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Incredible wind and rain here right now, wow!

"Never assume malice for what is easily explained as stupidity."

Looks like a slight bow near Lucketts

Heavier stuff just clipping me now

Never underestimate stupidity. Now more than ever.

Up to 0.75" here now and really pouring. Very pleased.

Does Radarscope overdo the hail stuff? Says hail 2.75" on the warned storm... is that like max possible hail?

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch likely Valid 091805Z - 092000Z Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent SUMMARY...Damaging wind gusts are possible as convection continues to intensify and move eastward this afternoon. A watch is likely. DISCUSSION...Convection along a stationary boundary has shown modest intensification over the last hour near the MD/PA border. Additional convection is developing along the Blue Ridge. Sufficiently strong westerly winds across the Ridge will eventually move convection to the east. Furthermore, around 30 kt of effective shear will be present allowing for stronger storm cells and linear structures. Low-level lapse rates will continue to steepen this afternoon, though cloud cover has been greater in the vicinity of the Chesapeake Bay. Given the potential for one or more clusters to evolve this afternoon, a watch is likely to address the threat for damaging wind gusts. ..Wendt/Hart.. 07/09/2026

I'm just SW of NB and we're approaching 3"

Yeah, just bad QC imo. Not great but it happens. The first time I saw this widespread foolishness was Helene. How people can hold the government being totally incompetent and capable of literally changing the atmosphere at a massive scale simultaneously is mind numbing.

Seems to break apart heading east. Currently light rain at jones beach .

Pouring here now under the next cell.

That me

Been raing cats and dogs for 90 minutes imby..storms training

I know you like the lake effect rain the 12Z Op GFS has for you today at 240 hours.

That narrow band through northern York/Lanc Counties the last couple hours has really been something to behold, as it drifts ever so slowly. It's finally drooping down to my neck of the woods and seems imminent to start pouring as the thunder rolls. Gonna be some big totals, I reckon.

Baseline SVR T-Storm for Northern Loudoun / Southern Frederick Edit: FFW for southern Frederick suburbs now.

Damn. Orange is 3"

Per TAO, 5 day averaged SSTs of 30C+ reached not only 180 but also to 170W at 0N as early as April 22nd of 2015: Location: 0N 170W 22 Apr 2015 to 22 May 2015 ( 7 times, 1 blocks) Gen. Date Jul 9 2026 Units: Sea Surface Temperature (C), -9.99 = missing Time: 1200 22 Apr 2015 to 1200 22 May 2015 (index 1 to 7, 7 times) Depth (M): 1 QUALITY YYYYMMDD HHMM SST Q 20150422 1200 30.04 1. 20150427 1200 -9.99 0 20150502 1200 -9.99 0 20150507 1200 29.85 1 20150512 1200 29.89 1 20150517 1200 29.91 1 20150522 1200 30.06 1 Time: 1200 3 Dec 2015 to 1200 2 Jan 2016 (index 49 to 55, 7 times) Depth (M): 1 QUALITY YYYYMMDD HHMM SST Q 20151203 1200 30.62 1 20151208 1200 30.68 1 20151213 1200 30.76 1 20151218 1200 30.53 1 20151223 1200 30.26 1 20151228 1200 30.29 1 20160102 1200 30.23 1 —————— This year it was still <29C in April and took til June 1st to exceed 30C although it’s been mainly rising since: Location: 0N 170W 2 Apr 2026 to 6 Jul 2026 ( 20 times, 1 blocks) Gen. Date Jul 9 2026 Units: Sea Surface Temperature (C), -9.99 = missing Time: 1200 2 Apr 2026 to 1200 6 Jul 2026 (index 1 to 20, 20 times) Depth (M): 1 QUALITY YYYYMMDD HHMM SST Q 20260402 1200 28.01 2 20260407 1200 28.14 2 20260412 1200 28.35 2 20260417 1200 28.65 2 20260422 1200 28.74 2 20260427 1200 28.94 2 20260502 1200 29.17 2 20260507 1200 29.36 2 20260512 1200 29.34 2 20260517 1200 29.67 2 20260522 1200 29.59 2 20260527 1200 29.82 2 20260601 1200 30.05 2 20260606 1200 30.38 2 20260611 1200 30.42 2 20260616 1200 30.59 2 20260621 1200 30.58 2 20260626 1200 30.56 2 20260701 1200 30.55 2 20260706 1200 30.46 2 https://www.pmel.noaa.gov/tao/data_deliv/deliv-nojava.html @snowman19

It's really pouring here now.

Kind of glad this missed here. Just got a decent downpour from it that made me go from .10 to .20 in 5 minutes. Looks like a cell over hunterdon co may get here though in a bit

That area by south brunswick must be getting hammered

At work in downtown Frederick, we had a big storm already dumped looks like over an inch going by a couple of weather stations close by. Might be getting another batch here soon.

I really wish it had stayed overcast. This right now is nasty.