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58 for a low

The NOAA weekly SSTa’s have been ~unchanged the last 2 weeks in all Nino regions except there has been 0.3 of cooling in Nino 4. This Nino 4 cooling jibes well with this OISST Nino 4 graph: They kept 3.4 at +1.8, which continues to be ~0.4 cooler than what this OISST has been suggesting:

57 for the low at bwi.

TFlizz crusher. Noticed he disappeared

49.5 at 7 am!!!

59 this morning. Sitting on the deck having coffee waiting for my calm and wonderful teenager to get ready for the first day of high school lol. The morning light is fabulous.

Pea soup fog this AM About 1.2” of rain yesterday.

Bridgeport, CT went from the driest summer on record last year to the wettest summer this year. Driest Summer Time Series Summary for Bridgeport Area, CT (ThreadEx) - Jun through Aug Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. 1 2025 3.24 0 2 1995 4.13 0 3 1966 4.21 0 4 1964 4.25 0 5 1993 4.58 0 6 1999 6.09 0 7 1957 6.16 0 8 1948 6.22 30 9 1974 6.69 0 10 1970 6.70 0 Wettest Summer Time Series Summary for Bridgeport Area, CT (ThreadEx) - Jun through Aug Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. 1 2026 21.21 8 2 1972 20.23 0 3 1952 18.67 0 4 2006 18.52 0 5 1971 18.21 0 6 2011 18.11 0 7 1982 17.98 0 8 1992 17.27 0 9 2000 16.34 0 10 1989 15.61 0

53 degrees this morning. .11” in a quick downpour yesterday.

I'm not sure if anyone pointed this out yet, but we're experiencing a very rapid upwelling of cold water in the western Pacific Ocean, which is literally pushing the warm Kelvin wave onto the South American continent. As a result, the warm water in the east is sinking deeper. This is why we are in for a strong la nina in 2027-28 or 2028-29 (depending on how quickly the current el nino dissipates) - like in 1998-2000, which immediately followed the 1997-98 el nino. As you can see, the strong la nina years of 1998-99 and 1999-2000 (which correspond to the dark blue strips in 1998 and 1999) was the result of the last upwelling. Also, our last strong la nina was in 2010-11 (which corresponds to the dark blue strip in 2010). If we don't have a strong la nina following this el nino event, it will be the longest gap between strong la ninas since prior to the 1955-56 event.

An amazing Fall morning. Current temp and low of 52 degrees.

Bit of rain this AM.

Sea bass is the tastiest fish going. You must have fished some wrecks.