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And January 15 still gave WOR 6 to 12. Loved it even though it was a LITTLE less that the predictioned 24 to 36.

Can’t forget a lot of people (se areas included) cancelled this at d5

High end updated from LWX (low end is 0-T of course haha)

It is getting to DC now! That was an unpleasant dog walk.

Now this is solid information!

Feel like it's probably deformation or bust out this way, and reggie was promising. But hey maybe it'll be an sref coup.

GEFS and EPS aren't that different around here.....it's more NJ

I get it goes. It blows! Lol

Lets see if we can even keep any pack before this one comes around here Snow depth at 7AM yesterday BDL-8 TF Green-5 Sikorsky-3 ISP-3 JFK-1 NYC/LGA/EWR-0

I can’t figure out if there is more shit in your toilet or your posts.

The problem is that's a worse model than GFS especially at this range lol once it gets inside three hours it's terrific

It looks like they are factoring the NBM in pretty heavily into their forecast, which is probably the best move right now. That’s a comparison of the regular NBM and the v5 NBM which is the parallel one that is eventually going to be the regular operational NBM this spring. The v5 version doesn’t incorporate SREF due to its impending retirement I believe at the end of the year. Actually I’ll just show the relevent slide from NOAA’s presentation on the v5 as to the differences in it and how the blend is made up. https://vlab.noaa.gov/documents/6609493/7858320/NBMv5.0+Overview+for+Evaluation.pdf

I mean it already caved from nothing to a light to moderate event. At this point GFS wins unless it misses and all lose.

They are very similar. It's just timing. 2-3 hr. difference .

Oh, sure...GFS had 71mb yesterday.

Verified. Heavy rain continued off and on thru the night. Set a new rainfall record of 1.21", breaks old mark of 0.80" from 2012 (although that was all snow, lol). Currently still mod to heavy rain (another 0.12-0.15 in CoCoRaHS gauge since 7 am) and 41.8/41.1 degrees.

How strong will the winds be for eastern areas? Any coastal flooding concerns?

Yea, same....probably going to hold off on a first map until late tonight.

Good vibes though, we’ll take the scraps and continue piling to the seasonal.

6z GFS shows another tucked low just off of OCMD, bringing heavy snow potential to the LSV again this run.

Parents and grandparents do and they’re always asking me what the weather is going to do so I follow there just as close as here lol

I wasn't clear....I meant pressure gradient, 65mbs!

Yeah…follow it right down here

Yea had a glaze on my car, still a mix bouncing off everything.

Absolutely pouring in Fairfax City. So dark it looks like 45 minutes before sunrise.