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  2. That's incorrect. I believe AmericanWX came about on December 9 2009, am i right @stormtracker.
  3. Which one of yall sacrificed a rabbit today? Fess up
  4. Probably looking at the first in the series of runs destined for a historic blizzard for everybody from interior North Carolina up to down East Maine. And I 95 special
  5. Unfortunately, I don't have the 6z figures.
  6. Man this place is just different when we’re in a good winter pattern. So fun
  7. One year we had a troll who reported rain in Georgetown during a snow event. It's now a running joke. (getting a wee bit tired imho but that's just me it gets the laughs.
  8. Bingo. Every set up like this tends to favor the escarpment with a smaller screw zone just east. Typically sets up just east of 77.
  9. He has a point, we are still in a relatively delicate position. However, spread will continue to narrow. If we can hold until Tommorow nights runs, we'll be feeling pretty good.
  10. Got another day off and my chem exam postponed so I will be staying up for this 00z suite
  11. Late January 1996 (heavy snow, with a bout of sleet in the middle of the event) and early February 1996 (sleet). Also had some random snow showers a week after the second storm. I lived in Greensboro at the time and the secondary streets in town were ice covered for three weeks.
  12. @Weather Willand I were holding the fort down this morning. He was mapping and I was shuffling people to the door. Anybody else who wants to leave stand in the door:
  13. Jesus god Almighty the extended thread is a mess.
  14. The inclusion of the middle name really adds credence, nice touch
  15. That’s the good thing here, we’re well inside of where the last storm faded. This starts Friday night, that one was Saturday night/Sunday morning
  16. 18z euro and eps was a huge improvement. Shows you how the smallest changes in tilt and timing have large differences in outcomes. Tilting a closed low 6 hours sooner while being 100+ hours out is not alot to ask. We love to see another day . .
  17. I can't let myself feel hope again. I've lived in the Metrolina area for a decade now and haven't had anything like this. I've seen so many modelled storms fizzle into nothing or Raleigh gets to have the fun. I'm still waiting for the rug pull.
  18. I have another analog https://www.meteo.psu.edu/ewall/NARR/1989/us0224.php#picture Ok, just had to get the childhood PTSD out of the way…I do think this one looks better than that one did.
  19. I had brunch with Louis W. Uccellini and he said I’d rather be in DC.
  20. By the way, it was this far out for the last storm last weekend where the Euro (and the 18z one at that) shifted significantly NW.
  21. Listen, if we have to worry about sleet cutting into our totals, we're talking some pretty epic totals.
  22. Based on the link I sent, let's see if this checks out... Both the EPS and GEFS have the same weights. 1.2% for each individual member (1.2%*[50+30]=96%)... The GFS has a weight of 4%, so the ensemble snowfall contribution would be, 9 = 8 GEFS + 1 EPS SF_ens = 9 * 0.012 * 6" + 1 * 0.012 * 16" SF_ens ~ 1" NBM snowfall is SF_ens + 0.04*SF_GFS. I don't know what the GFS had for the city at 12z, but it could be calculated; NBM = 5.9" based on the map 5.9" = 1" + 0.04 * SF_GFS SF_GFS = 4.9"/0.04 = a very unrealistic answer... So something is off. Do you have the 6z totals? Mathematically, that's how the NBM (imo) calculates its mean.
  23. That was the most heartbreaking event ever less than a year after the crusher.
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