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About NCSU_Pi

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  • Four Letter Airport Code For Weather Obs (Such as KDCA)
  • Location:
    Raleigh, NC

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  1. 2018 Banter Thread

    Let me interrupt the fish talk to say: Torch > ZR That is all.
  2. Potential 1/17-1/18 threat

    It seems like all the model soundings for our area showed temps well below freezing all the way up the air column, except right at the surface, for the duration of the event. Do you think they missed on the upper air temps, or do I have a layman's misunderstanding of the thermodynamics at play?
  3. Potential 1/17-1/18 threat

    RAH issued advisories well ahead of updating their forecasted totals. My point forecast still has 1-3".
  4. Southeast Sanitarium - A Place to Vent

    Right, so maybe send some snow down to my parents in Shallotte. They're still miffed at how they got passed over last time.
  5. Potential 1/17-1/18 threat

    Zulu - 5 = Eastern So, 1 pm
  6. Southeast Sanitarium - A Place to Vent

    Apparently someone told Ze Germans about the Wake County Snow Shield
  7. Jan 3-4th Coastal Crusher OBS

    Since at least my 8:30 drive from central Cary to Swift Creek, it's been between flurries and light snow. Starting to pick up, here, too, though it'll need to get heavier to make a couple of inches before moving out.
  8. Southeast Sanitarium - A Place to Vent

    Has anyone ever tried to devise an official Snow Disappointment Index? It seems like it could be done. Maybe take the fantasy snow lost divided by the annual average snowfall. You'd divide by annual average, because heavy snow regions would otherwise dominate based on high potential variability. In a stormy region, you could end up with 30" of fantasy snow, only to see 5" fall, for a loss of 25". But after a winter of several feet of snowfall, you're not really disappointed. In Raleigh, you could get your entire season's average to show up as fantasy snow 24 hours ahead of the event, only to get a trace. How you define fantasy snow might be tricky, but we could agree on some metric. Maybe an average of the Euro, GFS, and a short range model like the NAM, at some specific point in time before the event. ETA: it should be net fantasy snow lost. If you overperform, that comes off your totals.
  9. Southeast Sanitarium - A Place to Vent

    9" of the sha--- oh never mind Just kidding: I know you meant 9" of QPF, right? At our expected ratios, that means... *punches numbers on calculator* #RIPRaleigh
  10. 2018 Banter Thread

    To keep MBY stuff off the even thread: my parents are poo-pooing the ice threat in Brunswick County. I think they should be prepared for a potentially significant ice storm. What might we see, there? 0.25" of glaze with an inch or two of snow on top is nothing to sneeze at.
  11. Southeast Sanitarium - A Place to Vent

    A Raleigh Winter Haiku Brine mocks me harshly Paints my car a ghastly white Paints my soul jet black
  12. Southeast Sanitarium - A Place to Vent

    I've come to accept that it's never actually snowed here, before. All my memories of snow in/around Raleigh are false ones implanted by malevolent alien forces for their own Schadenfreude.
  13. 2017 Banter Thread #1

    All I want for Christmas is for Allan Huffman to start threading tweets properly. (Just kidding, Allan. You're the best.)
  14. 2017 Banter Thread #1

    The GFS right now is making me think of Michael Scott talking about vasectomies in the Dinner Party episode: SNIP-SNAP SNIP-SNAP SNIP-SNAP
  15. Seems like the line had been moving SE across Wake County, but seems to have come to a dead stop directly overhead. We had a burst of sleet here in Northern Apex at work, but it didn't last long.