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weeklies are colder. They begin the below normal temp thing by the first weekend of January

If it flipped this much in 2 days, how do you know it won’t do it again?

Bingo This what happens when you keep posting weenies for me. I wonder what hes thinking now.

GFS is the higher end outlier....NAM is more like joining the rest of model consensus.

How about now ?

I did get a surprise 12-13” burger in Feb of 24…that’s been the highlight though.

Nam joins gfs?

Shocked, I tell you, shocked. Would fit the seasonable pattern.

Juicing up.

Last 3 were pretty much non-existent for our area. I Haven't cracked 20" since Winter 21-22.

You ignored the post above it where I honked for a miller A 14 days out

Yes, that’s the event I was thinking of! Basically jack was right over my head in south Denmark where I was living at the time. I remember watching radar in awe as the GOM was deposited on my head.

SOLD! I missed an almost an entire year (long story) and the winter before was nonexistent I’ll take it! .

New NWS snow map: https://www.weather.gov/okx/winter WWA for Rockland, Western Bergen, Northern Westchester, Eastern Passaic: ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 4 PM EST TUESDAY... * WHAT...Snow expected. Total snow accumulations up to two inches. * WHERE...In Connecticut, Northern Fairfield County. In New Jersey, Eastern Passaic and Western Bergen Counties. In New York, Northern Westchester and Rockland Counties. * WHEN...From 4 AM to 4 PM EST Tuesday. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the Tuesday morning commute.

I think 2003/2004 had 2 systems well north of us redevelopment just south with a similar NW to SE snowfall distribution.

It looks like we will see more cold intrusions into the SE as we get into January. Maybe we can thread the needle on one but isn't that always the case LOL.

Def a better run than the last several paltry runs....it has been the low outlier, so good to see some convergence.

Temperatures for next Monday and Tuesday have definitely went downward the past few days. A high of 29 here next Monday. A few days ago it was upper 40s.

For the city this will be on colder surfaces. Different story north and west.

buzzkill. Are you weather wills cousin?

Another bold statement. Some people haven't learned and its only December.

NAM is hitting much of sne into NNE in the 18z run.

Also on AIFS ens.... please remember we seem to have pretty much decided it can't tell the difference between snow/IP/FRZA/etc - but I see this as the total amount of wintry precip it's seeing for Friday. Just gotta mentally convert it to a QPF map

i am seeing weenies post this map on social media. It looks like a combo of the 93 blizzard and blizzard of 96. Who gave JB the autopen?

Hrrr too