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Its going to be ugly post mortem for them and their NBM

Our cooking and heat source is propane. I've got a small briefcase inverter generator for small stuff. Can even run a crockpot off it. if we were out of power for days we would probably go pool our resources with some local friends.

It’s like sleet at 30, just colder

Don't know if it's too early for sat pics, but this has an expansive view of the Conus+. https://www.ssec.wisc.edu/data/us_comp/large

yikes!!

Right but in conjunction with NAM the writing is on the wall for 6-12 tops but Mt Holly seems like the GFS has blackmail material on them

Rain with freezing temperatures is often not freezing rain. It has to be very light rainfall to accrete. The Central Valley is not particularly prone to freezing rain. What you’re seeing as freezing rain on models is likely rain. There can and maybe will be some glazing but not nearly to the potential shown on some models.

Very perplexing with My Holly still being quite aggressive showing 16 inches for coastal Monmouth (Long Branch area).

REFS Plumes For Greensboro VS Raleigh at hour 60, Raleigh more of a ZR sounding while GSO more of a sleet

Put it this way… I would love to switch places with you

Ah man, big bust heading for NYC. Cantore is there!

Same down here actually. I’m included in the 12-17, only down all the way by AC does it drop to 8-15. Very bullish, wondering if it’s just because it’s a watch - I’d expect the warnings to be more finely tuned. I think 6-8 with a chance at 10 in a best case scenario would be more realistic for my location. Not overly pressed tbh, beast of a storm and I’m ready to roll the dice no matter what happens.

The 0z data came in a quite a bit warmer overall. Looking back at POR and reconstructed anecdotal data back to 1785, there has never been two subzero readings at DFW in a five year window. That would be unprecedented if we did. That is a 25 to 30 year outcome. So my expectation is that we stay at 5 or above at coldest point Monday. Still respectable cold though, but still acknowledging a non-zero risk of falling below 5. Colder spots could get that cold. Despite many forecast, we are not going to get above freezing on Monday if we start that cold with significant snow/sleet, especially with a northerly wind component. So significant improvement may not be had until Tuesday afternoon and even then I think we will stay below 40, so risk of problems Wednesday morning from refreezing is likely.

Too busy worrying about the sleet

Why is there little discussion of 0z Euro

DT's still doin' his thing, eh?

it's here

Wish I could add a few zeros to my 100% to this!

Ravens should hire Kingsbury as OC. Word is Lamar supports it.

JB Supercomputer

I'll charge mine to 100% tonight. Absolute worst case, I can recharge my Jackery boxes from the car.

I’m not sure I’ve ever experienced 20 degree sleet so that’ll be something.

What time we think start time is in central CT on Sunday? 8:00 am? 10 am? We be Traveling back from the north. We want to try and beat the snow before it gets in. Do we expect this to come in like a wall? Or start out slowly?

Ninja’d

Nobody gets more satisfaction from weeks old dirty crusty snow piles.