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NCSU_Pi

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About NCSU_Pi

Profile Information

  • Four Letter Airport Code For Weather Obs (Such as KDCA)
    KRDU
  • Location:
    Raleigh, NC

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  1. NCSU_Pi

    spring snowstorm 4/7 -4/8

    "Aw man, this is gonna get the weenies wound up."
  2. NCSU_Pi

    March 12th-13th ULL Discussion

    Haven't seen a flake in Swift Creek, yet
  3. NCSU_Pi

    March 12th-13th ULL Discussion

    Sleet starting to mix in around Swift Creek
  4. NCSU_Pi

    March 12th-13th ULL Discussion

    My very-pregnant wife works at a preschool that takes kids through WCPSS, and therefore follows their closing decisions. I'm not thrilled, at the moment.
  5. NCSU_Pi

    March 2018 Obs

    Flurries in Apex
  6. NCSU_Pi

    2018 Banter Thread

    Let me interrupt the fish talk to say: Torch > ZR That is all.
  7. NCSU_Pi

    Potential 1/17-1/18 threat

    It seems like all the model soundings for our area showed temps well below freezing all the way up the air column, except right at the surface, for the duration of the event. Do you think they missed on the upper air temps, or do I have a layman's misunderstanding of the thermodynamics at play?
  8. NCSU_Pi

    Potential 1/17-1/18 threat

    RAH issued advisories well ahead of updating their forecasted totals. My point forecast still has 1-3".
  9. NCSU_Pi

    Southeast Sanitarium - A Place to Vent

    Right, so maybe send some snow down to my parents in Shallotte. They're still miffed at how they got passed over last time.
  10. NCSU_Pi

    Potential 1/17-1/18 threat

    Zulu - 5 = Eastern So, 1 pm
  11. NCSU_Pi

    Southeast Sanitarium - A Place to Vent

    Apparently someone told Ze Germans about the Wake County Snow Shield
  12. NCSU_Pi

    Jan 3-4th Coastal Crusher OBS

    Since at least my 8:30 drive from central Cary to Swift Creek, it's been between flurries and light snow. Starting to pick up, here, too, though it'll need to get heavier to make a couple of inches before moving out.
  13. NCSU_Pi

    Southeast Sanitarium - A Place to Vent

    Has anyone ever tried to devise an official Snow Disappointment Index? It seems like it could be done. Maybe take the fantasy snow lost divided by the annual average snowfall. You'd divide by annual average, because heavy snow regions would otherwise dominate based on high potential variability. In a stormy region, you could end up with 30" of fantasy snow, only to see 5" fall, for a loss of 25". But after a winter of several feet of snowfall, you're not really disappointed. In Raleigh, you could get your entire season's average to show up as fantasy snow 24 hours ahead of the event, only to get a trace. How you define fantasy snow might be tricky, but we could agree on some metric. Maybe an average of the Euro, GFS, and a short range model like the NAM, at some specific point in time before the event. ETA: it should be net fantasy snow lost. If you overperform, that comes off your totals.
  14. NCSU_Pi

    Southeast Sanitarium - A Place to Vent

    9" of the sha--- oh never mind Just kidding: I know you meant 9" of QPF, right? At our expected ratios, that means... *punches numbers on calculator* #RIPRaleigh
  15. NCSU_Pi

    2018 Banter Thread

    To keep MBY stuff off the even thread: my parents are poo-pooing the ice threat in Brunswick County. I think they should be prepared for a potentially significant ice storm. What might we see, there? 0.25" of glaze with an inch or two of snow on top is nothing to sneeze at.
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