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The 00z trend so far seems to be a little bit of improvement at 500mb.

Sam Hill

Nice font.

My glacier awaits its company .

I feel like we're playing pinball with all the tilt we have to worry about.

While I would cash out now in a heart beat, there is enough support in the soundings (omega, low dgz but still thick enough for crystals to grow, and just enough pwat left) that there could possibly be another inch or two the models are not picking up (basically snow that wouldn't show on radar).

For My yard it would be a C at best. Sitting at 12" with my seasonal average being in the upper 20s. If I fail to make it to 20" on the season that would be 5 winters In row. Something that has never happened since records started at HGR in 1899. Actually the current 4 year stretch is the worst on record for HGR.

So far, the RGEM and Canadian have shown that outcome, the longest, then the GFS, but the GFS faltered some earlier today. All modeling has folded towards the Canadian suite as we approach the event.

Seriously if you go to O’Fishel Weather (Greg Fishel) Facebook page linked above, he goes over his thoughts concerning the possibilities and being about to overcome the dry air. It’s a helpful watch. Greg knows NC weather.

RGEM NW jump. Looks like it has the southside at .5-.75 QPF

I think it was 2014 or 2015, but there was a storm very similar to this one that happened in February followed by an ice storm like 4 days later. I remember the storm really well because MRX forecast 1-2" south of 40 and east of the plateau, and forecast 2-4" north of 40, and mountains 6". This was their forecast 24 hours before. The next day they bumped everyone by an inch or so, then the storm began. It kept snowing and snowing high ratio snows they kept increasing the forecast through the evening even bumping folks in advisory up to warning. After all was said and done Chattanooga north across the whole great valley and western plateau got around 10". It was a near carbon copy storm track and type. These storms have high potential to bust high.

I've heard Greenville county has one plow.

I use to love snow as a kid. Would watch Mr Bill early mornings to see if school was closed. Riding home from school hearing on the radio Winter Storm warning now in effect. Times have changed. I'm now a carer for my mother. We don't have a heat backup nor a way to charge her ventilator battery. Wishing for powder and power.

My apple weather app never said it was going to snow. So I guess we should have known.

Yeah, parameters weren't great on this side of the lake today, and we still ended up with 25:1 ratios.

?

I been fighting the same ice removal problems. It's about as hard to remove as any snow or ice that I can recall. Yet, here I am looking for more.

I have this fight with Emergency Management all the time.

I have an idea, storm: What if we all score big? Seems like you're considering it, and we all want to let you know we'd really appreciate it.

Amazes me that this thread continues to grow by 5-8 pages every time I check in.

Much Better

I almost just vomited trying to read this map

RGEM said here hold my beer

I'm always reminded of the Feb or March 1999 storm which was to my knowledge not on anyone's radar for NY snowfall but overnight backed in / filled in over Montauk resulting in a 14" storm w/blizzard conditions there, 6" to the forks, but cloudy at the Nassau/Suffolk border.

A lot of members would be happy with this, including myself.