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Yes, I agree. I don't think weak, but nor do I think 2.0+.....so we can work with that.

Out like a

We get plenty of nice sweatshirt weather in the fall and temperatures are more consistent. While it has definitely increased in variability we’ve never gotten to our average temps in spring through consistency, it’s always been swings up and down. 62 at 7:48 AM.

If this a weekend or a holiday I’d feel that. Otherwise just want the green up to proceed faster which the mank is great for

That’ll make me feel a lot better when it’s mank and 45° this afternoon while it’s pushing 70° in Keene.

Prayers 4 thundersnow

It will be north.

Overnight models again trended lower with precip over next 10 days

This could only be the 6th March with a low temperature staying over 60° at a spot like Newark. https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kewr Time Series Summary for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ - Month of Mar Warmest Minimum Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. 1 1998 63 0 2 1985 62 0 - 1910 62 0 3 1949 60 0 - 1945 60 0

Yea but not gonna register BN with this morning heat…

Low of 60. Warm days ahead. Tomorrow’s max min record of 61 could fall. Not seeing much evidence of rain for today down this way but things should liven up a bit tomorrow. Our youngest turns 4 tomorrow. The time, it is a flyin’.

South

WB 0Z EURO. Wet Easter afternoon and evening. EPS supports this scenario.

Morning bow for Rt 2 peeps in MA?

As much as I and many others would love to see the PDO actually change that ain't looking all to good right now regardless of ENSO state to come. Weak to moderate +ENSO is a solid call still with a tip to strong if it can actually get itself together. Super is a stretch but hey weird things happen. The more time passes the more I see this being situated further west with warming lets see how things shape up over the next month.

Torch !!

If the PDO turns positive this year, then 1988 becomes the obvious anti-2026 log. In the East, 1988 was a very warm summer, followed by a very cool fall.

I agree. What happened to having spring. We haven't had spring in years. It just goes from 40 and drizzle to 85 and humid. 55 and sunny would be interesting. Sweatshirt weather doesn't exist here. Just coats to shorts.

May have to ban some today

Dendrite too. He'll be happy.

sick, miss just south here

Friday and the weekend looking decent now. Hope it stays.

We will finish March with our 1st above normal temperature month since way back in September. Every fall and winter month except September ended with below normal temperatures. Our seesaw temperatures typical of spring will continue over the next several days. We have a well above normal day today before we turn much chiller tomorrow. We warm again by Friday through the weekend before turning much cooler again to start the new work week. Rain chances to really ramp up tomorrow into Wednesday night.

We will finish March with our 1st above normal temperature month since way back in September. Every fall and winter month except September ended with below normal temperatures. Our seesaw temperatures typical of spring will continue over the next several days. We have a well above normal day today before we turn much chiller tomorrow. We warm again by Friday through the weekend before turning much cooler again to start the new work week. Rain chances to really ramp up tomorrow into Wednesday night.

Agree. Still a wide range of possibilities given we are in early spring, but gun to head given the current subsurface im thinking it probably won’t be a weak event. Still, huge difference between say a moderate and a super Nino.