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4% sounded better. But ok

Hope far west compared to 12 z?

If it is greyed out take a look at the right where it says P "Available on Pivotal Weather Plus"

So much for the cold temps = high ratios. I had a feeling we'd be stuck with needles and columns or whatever.

Is this what you were looking for? https://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/sref/srefplumes/ .

if this illustration doesn't verify for this weekends storm i'm taking 2 whole weeks off the forum, I'll be lurking but will not say a word! I'll also emoji weenies to the weenies of course! Feen

Check and I don’t even care if we go to spring

Its 9.99 a month. Thats what i have now. Ratios will be much higher. So dont use 10:1, use Kuchera.

24.8 for the high. Bright sunshine today made it feel warmer.

Im not throwing in the towel on this year her. The pattern is very good in terms of being right for any amplification to be a snow threat. We just need something to happen. The last wave was a pretty good hit. This next one is so damn close but looks to be a miss. This pattern isn’t breaking down and is reloading actually. We have at least 3 more weeks and maybe more if guidance is right. We juts need 1-2 more hits. It can happen. After this we need a -AO Nino basically. What stacks the deck most would be to time up a west based Nino with a favorable solar and QBO. Problem is next year is likely to have unfavorable solar and QBO and early signs are east based. So…

Huh. Ok

ULL magic, this might be a unicorn

Florence, SC forecast still saying “less than a tenth” accumulation but every map I’ve seen yall post has us getting at least a few inches. Assuming there’s not enough confidence for them to even forecast accumulation yet…

Here’s at TYS… .

Wouldn’t it would be more likely to get a west-based Nino instead of an east-based one partially due to the fact of this year’s east-based Nina?

I think between last February and last week I've finally gotten the joy of this hobby beaten out of me. At this point it simply is what it is and the atmosphere will do what it will. No need to get upset or invested about it until its snowing; after all, when in my life has it trended to not ruin a storm.

As a red line commuter, it’s pretty stunning how badly the storm recovery has been. 25+ minute waits for most trains, constant delays, a total of two disabled trains just today. Ubers easily 2x the cost they would usually be. Another big storm would cause serious problems. Bring it on anyway

Quick count about 18%.

Shades of 11 years ago, shield your eyes

The Euro trended stronger with the ULL. WNC is in a great spot!

The EPS was around 20 percent higher with QPF vs 12z.

Must be some interesting lows on the ensembles

If 0z tics less qpf, that will be something like the 10th run in a row with the 12/0 vs 18/6 precip shift.

Fujiwhara for the win

Gonna need another massive leap at 0z. We just have no time left and need massive changes. It’s just a tease. Enough to smoke Boston and maybe NYC and the coast.