-
- severe
- mountain snow
-
(and 1 more)
Tagged with:
-
Spring 2026 Pattern Discussion Thread
Carvers Gap replied to Carvers Gap's topic in Tennessee Valley
West Tennessee is under enhanced storm risk and also has a freeze warning posted. That is pretty wild!!!- 60 replies
-
- severe
- mountain snow
-
(and 1 more)
Tagged with:
-
Ai euro would help the cause up north next weekend. AI’s held onto the snow for tomorrow’s hot garbage too long so I’m not getting overly interested until after tomorrow’s garbage moves out!
-
A sharp cutoff to our west. ROCKEDford. 1.3 for Naperville locked.
-
Can see the cold front coming. Nice band of dark clouds in the western sky. Temp here is 55, but has already dropped back to 45 at DVN.
-
1-2 inches of rain and dab still the call
-
Both the gfs and the nam would have a nice blizzard for most of N IL
-
They absolutely have, you even admitted it in the ENSO thread @cmillzz
-
3/16/26 Severe Weather Event Thread (Day 2 MOD Risk)
high risk replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
Oh, and anyone trying to nail down the timing should never look at the NAMs. They’re always a couple of hours late with these events. -
3/16/26 Severe Weather Event Thread (Day 2 MOD Risk)
high risk replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
Hahaha. I don’t want to move on that chart. Maybe it’s because I’m out of town, but while I completely buy the high-end scenarios, there are a still a few things I don’t like about the setup. I would gladly exchange some of the shear to get more instability. Yes, there is still some cape, and maybe it’s enough, but the forecast soundings have tall, very skinny cape which sometimes doesn’t get the job done. That said, it’s tough to ignore that a forced line of convection will roll through in an environment that can certainly bring some big wind to the surface. -
3/16/26 Severe Weather Event Thread (Day 2 MOD Risk)
somecallmetim replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
He popped in with a couple of snow forecast maps over the winter.
