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Looks like the EPS is reloading after mid month. Maybe we get a moderation at that time but if true, may bode well for the holidays.
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First Winter Storm to kickoff 2025-26 Winter season
HoarfrostHubb replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
They will have very limited terrain open... plus their summit lift won't be open until mid/late month -
Central PA Fall Discussions and Obs
canderson replied to ChescoWx's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Yup. And I can see Lancaster getting barely any accumulation. That rain line is sneaking north imo -
First Winter Storm to kickoff 2025-26 Winter season
WinterWolf replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
That’s a good think..cuz then it’s gonna freeze nice and create a very good base. -
2025-2026 ENSO
vegan_edible replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
no matter what it is, weather, news, politics... i would advise against using the ny post to showcase credible information -
The NY Post is a tabloid that’s not surprisingly making things sound over the top (and there’s even a typo for goodness sakes): -the NE is to be blasted with the “most extreme cold on Earth” per “shocking new forecasts”.
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First Winter Storm to kickoff 2025-26 Winter season
MarkO replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Wachusett should be all snow, but it's still going to be a wet snow. -
If you're expecting hundreds of weenie posts on every model run you'll be disappointed. Most of us here know how to find the models ourselves (its not 2004 anymore), we do look at them, and we don't feel the need to breakdown each and every run at nauseum. I know it's a weather board and everyone enjoys the weather in their own way. Some of the other NW regulars can throw in their thoughts here but I see this thread as a no fluff, meat and potatoes kinda of place.
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First Winter Storm to kickoff 2025-26 Winter season
George001 replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
So it looks like my area is on the outside looking in on this one. How are things looking for Wachusett? I might go on Thursday morning if the conditions are good. -
MO/KS/AR/OK 2025-2026 Winter Discussion
The Ole Bucket replied to stormdragonwx's topic in Central/Western States
We had about 2" of wet snow in the last system that melted/was washed away within hours. No advisory for that. But they finally went ahead and gave us our first WWA of the season in SEMO for this one. A few flakes falling out there now. -
Central PA Fall Discussions and Obs
Jonesy56 replied to ChescoWx's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Brother, you have access to the models just like the rest of us. Even going back to Sat runs, GFS/Euro/NAM were showing any meaningful frozen precip exiting the Hbg region by 1-2PM. This has been looking like a quick, ~6 hr type of event for a number of days now. -
From 1997 through 2002 central park had 2 winters of 5.5 and 3.5 along with 10, 12.7, 16.3 Also, 1989 was 8.1.
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First Winter Storm to kickoff 2025-26 Winter season
WinterWolf replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Lol..it was 2:15 when DST was in play, and it was 1:15 while we were in EST. So I guess it’s 12:15 now as Seymour said…so they brought it out earlier now. -
Yeah, It's a paste bomb to start.
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First Winter Storm to kickoff 2025-26 Winter season
dryslot replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
I think you should too. -
December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread
Sey-Mour Snow replied to Torch Tiger's topic in New England
What a joke … -
Pittsburgh/Western PA WINTER ‘25/‘26
RitualOfTheTrout replied to Burghblizz's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
I'm here for some clippers, get them to dive underneath us then reinforce NW flow behind them over the warm lakes and you are looking at almost daily shots of snow. -
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It looks like you were right, im gonna be taking the L on this one. Oh well, I thought I was going to get a few inches but that is looking unlikely now.
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Nothing has changed in days. This was always an Orange-Sussex-Putnam snow event. As per usual, the only place that thought this was going to somehow be an I-95 corridor snowstorm were the usual suspects on twitter. If you listened to them, the I-95 corridor would have 300 inches of snow every winter
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Bottom line from the 12z long range is that we aren't losing this pattern for at least the next 7 to 10 days. We shouldn't see huge storms, but we can definitely score some snow before Christmas.
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Central PA Fall Discussions and Obs
WmsptWx replied to ChescoWx's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Timing is always the most incorrect part of guidance. -
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