All Activity

so a hugely rangy summer then -

I think it's important to not get too cute with the EMI when ENSO gets this strong because all of them are going to be "basin wide" in the sense that the anomalies will encompass the entirety of the ENSO area. Good luck getting 2.5C in the east or west, and having 0C on the other end. This is why I'm not really focused too much on EMI.

I had raindrops on my windshield this morning. This guy is full of it.

Another nod towards 1997.

Usually the seasonal guidance will be biased towards stock ENSO, so when a seasonal model shows that output leading into an intense El Nino episode, it should provide reason for pause.

NYC hasn’t had a month with above normal precipitation since May 2025. So the last 12 months actually made the top 20 driest for June to May. This is impressive given the overall wetter pattern since 2003. Time Series Summary for NY CITY CENTRAL PARK, NY Driest 6-1 through 5-31 Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. 1 1966-05-31 27.85 0 2 1950-05-31 30.86 0 3 1965-05-31 30.93 0 4 1930-05-31 31.46 0 5 1954-05-31 32.13 0 6 1911-05-31 32.59 0 7 1959-05-31 32.63 0 8 2002-05-31 32.73 0 9 1882-05-31 33.45 0 10 1962-05-31 34.16 0 11 1877-05-31 34.24 0 12 1957-05-31 34.82 0 13 1963-05-31 35.08 0 - 1887-05-31 35.08 0 14 1955-05-31 35.17 0 15 1925-05-31 35.28 0 16 2026-05-31 35.44 0 17 1981-05-31 35.58 0 18 1907-05-31 36.03 0 19 1932-05-31 36.06 0 20 1892-05-31 36.23 0

MAV for Thursday. Pretty warm.

couple more extremely comfortable days on tap before summer classic returns

No real sign of prolonged heat.

It over . Ahhhh

Down to 48. Last 40s until September?

Min 42.5° Time to flush this

Hello summer thread. A beautiful crisp morning with a temp of 47 when I left the house, as our stretch of heavenly weather marches on.

42 degree's this morning blue bird sky. Not a cloud.

We have a record 30C warm pool from the IO over to Nino 4. So the Nino forcing is linking up with forcing near the Maritime Continent. This is part of the reason that the models have the warmth in Canada and across the Northern Tier states as we head into June.

With any luck the dew point with stay under 60 until Saturday

Looks like a nice stretch incoming .

The creator of this map is in the Midwest

Brrrr 39F

US National Weather Service State College PA · SPRING 2026 | March+April+May | Driven by unusually warm temps in March & April, the 2026 spring season was one of the warmest in CPA Split Precip: Wet to the NW Dry to the SE Snow deficit throughout PA & Northeast U.S. 6/2/26|413am

End of the forecast now shows the number 90.

Monday's high will probably bounce all over the place the next few days. Last night it showed 70, this morning, it's 77. Monday A chance of showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 77. Chance of precipitation is 40%.

Same...

30 MVY lol