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Working his magic last night and this morning
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Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
mahantango#1 replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Looks like most places won't see any rain today. -
Missed out on any decent rainfall last night. Just .07". Additional rain chances over the next few days. Will be localized and some locations will do better than others but some heavy downpours possible in spots for sure. Another steamy day today.
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Junorch obs and discussion 2026
Damage In Tolland replied to Damage In Tolland's topic in New England
I’m talking about this afternoon. So you got a lucky stray shower . Congrats -
HRRR only has a few storms south of DC, but it aggressively mixes out the dew points too which probably is messing with things.
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2026-2027 Super El Nino
snowman19 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
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i have one of those, the 12k version. amazing how quiet (and efficient) it is wrong already. about to get a decent downpour here at MHT, which saw nothing yesterday.
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Numerous trees down around Warrenton from yesterdays storms
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Junorch obs and discussion 2026
Damage In Tolland replied to Damage In Tolland's topic in New England
Same areas as yesterday for storms today . Except E MA/ RI in on Seabreeze storms . Maybe it’ll finally rain Sunday night . Maybe -
Hit 94.7 yesterday afternoon. Probably more of the same the next couple of days before the storms and rain move in Sunday evening through the week ahead. On a good note, GA drought has drastically improved except for the savannah area...sorry @GaWx. I'm actually in the light yellow of abnormal dry.
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2026-2027 Super El Nino
bluewave replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Yeah, the La Ninas have been getting weaker following super El Niños since the early 1970s. This past La Niña was the weakest on record following the 2023-2024 super El Niño. Also the first time that Nino 1+2 didn’t fully cool off between super El Niño events. This lead to the more Nino-like December 2024 with the record +PNA. While the STJ and Nino 1+2 warming were relatively weak vs the Northern Stream, the Gulf Coast got an historic snowstorm in January 2025. Super El Niño ONI and the lowest ONI in the years following NDJ 72…..+2.1 NDJ 73……-2.0 NDJ 82…….+2.2 NDJ 84…….-1.1 NDJ 97…..+2.4 NDJ 99…..-1.7 NDJ 15……+2.8 NDJ 17…..-0.9 NDJ 23…..+2.1 NDJ 25…..-0.5 -
Yeah. I just noticed that too. Weird
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NAM looks weird with zero storms anywhere. Seems alone in that.
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Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
pawatch replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
71 for the low again. 04” of rain yesterday. As soon as it hit cars or pavement it dried right up. Last 2 storms not much rain at all. -
Multiple record highs on Thursday with a drought upgrade across the area. RECORD EVENT REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK, NY 236 AM EDT FRI JUN 12 2026 ...RECORD DAILY HIGH TEMPERATURE SET AT NEWARK NJ... THE HIGH TEMPERATURE REACHED 97 DEGREES THURSDAY, JUNE 11 AT NEWARK LIBERTY INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT. THIS BREAKS THE OLD RECORD OF 96 DEGREES, LAST SET IN 2000. RECORDS FOR THE NEWARK NJ AREA GO BACK TO 1931. RECORD EVENT REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK, NY 234 AM EDT FRI JUN 12 2026 ...RECORD DAILY HIGH TEMPERATURE SET AT LAGUARDIA NY... THE HIGH TEMPERATURE REACHED 96 DEGREES THURSDAY, JUNE 11 AT LAGUARDIA AIRPORT. THIS TIES THE OLD RECORD OF 96 DEGREES, SET IN 1984. RECORDS FOR THE LAGUARDIA NY AREA GO BACK TO 1939. RECORD EVENT REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK, NY 231 AM EDT FRI JUN 12 2026 ...RECORD DAILY HIGH TEMPERATURE SET AT KENNEDY NY... THE HIGH TEMPERATURE REACHED 95 DEGREES THURSDAY, JUNE 11 AT JOHN F. KENNEDY INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT. THIS BREAKS THE OLD RECORD OF 93 DEGREES, SET IN 1984. RECORDS FOR THE KENNEDY NY AREA GO BACK TO 1948. In New Jersey, severe drought expanded across much of the northern portion of the state and into New York and eastern Pennsylvania. Abnormally dry conditions expanded across southeastern New York, while moderate drought expanded in southern Connecticut and western Massachusetts. Severe drought also expanded across eastern Massachusetts, eastern Rhode Island, and portions of eastern Maryland. Extreme drought was introduced in southern New Jersey and expanded into Delaware and eastern Maryland. A combination of short- and long-term drought is affecting agriculture as well as groundwater and surface water resources throughout the region.
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2026-2027 Super El Nino
PhiEaglesfan712 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
It's interesting that the QBO has swung wildly every year this decade: 2020-21: solid +QBO 2021-22: solid -QBO 2022-23: solid +QBO 2023-24: solid -QBO 2024-25: solid +QBO 2025-26: solid -QBO 2026-27: solid +QBO? -
Yesterday was trash night, and the 50mph gusts blew plenty of cardboard and plastic garbage into the middle of the street and into my yard!
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We were hoping that cell would maintain as it went southeast but it weakened some.
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Just a quick shower last evening. The NAM says no worries of any storms until possible late Sunday. I thought today was the best day for storms. Bummer
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I didn't know that MJO812 golfed.
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Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
mahantango#1 replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service State College PA 410 AM EDT Fri Jun 12 2026 PAZ006-011-012-017>019-024>028-033>035-037-041-042-045-046-049>053- 056-058-130815- Potter-Cameron-Northern Clinton-Clearfield-Northern Centre- Southern Centre-Cambria-Blair-Huntingdon-Mifflin-Juniata-Somerset- Bedford-Fulton-Tioga-Northern Lycoming-Sullivan-Southern Clinton- Southern Lycoming-Union-Snyder-Montour-Northumberland-Columbia-Perry- Schuylkill- 410 AM EDT Fri Jun 12 2026 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Pennsylvania. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. Severe thunderstorms with damaging winds 60 mph or greater and large hail exceeding 1 inch in diameter are possible late this afternoon and evening. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday. Strong to possibly severe thunderstorms are possible Sunday afternoon and evening. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotters, please follow normal reporting procedures. -
2026-2027 Super El Nino
MarcmmKU replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Who said Boston's a big city (I kid) -
Garden variety sleeping storms imby, nice to see IL adding to our tor numbers
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Video - Certainly could have gotten closer for better shots, but didn’t care to. Was a beautiful storm to watch.
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Good lord what great news to wake up to. Will support right away. Glad you all are free from there.
