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Today’s Euro Weeklies continue with a BN next 2 weeks averaged out! 4/27-5/3 5/4-10: We can thank this H5 for cool 5/4-10

Im taking a stab in the dark, but i think snowman is going with a super nino.

They should acknowledge their forecast bust. It was certainly noteworthy.

The forsythia have been “in bloom” for 3-4 weeks . Crazy how long they’ve stayed flowered with greens mixed in

Mount Holly AFD KEY MESSAGE 2...Additional chances for much-needed rain arrive during the middle of this week. A brief period of high pressure on Monday, potentially lingering into Tuesday. A weak frontal boundary then approaches the region late Tuesday, bringing a chance for light rain. The chances for meaningful rainfall with this system appear to be decreasing with high pressure staying close by and the frontal boundary largely washing out across the region. Another stronger low is still expected to arrive late Wednesday into early Thursday that is expected to bring more widespread showers and perhaps an isolated thunderstorm across the region.

Getting our best rains (and just about our only rains of note) since April 5th’s nearly 1/2”. Currently have a band of heavy thunderstorms coming through with some rumbles. I haven’t watered since 4/22 and this will allow me to go further without going back to watering.

Love it when the temp is still climbing past 5pm. Up to 61 now. Great afternoon.

65 here as well with plenty of sun. Not a bad weekend overall, hit 57 with some breaks of sun yesterday and the light rain held off until evening.

Pretty much sums up the Nina precip pattern.

Wth when did we become the armpit of the weather world? Was 56F and breaks in cloud cover when I left the cabin...now down here in Calvert it's 51F and solid gray. Gross breeze too.

I dread thinking what this summer will be if we don’t start getting rains soon.

squarely above normal in a below normal pattern ?

Just give us some darn rain!!!!!

65.3° high

keep praying

Phase 1 peaked way up at ~2.73 amplitude this month. Only 2018 (also ~2.73) and 2009 (~2.75) had a higher phase 1 peak in April going back to 1975. Both were pre-Nino years like 2026.

Have ordered blight resistant tomatoes arriving in May from Burpee, they did great last year. Less yellowing/curling of the leaves.

Rainfall total forecasting just as bad as snowfall forecasting in the winter. Can't complain too much here with .43 last 24 hours. WPC did better than Mount Holly with QPF forecasts.

I wonder what type of tweets the bias corrected Snowman19 would post. They would probably be more moderate to strong El Niño tweets instead of super. Its too bad we don’t have access to that.

59F

Sandy River median is 2,990 cfs, record minimum 819, current 1,050. Bring it on.

The raw RONI and Cfs forecasts are usually way more extreme than the bias corrected, which often more accurate at this range. Bias corrected RONI still <2. I've never seen any of these posters mention the bias corrected.

I just think we all need to be kinder to one another. Not some grand project of ideology or anything, but just why not be nice to the people you meet, assuming ill intent or expectations (this is beyond Cape's og post ofc) of others you don't know burdens yourself and them. That said, please I want to know what you consider my "ludicrous posts" are.

After this recent debacle, I will believe it when I see it. I have the sprinkler running after the forecasted inch of rain ended up less than a tenth.

I feel like we tend to get at least a couple days with storms in April even if our bread and butter months is mid May through July. We had March 15th this year and then just nothing.